Flood Watch
Ends in 13 h 24 min
When
Through Friday evening.
Where
Portions of southwest Colorado, including the following areas, Animas River Basin, Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, San Juan River Basin and Southwest San Juan Mountains and Utah, including the following areas, Arches/Grand Flat, Canyonlands/Natural Bridges, La Sal and Abajo Mountains and Southeast Utah.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, recent burn scars and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Flooding is imminent or ongoing with additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected through Friday afternoon. Rivers and creeks may still experience high waters even after rainfall has ended.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Uncompahgre Plateau/Dallas Divide; Northwestern San Juan Mountains; Southwest San Juan Mountains; Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River; Four Corners/Upper Dolores River; Animas River Basin; San Juan River Basin; Southeast Utah; Arches/Grand Flat; La Sal and Abajo Mountains; Canyonlands/Natural Bridges
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 9:55 AM MDT at KAIB

Naturita, CO weather

Sunny and 53°12°.

Forecasts agree

Now 53°12°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Gusts to 22 mph36 km/h around 2 PM
Dew point: 45°7°; Comfortable · down to 37°3° by 7 PM
UV index: 1Low; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 5
Pressure: 30.09 inHg1019 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Dry until tonight 4 AM
High 61°16° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Rain and storms tomorrow from 4 AM (90%, 2.4 in61 mm)
Low 42°6° tonight at 5 AM

This morningNear 54°12° · rain chance 10% · Partly cloudy
This afternoonNear 58°14° · Clear
TonightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Rain 4–6 AM (40%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (70%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 56°13° · Rain all afternoon (90%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 43°6° by 5 AM · Storms all night (90%)
Sunday morningNear 44°7° · Rain all morning (60%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 10a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	75%	37%	1
Fri 11a	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	65%	26%	3
Fri 12p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	57%	26%	4
Fri 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)	60°16°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	52%	26%	5
Fri 2p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	60°16°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	49%	20%	5
Fri 3p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	45%	13%	4
Fri 4p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from WSW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	43%	14%	2
Fri 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	46%	17%	1
Fri 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	57%	3%	1
Fri 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	62%	4%	0
Fri 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	68%	0%	0
Fri 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	73%	0%	0
Fri 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	6%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	78%	13%	0
Sat 12a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	5%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	80%	35%	0
Sat 1a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	42°6°	5%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	81%	41%	0
Sat 2a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	82%	52%	0
Sat 3a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	84%	73%	0
Sat 4a	Showers	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	83%	42%	0
Sat 5a	Showers	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	85%	45%	0
Sat 6a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	87%	71%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	88%	87%	0
Sat 8a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	93%	0
Sat 9a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	88%	1
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	49°9°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	79%	49%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	66%	41%	3
Sat 12p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	57°14°	80%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	61%	70%	4
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	80%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	59%	74%	5
Sat 2p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	80%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	57%	88%	5
Sat 3p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	90%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	56%	89%	4
Sat 4p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	90%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	58%	88%	2
Sat 5p	Rain	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	90%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	67%	89%	1
Sat 6p	Rain	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	89%	87%	0
Sat 7p	Rain	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	85%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	86%	83%	0
Sat 9p	Drizzle	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	87%	86%	0
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	88%	76%	0
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	47°8°	90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	89%	60%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	90%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	25%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	45°7°	90%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	91%	77%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	44°7°	90%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	93%	68%	0
Sun 3a	Showers	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	90%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	95%	70%	0
Sun 4a	Showers	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	42°6°	90%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	94%	57%	0
Sun 5a	Showers	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	90%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	44%	0
Sun 6a	Drizzle	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	41°5°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	41%	0
Sun 7a	Showers	44°7° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	42°6°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	92%	27%	0
Sun 8a	Showers	44°7° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	42°6°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	36%	0
Sun 9a	Showers	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 51°11°)	43°6°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	92%	37%	1

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 23. Partly sunny. High 61°16°, low 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 42°6°
  40% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 61°16°).
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 60°16°, low 43°6°. Storms 0.38 in9.7 mm, 90% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  70% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 59°15°
  90% chance · 0.66 in17 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 49°9°
  90% chance · 1.3 in34 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 43°6°
  90% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 56°13°, low 38°3°. Storms 0.15 in3.8 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 44°7°
  60% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  60% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before noon, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 57°14°, low 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–61°16°
Low, likely
32°0°–41°5°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 61°16°, low 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
32°0°–42°6°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 60°16°, low 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–65°18°
Low, likely
31°−1°–43°6°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 60°16°, low 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 41°5°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
31°−1°–44°7°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 40°4°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 60°15°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 51°10°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°5°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–64°18°
Low, likely
32°0°–46°8°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 40°4°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–63°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–47°8°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–56°13°
Low, likely
38°3°–51°11°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
85% chance of rain, high 60°, low 43°.
Sunday
78% chance of rain, high 56°, low 38°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 53–61°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Dolores River at Bedrock

18 mi

Action stage

Level: 13.6 ft
Flow: 4,650 cfs

Reading from Fri 8:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Dolores River near Bedrock

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 9.0 ft
Flow: 3,540 cfs

Forecast peak 9.6 ft Fri 10 AM

Reading from Fri 8 AM · NWS gauge page

San Miguel River Brooks Bridge near Nucla

4.0 mi

Level: 5.7 ft
Flow: 2,440 cfs

Reading from Fri 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

San Miguel River at Uravan

12 mi

Level: 7.0 ft
Flow: 2,750 cfs

Reading from Fri 8:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:49–6:41 PM; Morning 7:14–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:41–6:52 PM; Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:52 PM–12 AM, but the moon is 95% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

92% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:43 AM · rises 4:56 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Naturita. The highest point on the skyline is about 14,200 ft, 60 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

UniColorado Heating & Cooling, a Denver HVAC installer

UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.

(303) 250-1000 Check the service area

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch