Coastal Flood Advisory
Starts in 6 h 22 min
When
From 8 AM Saturday to 3 PM PDT Thursday.
Where
Bay Shoreline locations of San Francisco Bay, Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service San Francisco CA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to 1.9ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas.
Additional details
At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.1 ft above normal (6.9 ft MLLW) at 10:39 AM Saturday 10/24, 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 11:07 AM Sunday 10/25, 1.7 ft above normal (7.5 ft MLLW) at 11:39 AM Monday 10/26, 1.8 ft above normal (7.6 ft MLLW) at 12:15 PM Tuesday 10/27, 1.9 ft above normal (7.7 ft MLLW) at 12:56 PM Wednesday 10/28, and 1.7 ft above normal (7.5 ft MLLW) at 01:43 PM Thursday 10/29. These predictions include up to 1.0 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: San Francisco; North Bay Interior Valleys; San Francisco Bay Shoreline; Northern Monterey Bay; Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Model estimate for 1:00 AM PDT (no recent station report)

Santa Cruz, CA weather

Clear and 54°12°.

Mostly agree

Now 54°12°

Clear

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the north. Light through 1 PM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 43Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 49°9° tonight at 5 AM
Above 60°16° today by 10 AM
High 71°22° today at 3 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM

TonightDown to 49°9° by 5 AM · Clear
This morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 71°22° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 52°11° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 72°22° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 56°13° by midnight · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1a	Clear	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	1%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	3%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	3%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	78%	3%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	78%	1%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	65%	0%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	55%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	55%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	67°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	53%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 73°23°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 73°23°)	71°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	49%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 73°23°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	70°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	49%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	55%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	70%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	70%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	68%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	69%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	69%	41%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	69%	55%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	37%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	70%	50%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	69%	55%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	50%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	62%	57%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	60%	72%	3
Sun 12p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	58%	80%	4
Sun 1p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	54%	81%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	51%	81%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 65°18° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	51%	79%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 63°17° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	53%	81%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 61°16° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	56%	84%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 59°15° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	86%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	79%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	76%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	32%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	84%	24%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	57°14° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	85%	18%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	23%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 73°23° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 72, with temperatures falling to around 70 in the afternoon. West southwest wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. North wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 47°8°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. West wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
49°9°–52°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 63°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 62°17°, low 53°12°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 50°10°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–56°13°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–59°15°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 53°12°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 58°14°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 61°16°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
49°9°–60°16°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 72°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 72°, low 49°.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 47°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 62–68°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MTR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Big Trees

5.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 1 AM

Reading from Fri 11:45 PM · NWS gauge page

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Santa Cruz

1.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.8 ft
Flow: 16 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 AM · NWS gauge page

Soquel Creek at Soquel

4.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Fri 11:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Aptos Creek at Aptos

7.4 mi

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Reading from Fri 11:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 13Typical 40

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 10:00 AM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Watsonville Municipal Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
+1°±0°WedOct 21
±0°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Santa Cruz weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 55 min; Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:35 PM; Morning 7:08–8:00 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:46 PM; Morning 6:58–7:08 AM; first light 6:58 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 1:38–6:58 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:46 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking south from Santa Cruz. The highest point on the skyline is about 5,800 ft, 66 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory

Santa Cruz, CA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Big Trees

San Lorenzo River (CA) at Santa Cruz

Soquel Creek at Soquel

Aptos Creek at Aptos

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon