Conejos River near Mogote
20 mi- Level
- 6.7 ft
- Flow
- 2,790 cfs
Forecast peak 6.8 ft Sat 12 PM, minor flooding
Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 11:35 AM MDT at KALS
Mostly cloudy and 55°13°, 8°4° colder than usual, rain ~1 PM–3 AM (97%).
Today: low 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°), high 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°).
Now 55°13°
Mostly cloudy
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 12p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 80%, 0.46 in12 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 83% | 91% | 2 |
| Sat 1p | Rain | 51°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 51°11° | 100%, 0.46 in12 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 77% | 85% | 1 |
| Sat 2p | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 52°11° | 100%, 0.46 in12 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 71% | 91% | 1 |
| Sat 3p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 90%, 0.46 in12 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 80% | 96% | 1 |
| Sat 4p | Rain | 48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 80%, 0.46 in12 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 80% | 97% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Rain | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 80%, 0.46 in12 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 86% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Rain | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 90%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 93% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Drizzle | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 35°2° | 90%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Drizzle | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 90%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 65% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 36°2° | 80%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 92% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 37°3° | 80%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 93% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°) | 37°3° | 80%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 93% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 80%, 0.04 in1 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 70%, 0.04 in1 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Drizzle | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°) | 36°2° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 36°2° | 50%, 0.04 in1 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 93% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 35°2° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Showers | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 35°2° | 30%, 0.04 in1 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Showers | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 35°2° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 100% | 84% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Fog | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°) | 34°1° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 100% | 86% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Fog | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 35°2° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 100% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Showers | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 40°4° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 96% | 82% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Partly sunny | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h | 76% | 62% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 66% | 27% | 4 |
| Sun 12p | Mostly sunny | 52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 52°11° | 40% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph41 km/h | 61% | 40% | 5 |
| Sun 1p | Rain | 55°13° (likely 44°7° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 40% | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 29 mph46 km/h | 51% | 64% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 49°9° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 40% | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph36 km/h | 43% | 74% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Rain | 57°14° (likely 44°7° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 30% | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 40% | 64% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Partly sunny | 56°13° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 30% | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 42% | 53% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Partly sunny | 53°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°) | 53°12° | 30% | 15 mph24 km/h from SSW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 46% | 59% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Mostly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°) | 45°7° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 56% | 52% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Partly cloudy | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 39°4° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 68% | 73% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Partly cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 35°2° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 79% | 43% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Partly cloudy | 39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 35°2° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 82% | 50% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Partly cloudy | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 85% | 35% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 89% | 7% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Partly cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°) | 29°−2° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 96% | 17% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°) | 29°−2° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 96% | 4% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 26°−3° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°) | 25°−4° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°) | 23°−5° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 39% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°) | 23°−5° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 34% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Partly cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 34°1°) | 23°−5° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 30% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Partly sunny | 28°−2° (likely 21°−6° to 36°2°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 14% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 32°0° (likely 22°−6° to 37°3°) | 32°0° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 92% | 36% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Partly sunny | 36°2° (likely 26°−3° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 82% | 39% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Partly sunny | 41°5° (likely 32°0° to 43°6°) | 41°5° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 70% | 28% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Mostly sunny | 46°8° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 58% | 11% | 4 |
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
100% chance · 2.8 in70 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
90% chance · 0.9 in23 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
80% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Rain and a chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 52. East southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. East wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. East southeast wind 0 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57. South southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 23. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 24. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. South southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. South southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
97% chance of rain, high 52°, low 34°.
37% chance of rain, high 57°, low 27°, warming up.
Dry, high 57°, low 25°.
Mostly dry, highs 48–60°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PUB) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 6.8 ft Sat 12 PM, minor flooding
Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 7.9 ft Tue 6 PM, action stage
Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 73% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 25 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 8°4° colder than typical.
On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
La Jara weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:20 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 91% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.