Observed 12:00 AM PDT at KMCE

Merced, CA weather

Clear and 55°13°.

Mostly agree

Now 55°13°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 12 PM
Dew point: 45°7°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 53Moderate; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30 inHg1016 hPa; Steady over the next 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (59°15° then, 55°13° now)

Good hours for

Low 49°9° today at 6 AM
Above 60°16° today by 11 AM
High 71°22° today at 5 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM

TonightDown to 50°10° by 4 AM · Clear
This morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 71°22° by 5 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 51°11° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 66°19° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 77°25° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 58°14° by 11 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12a	Clear	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	83%	2%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	83%	4%	0
Sat 8a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	83%	11%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	74%	0%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	64%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	56%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	54%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	50%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	51%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	51%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	49%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	47%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	70°21° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	53%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	66°19° (likely 59°15° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	54°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	53°12° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	52°11° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	16%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	26%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	4%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	7%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	80%	10%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	67%	50%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	58%	47%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 73°23°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	55%	45%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 76°24°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	51%	56%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	62%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 79°26°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	58%	4
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 79°26°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	64%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	77°25° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)	77°25°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	43%	70%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly clear	74°23° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	50%	64%	0
Sun 7p	Mostly clear	71°22° (likely 62°17° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	69%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	67°19° (likely 58°14° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	61%	64%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	64°18° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	70%	67%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	78%	23%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly clear	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	46%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 75°24° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 72. Southwest wind around 0 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 48, with temperatures rising to around 50 overnight. Southwest wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 46°8°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 51°11°. Typical 75°24° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Northwest wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–79°26°
Low, likely
42°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 49°9°. Typical 74°23° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 46°8°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 74°23° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 73°23° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. North northwest wind around 0 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northwest wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–50°10°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 73°23° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 45°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 68°20°, low 50°10°. Typical 72°22° / 45°7°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°19°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 57°14°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–55°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 45°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 45°7°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–75°24°
Low, likely
33°1°–52°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 43°6°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–76°24°
Low, likely
30°−1°–53°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
66°19°–77°25°
Low, likely
46°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 72°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 77°, low 51°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 75°, low 49°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (HNX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Bear Creek at McKee Road

1.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.2 ft
Flow: 72 cfs

Forecast peak 5.0 ft Sat 12 AM

Reading from Fri 10:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Merced River at Shaffer Bridge

13 mi

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 827 cfs

Reading from Fri 10:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Eastside Bypass at El Nido

13 mi

Level: 9.0 ft

Reading from Fri 10:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Dry Creek at Oakdale Road

13 mi

Level: 1.4 ft

Reading from Fri 10:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 13Typical 38

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 11:00 AM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

MERCED · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1899–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Merced weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 19 min less
Golden hour: 5:36–6:29 PM; Morning 7:02–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:29–6:39 PM; Morning 6:52–7:02 AM; first light 6:52 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 12:32–6:52 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:40 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:40 AM · rises 5:12 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northeast from Merced. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,900 ft, 81 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Merced, CA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Bear Creek at McKee Road

Merced River at Shaffer Bridge

Eastside Bypass at El Nido

Dry Creek at Oakdale Road

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon