Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 5 days 6 h
When
From 8 AM Saturday to 3 PM PDT Thursday.
Where
Bay Shoreline locations of San Francisco Bay, Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service San Francisco CA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to 1.9ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas.
Additional details
At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.1 ft above normal (6.9 ft MLLW) at 10:39 AM Saturday 10/24, 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 11:07 AM Sunday 10/25, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 11:39 AM Monday 10/26, 1.8 ft above normal (7.6 ft MLLW) at 12:15 PM Tuesday 10/27, 1.9 ft above normal (7.7 ft MLLW) at 12:56 PM Wednesday 10/28, and 1.7 ft above normal (7.5 ft MLLW) at 01:43 PM Thursday 10/29. These predictions include up to 1.0 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: San Francisco; North Bay Interior Valleys; San Francisco Bay Shoreline; Northern Monterey Bay; Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Model estimate for 8:00 AM PDT (no recent station report)

Paradise Park, CA weather

Sunny and 46°8°.

Mostly agree

Now 46°8°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the north. Light through 8 PM
Dew point: 40°4°; Comfortable · up to 48°9° by 12 PM
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air today: 44Good; EPA forecast · Ozone

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by 11 AM
High 73°23° today at 3 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
Fog tomorrow night from 3 AM

This morningUp to 63°17° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 73°23° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 50°10° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 66°19° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 74°23° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	3%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	67%	2%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	1%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	49%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	48%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	45%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	44%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 67°19° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	72%	1%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	72%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	70%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	71%	19%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	71%	40%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	40%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	71%	48%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	72%	51%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	73%	61%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	73%	75%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	66%	70%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	61%	57%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	55%	55%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	57%	4
Sun 1p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	47%	77%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	83%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 66°19° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	46%	84%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 64°18° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	47%	81%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 62°17° to 70°21°)	71°22°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	51%	79%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	60%	82%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	70%	80%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	79%	73%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	84%	68%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	86%	58%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	88%	34%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	89%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	90%	9%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	92%	26%	0
Mon 3a	Fog	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	94%	30%	0
Mon 4a	Fog	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	28%	0
Mon 5a	Fog	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	97%	26%	0
Mon 6a	Fog	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 57°14°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	30%	0
Mon 7a	Fog	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	27%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 73°23° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 74, with temperatures falling to around 71 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 74°23°).
High, likely
68°20°–74°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–51°11°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 47°8°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Fog, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 74, with temperatures falling to around 70 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. North northwest wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–74°23°
Low, likely
46°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 72°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Fog. High 70°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 63°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Rain, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am, then a slight chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
47°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 63°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A chance of rain before 5am, then a chance of rain and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–71°22°
Low, likely
43°6°–55°13°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 52°11°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–61°16°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 74°, low 49°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 74°, low 46°.
Monday
Dry, high 72°, low 44°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–70°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MTR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Big Trees

3.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Santa Cruz

1.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 15 cfs

Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page

Soquel Creek at Soquel

4.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 10 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Aptos Creek at Aptos

7.5 mi

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 61% less heating than a typical week.

This week 16Typical 40

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 3
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 40°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 11:00 AM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Watsonville Municipal Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
+1°±0°WedOct 21
±0°ThuOct 22
+1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Paradise Park weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 55 min; Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:35 PM; Morning 7:08–8:00 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:46 PM; Morning 6:58–7:08 AM; first light 6:58 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:46 PM–3 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northeast from Paradise Park. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,700 ft, 13 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory

Paradise Park, CA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Big Trees

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Santa Cruz

Soquel Creek at Soquel

Aptos Creek at Aptos

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon