Observed 3:35 AM PDT at KMCE

University of California-Merced, CA weather

Clear and 48°9°.

Mostly agree

Now 48°9°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 4 PM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
Humidity: 93%; Air 48°9°, dew point 46°8° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 49Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.01 inHg1016 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 46°8° today at 6 AM
Above 60°16° today by 11 AM
High 71°22° today at 5 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM

TonightNear 48°9° · Clear
This morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 71°22° by 5 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 49°9° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 66°19° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 76°24° by 5 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 52°11° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4a	Clear	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	83%	2%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	54%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	56%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	51%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	51%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	49%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	2%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	6%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	3%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	77%	3%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	65%	54%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 69°21°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	56%	65%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	53%	61%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 75°24°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	52%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	51%	59%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 78°26°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	48%	71%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 78°26°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	77%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	76°24° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)	76°24°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	45%	81%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	53%	74%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	61%	79%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly clear	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	63%	62%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	81%	58%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	87%	33%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	39%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	90%	33%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	86%	27%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	53°12° (likely 47°8° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	83%	25%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	52°11° (likely 45°7° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	2%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 75°24° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 72. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 46, with temperatures rising to around 48 overnight. East wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 46°8°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 48°9°. Typical 75°24° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. North wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
74°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 46°8°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 46°8°. Typical 74°23° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind 0 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 46°8°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 74°23° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 73°23° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 73°23° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–71°22°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 45°7°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 72°22° / 45°7°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 57°14°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–75°24°
Low, likely
33°1°–49°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–76°24°
Low, likely
30°−1°–53°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–77°25°
Low, likely
44°7°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 72°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 77°, low 48°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 75°, low 46°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (HNX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Bear Creek at McKee Road

4.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.2 ft
Flow: 63 cfs

Forecast peak 5.0 ft Sat 4 AM

Reading from Sat 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Merced River at Shaffer Bridge

12 mi

Level: 3.4 ft
Flow: 937 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Dry Creek at Oakdale Road

13 mi

Level: 1.5 ft

Reading from Sat 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Dry Creek near Snelling

13 mi

Level: 4.6 ft
Flow: 17 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 14Typical 38

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 3
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 11:00 AM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

MERCED · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1899–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

University of California-Merced weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 19 min less
Golden hour: 5:36–6:29 PM; Morning 7:02–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:29–6:39 PM; Morning 6:51–7:02 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 4:02–6:51 AM, but the moon is 96% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:40 AM · rises 5:12 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northeast from University of California-Merced. The highest point on the skyline is about 14,600 ft, 68 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.