Chalk Creek at Nathrop
4.6 mi- Level
- 3.7 ft
- Flow
- 71 cfs
Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 4:55 PM MDT at KAEJ
Rainy and 33°1°, 14°8° colder than a typical Oct 24, snow ~6–10 PM (97%).
Today: low 34°1° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°), high 45°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°).
Now 33°1°
Rain
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 5p | Snow | 40°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 36°2° | 80%, 0.41 in10 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 79% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Snow | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°) | 33°1° | 100%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 89% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Snow | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 33°1° | 80%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 89% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Snow | 37°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 33°1° | 70%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 89% | 98% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Snow | 37°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 33°1° | 60%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 92% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Snow | 38°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 50%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 89% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Snow | 38°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 40%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 89% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Snow | 38°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 38°3° | 70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 92% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Snow | 38°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 38°3° | 80%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 89% | 97% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Snow | 37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 37°3° | 70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 92% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Snow | 37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 37°3° | 70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 92% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Snow | 37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 37°3° | 50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 92% | 98% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Snow | 37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 37°3° | 30%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 89% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 35°2° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 96% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Snow | 36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 36°2° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 92% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 36°2° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 92% | 92% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Partly sunny | 36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 96% | 81% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Partly sunny | 41°5° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 41°5° | 5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 79% | 74% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Mostly sunny | 43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 73% | 42% | 1 |
| Sun 12p | Mostly cloudy | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 43°6° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 68% | 56% | 2 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 44°7° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 63% | 26% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 44°7° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 56% | 65% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Rain | 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 50% | 68% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Rain | 48°9° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°) | 43°6° | 40% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 54% | 77% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 43°6° | 30% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 56% | 67% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 58% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 38°3° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 70% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°) | 38°3° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 73% | 86% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°) | 37°3° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 79% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 79% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 34°1° | 50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 82% | 93% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°) | 33°1° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 82% | 90% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Drizzle | 36°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°) | 33°1° | 10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 79% | 91% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Mostly cloudy | 35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 32°0° | 0%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 82% | 72% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°) | 30°−1° | 0%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 85% | 53% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Mostly cloudy | 33°1° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°) | 29°−2° | 0%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 85% | 38% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Mostly cloudy | 32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°) | 27°−3° | 0%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 85% | 34% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Partly cloudy | 32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 85% | 31% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Sunny | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 88% | 31% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 92% | 31% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Partly sunny | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 85% | 30% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Sunny | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 72% | 27% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 57% | 12% | 4 |
| Mon 12p | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 47% | 9% | 5 |
| Mon 1p | Mostly sunny | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 40% | 10% | 5 |
| Mon 2p | Mostly sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 37% | 6% | 5 |
| Mon 3p | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 35% | 4% | 4 |
| Mon 4p | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 51°11° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 34% | 6% | 3 |
Evening
6 PM–midnight
100% chance · 0.72 in18 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
80% chance · 0.42 in11 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 45. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight: Rain and snow showers before 7pm, then rain and snow showers between 7pm and 8pm, then a slight chance of sleet and rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 34. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. South southwest wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 8pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 26. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 55. West southwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 26. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 54. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.15 in3.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
81% chance of snow, high 45°, low 34°.
38% chance of snow, high 51°, low 30°, warming up.
Dry, high 53°, low 26°.
Highs 46–57°; chance of precipitation on Monday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PUB) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 3:30 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 70% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 26 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 32°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 14°8° colder than typical.
On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Nathrop weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:22 AM, sunset 6:13 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 97% cover).
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing
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