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Observed 4:40 PM PDT at KMCE

Stevinson, CA weather

Sunny and 70°21°.

Today: low 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°), high 71°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°).

Mostly agree

Now 70°21°

Sunny

Wind
3 mph5 km/h
From the south-southwest. Light through 5 AM
Dew point
41°5°
Comfortable · up to 50°10° by 6 PM
UV tomorrow
5Moderate
Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality
39Good
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure
29.98 inHg1015 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.7 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM
  • Low 45°7° tomorrow at 7 AM
  • Above 60°16° tomorrow by 10 AM
  1. TonightDown to 46°8° by 5 AM · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 75°24° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 48°9° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
  5. Monday morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Clear
  6. Monday afternoonUp to 73°23° by 3 PM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 5pSunny71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)71°22°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h44%0%2
Sat 6pClear66°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)66°19°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h56%0%0
Sat 7pClear63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)63°17°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h62%0%0
Sat 8pClear61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h70%0%0
Sat 9pClear56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)56°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h83%0%0
Sat 10pClear55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)55°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h83%0%0
Sat 11pClear54°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)54°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h86%0%0
Sun 12aClear52°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h89%0%0
Sun 1aClear50°10° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%0%0
Sun 2aClear50°10° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%0%0
Sun 3aClear49°9° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)49°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h96%0%0
Sun 4aClear47°8° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)47°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%5%0
Sun 5aClear46°8° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)46°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%7%0
Sun 6aMostly clear46°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)46°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%19%0
Sun 7aMostly sunny45°7° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)45°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%29%0
Sun 8aMostly sunny47°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)47°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%23%0
Sun 9aMostly sunny52°11° (likely 45°7° to 54°12°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%28%1
Sun 10aMostly sunny60°16° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)60°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h69%58%2
Sun 11aMostly sunny64°18° (likely 58°14° to 66°19°)64°18°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h60%69%3
Sun 12pMostly sunny69°21° (likely 64°18° to 71°22°)69°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h53%66%4
Sun 1pMostly sunny72°22° (likely 68°20° to 74°23°)72°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h48%72%5
Sun 2pPartly sunny73°23° (likely 70°21° to 76°24°)73°23°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h48%78%5
Sun 3pPartly sunny74°23° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)74°23°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h46%78%4
Sun 4pCloudy75°24° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)75°24°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h45%82%3
Sun 5pCloudy73°23° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)73°23°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h49%80%1
Sun 6pCloudy70°21° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)70°21°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h55%81%0
Sun 7pCloudy66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)66°19°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h65%73%0
Sun 8pMostly cloudy61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h78%62%0
Sun 9pMostly cloudy59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)59°15°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h83%62%0
Sun 10pMostly cloudy57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)57°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h86%56%0
Sun 11pMostly clear56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)56°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h90%12%0
Mon 12aClear54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)54°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h93%0%0
Mon 1aClear52°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h100%0%0
Mon 2aClear51°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%0%0
Mon 3aClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)49°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%1%0
Mon 4aClear49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)49°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%2%0
Mon 5aClear48°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)48°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h100%4%0
Mon 6aClear47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)47°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%8%0
Mon 7aSunny47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)47°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h96%8%0
Mon 8aSunny48°9° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%13%0
Mon 9aSunny53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h89%8%1
Mon 10aSunny59°15° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h78%12%2
Mon 11aSunny64°18° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)64°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h65%2%3
Mon 12pSunny68°20° (likely 63°17° to 71°22°)68°20°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h61%1%4
Mon 1pSunny70°21° (likely 66°19° to 73°23°)70°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h57%0%5
Mon 2pSunny72°22° (likely 69°21° to 75°24°)72°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h49%0%5
Mon 3pSunny73°23° (likely 70°21° to 76°24°)73°23°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h51%2%4
Mon 4pSunny72°22° (likely 70°21° to 76°24°)72°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h53%3%3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 74°23° / 53°12°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 61°16°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 71. North northeast wind around 0 mph.

    Tonight: Clear. Low around 44, with temperatures rising to around 46 overnight. North northeast wind around 0 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    69°21°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    74°23° / 53°12°
    Wind
    7 mph10 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 46°8°. Typical 73°23° / 53°12°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny. High near 75, with temperatures falling to around 73 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. West southwest wind around 0 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    72°22°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 53°12°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 73°23°, low 43°6°. Typical 73°23° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 73°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 60°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 47°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 73. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    70°21°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 52°11°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 43°6°. Typical 72°22° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 69°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 52°11°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 60°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North northwest wind around 0 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. North northwest wind around 0 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    65°18°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 52°11°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 72°22° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 69°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 52°11°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 64°18°, low 40°4°. Typical 71°22° / 51°11°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 67°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Night: A slight chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    64°18°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    71°22° / 51°11°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 71°22° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 42°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    36°2°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    71°22° / 51°11°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 70°21° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 66°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    70°21° / 51°11°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 43°6°. Typical 70°21° / 50°10°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    58°14°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    70°21° / 50°10°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
    UV peak
    4

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 71°, low 44°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 75°, low 46°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 73°, low 43°.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 63–70°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (HNX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Merced River at Stevinson

5.4 mi
Below flood stage
Level
59.0 ft
Flow
542 cfs

Forecast peak 59.8 ft Sun 8 AM

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

San Joaquin River at Newman

7.2 mi
Below flood stage
Level
49.7 ft
Flow
622 cfs

Forecast peak 50.7 ft Sun 2 PM

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

San Joaquin River at Patterson

17 mi
Below flood stage
Level
31.5 ft
Flow
705 cfs

Forecast peak 32.7 ft Mon 7 AM

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Tuolumne River at Modesto

22 mi
Below flood stage
Level
39.8 ft
Flow
1,120 cfs

Forecast peak 39.4 ft Sat 5 PM

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 14% less heating than a typical week.

This week 16Typical 19

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
7
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 6:00 PM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

TURLOCK #2 · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1894–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
74°23° / 53°12°
Forecast high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Record high
88°31° in 1922
Record low
35°2° in 1921

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —MonOct 19
  2. —TueOct 20
  3. —WedOct 21
  4. —ThuOct 22
  5. —FriOct 23
  6. —SatOct 24
  7. —SunOct 25

Stevinson weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:20 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.

Daylight
10 h 54 min
Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 19 min less
Golden hour
5:38–6:30 PM
Morning 7:03–7:56 AM
Blue hour
6:30–6:41 PM
Morning 6:53–7:03 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:41 PM–6:54 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:41 AM · rises 5:13 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking northeast from Stevinson. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,700 ft, 91 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.