Model estimate for 9:00 PM PDT (no recent station report)

Rail Road Flat, CA weather

Clear and 49°9°.

Forecasts agree

Now 49°9°

Clear

Wind: 6 mph10 km/h; From the north-northeast. 35–6 mph10 km/h through 9 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 34Good; Main pollutant: Ozone

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 44°7° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 67°19° tomorrow at 1 PM
Below 60°16° tomorrow night after 7 PM

TonightNear 48°9° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 65°18° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 2 AM · Clear
Sunday morningUp to 66°19° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Sunday afternoonNear 68°20° · Mostly cloudy
Sunday nightDown to 54°12° by 8 PM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	1%	0
Fri 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	64%	0%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sat 12a	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	51%	0%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	40%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	34%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	34%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	34%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	38%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	41%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	42%	1%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	3%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	6%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	73%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	71%	4%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	71%	9%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	72%	40%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	73%	16%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	72%	12%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	67%	21%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	57%	57%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	46%	40%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	36%	43%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	33%	59%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	33%	63%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	35%	67%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	35%	80%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	36%	78%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	39%	81%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	46%	74%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	80%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	63%	80%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Rain. High 60°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 61°16° / 40°4°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Clear. Low around 44, with temperatures rising to around 46 overnight. East northeast wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 44°7°. Typical 61°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 44. East northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 60°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. South wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 41°5°. Typical 60°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 40°4°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–69°21°
Low, likely
40°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 59°15° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–69°21°
Low, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 59°15° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: A slight chance of rain after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–67°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–46°8°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 65°18°, low 43°6°. Typical 58°14° / 39°4°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°14°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 41°5°. Typical 58°14° / 38°3°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 57°14°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–66°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 58°14° / 38°3°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–72°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
46% chance of rain, high 60°, low 44°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 68°, low 44°, warming up.
Sunday
Dry, high 71°, low 45°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 57–70°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (STO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

North Fork Stanislaus River near Avery

15 mi

Flow: 275 cfs

Reading from Fri 9 PM · NWS gauge page

Middle Fork Cosumnes River near Somerset

22 mi

Level: 4.0 ft
Flow: 12 cfs

Reading from Fri 8:15 PM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Cosumnes River at El Dorado

24 mi

Level: 4.3 ft
Flow: 35 cfs

Reading from Fri 8:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 80% less heating than a typical week.

This week 22Typical 107

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 18
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Sat, 10:00 AM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Calaveras Big Trees · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1929–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SatOct 17
—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Rail Road Flat weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:36–6:29 PM; Morning 7:02–7:55 AM
Blue hour: 6:29–6:40 PM; Morning 6:52–7:02 AM; first light 6:52 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 9:41 PM–6:53 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:41 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

95% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:34 AM · rises 4:45 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northeast from Rail Road Flat. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,800 ft, 42 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.