Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 5 days 3 h
When
From 8 AM Saturday to 3 PM PDT Thursday.
Where
Bay Shoreline locations of San Francisco Bay, Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service San Francisco CA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to 1.9ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas.
Additional details
At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.1 ft above normal (6.9 ft MLLW) at 10:39 AM Saturday 10/24, 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 11:07 AM Sunday 10/25, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 11:39 AM Monday 10/26, 1.8 ft above normal (7.6 ft MLLW) at 12:15 PM Tuesday 10/27, 1.9 ft above normal (7.7 ft MLLW) at 12:56 PM Wednesday 10/28, and 1.7 ft above normal (7.5 ft MLLW) at 01:43 PM Thursday 10/29. These predictions include up to 1.0 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: San Francisco; North Bay Interior Valleys; San Francisco Bay Shoreline; Northern Monterey Bay; Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 10:40 AM PDT at KWVI

Pajaro Dunes, CA weather

Sunny and 61°16°.

Mostly agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 5 PM · peak 5
Air today: 43Good; EPA forecast · Ozone
Pressure: 30.06 inHg1018 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

3°2° cooler than this time yesterday (61°16° then, 58°14° now)

Good hours for

High 66°19° today at 2 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
Low 47°8° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonUp to 66°19° by 2 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 49°9° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 65°18° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 49°9° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 57°14° by 10 AM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 71°22°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	55%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 73°23°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	55%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	55%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	66°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	58%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	66°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	64%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	68%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	74%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	1%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	81%	1%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	2%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	2%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	2%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	2%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	81%	40%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	80%	50%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	56%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	81%	56%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	81%	60%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	72%	59%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	69%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	57%	56%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	57%	4
Sun 1p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	60%	77%	5
Sun 2p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)	66°19°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	62%	84%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	66%	83%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	71%	83%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	76%	81%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	82%	85%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	85%	82%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	81%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	71%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	91%	70%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	94%	68%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	95%	67%	0
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	97%	76%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	98%	84%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	99%	69%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	57%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	59%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	70%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	87%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	82%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	64%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	85%	35%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 73°23° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 67, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 46, with temperatures rising to around 49 overnight. East wind 3 to 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 47°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. North northwest wind 3 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. West southwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–71°22°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. West northwest wind 1 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
45°7°–54°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 60°16°, low 47°8°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: A chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 59°15°, low 47°8°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 44°7°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–49°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 68°20°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–76°24°
Low, likely
39°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 67°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 68°, low 47°.
Monday
Dry, high 64°, low 45°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 59–68°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MTR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Pajaro River at Chittenden

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Wed 6 PM

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Watsonville Slough at Watsonville Slough

0.7 mi

Level: 3.5 ft

Reading from Sat 10:10 AM · NWS gauge page

Pajaro River at Watsonville

3.9 mi

Level: 11.6 ft
Flow: 2 cfs

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Salsipuedes Creek near Lakeview Rd

5.3 mi

Level: 4.2 ft
Flow: under 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 59% less heating than a typical week.

This week 16Typical 40

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 1
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Watsonville Municipal Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
+1°±0°WedOct 21
±0°ThuOct 22
+1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Pajaro Dunes weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 55 min; Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 17 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:35 PM; Morning 7:07–7:59 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:45 PM; Morning 6:56–7:07 AM; first light 6:56 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:45 PM–4 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking southwest from Pajaro Dunes. The highest point on the skyline is about 5,000 ft, 40 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory