Surface Creek at Cedaredge
11 mi- Level
- 1.9 ft
- Flow
- 134 cfs
Forecast peak 1.8 ft Fri 11 AM
Reading from Fri 9 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 10:35 AM MDT at KAJZ
Partly cloudy and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.
Today: low 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°), high 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°).
Now 59°15°
Partly sunny
Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 11a | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 61% | 20% | 3 |
| Fri 12p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 60°16° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 54% | 19% | 4 |
| Fri 1p | Showers | 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 51% | 53% | 5 |
| Fri 2p | Showers | 63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 46% | 59% | 5 |
| Fri 3p | Showers | 63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 43% | 35% | 3 |
| Fri 4p | Showers | 62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 44% | 60% | 2 |
| Fri 5p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 44% | 20% | 1 |
| Fri 6p | Mostly clear | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°) | 59°15° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 51% | 23% | 0 |
| Fri 7p | Mostly clear | 54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°) | 54°12° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 59% | 54% | 0 |
| Fri 8p | Mostly clear | 51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 62% | 30% | 0 |
| Fri 9p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 66% | 12% | 0 |
| Fri 10p | Clear | 48°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 68% | 9% | 0 |
| Fri 11p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 71% | 2% | 0 |
| Sat 12a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 72% | 6% | 0 |
| Sat 1a | Mostly clear | 44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 44°7° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 74% | 13% | 0 |
| Sat 2a | Mostly clear | 43°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 76% | 66% | 0 |
| Sat 3a | Partly cloudy | 42°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 79% | 37% | 0 |
| Sat 4a | Partly cloudy | 42°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 79% | 43% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Showers | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 41°5° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 80% | 38% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Showers | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 41°5° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 80% | 39% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 80% | 77% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Showers | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 81% | 69% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Drizzle | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 75% | 62% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Showers | 51°11° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 68% | 66% | 2 |
| Sat 11a | Partly sunny | 56°13° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 60% | 80% | 3 |
| Sat 12p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 64% | 90% | 4 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 60% | 93% | 5 |
| Sat 2p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 53°12° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 56% | 91% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 58% | 87% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 61% | 95% | 3 |
| Sat 5p | Drizzle | 60°16° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 62% | 97% | 2 |
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 76% | 95% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Drizzle | 54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 54°12° | 80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 80% | 85% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Drizzle | 52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 83% | 88% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 51°11° | 80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 85% | 83% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Drizzle | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 50°10° | 80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 86% | 88% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Thunderstorms | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 49°9° | 80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 87% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 48°9° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 87% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 47°8° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 90% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 46°8° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 92% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 96% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Partly cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 94% | 61% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Partly cloudy | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 94% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Showers | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 95% | 63% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Showers | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 93% | 56% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Showers | 46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°) | 46°8° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 93% | 33% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Showers | 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 93% | 37% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Showers | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 50°10° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 85% | 44% | 2 |
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of rain showers before 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers after 5am. Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
80% chance · 1.1 in27 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. West wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Dry, high 64°, low 41°.
52% chance of rain, high 64°, low 43°.
73% chance of rain, high 61°, low 39°, cooling off.
Highs 56–63°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 1.8 ft Fri 11 AM
Reading from Fri 9 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 3.4 ft Fri 11 AM
Reading from Fri 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 2.3 ft Fri 11 AM
Reading from Fri 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Fri 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 79% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).
Today, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.
Paonia 1sw station, 1905–2016: records and averages
This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 64°18°, over its full 1905–2016 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.
Lazear weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:28 AM, sunset 6:21 PM.
Mostly clear 9 PM–2 AM, but the moon is 95% lit and up.
Waxing gibbous
92% lit · growing
UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.