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Observed 11:35 AM MDT at KSBS

Oak Creek, CO weather

Sunny and 56°13°, 8°4° warmer than a typical Oct 23, jacket by 5 PM.

Today: low 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°), high 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°).

Forecasts agree

Now 56°13°

Sunny

Wind
5 mph8 km/h
From the southwest. Gusts to 27 mph43 km/h around 1 PM
Dew point
38°3°
Comfortable
UV index
4Moderate
Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5
Air quality
9Good
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure
30.04 inHg1017 hPa
Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.6 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Gusts to 27 mph43 km/h until 5 PM
  • High 58°14° today at 3 PM
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
  • Rain tomorrow 3–6 PM (40%)
  1. This afternoonNear 55°13° · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h · Clear
  2. TonightDown to 33°1° by 4 AM · rain chance 10% · Clear
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 58°14° by 2 PM · Rain 3–6 PM (40%)
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 36°2° by 3 AM · rain chance 50% · Partly cloudy
  6. Sunday morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy · rain chance 20%
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Fri 12pSunny55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)55°13°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h52%2%4
Fri 1pSunny56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)56°13°5%15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h48%2%5
Fri 2pSunny57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)57°14°5%15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h41%8%4
Fri 3pSunny58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)58°14°5%15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h39%12%3
Fri 4pSunny57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)57°14°5%15 mph24 km/h from WSW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h39%2%2
Fri 5pSunny55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)55°13°5%10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 23 mph37 km/h42%1%1
Fri 6pClear51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)51°11°5%5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h47%0%1
Fri 7pClear46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)43°6°5%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph14 km/h57%0%0
Fri 8pClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)42°6°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h66%0%0
Fri 9pClear40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h70%0%0
Fri 10pClear38°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h75%1%0
Fri 11pClear37°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h80%2%0
Sat 12aClear36°2° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h82%2%0
Sat 1aClear35°2° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h85%0%0
Sat 2aClear35°2° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h84%1%0
Sat 3aClear34°1° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h87%3%0
Sat 4aClear33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)33°1°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h87%7%0
Sat 5aClear34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)34°1°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h85%13%0
Sat 6aClear33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)33°1°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h89%11%0
Sat 7aSunny33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)33°1°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h88%17%0
Sat 8aShowers33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)30°−1°20%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h86%54%0
Sat 9aCloudy38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)34°1°20%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h79%79%1
Sat 10aCloudy44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)42°6°20%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h72%80%2
Sat 11aCloudy51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)48°9°20%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h58%80%3
Sat 12pCloudy54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)54°12°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h51%81%4
Sat 1pCloudy56°13° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)56°13°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph36 km/h50%83%4
Sat 2pCloudy58°14° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)58°14°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h45%84%3
Sat 3pCloudy57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)57°14°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h46%86%3
Sat 4pCloudy56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)56°13°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h49%93%1
Sat 5pRain54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h54%86%1
Sat 6pDrizzle49°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)47°8°50%5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h63%96%0
Sat 7pDrizzle46°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)42°6°50%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h68%94%0
Sat 8pCloudy44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)38°3°50%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h72%87%0
Sat 9pShowers42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)35°2°50%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h77%60%0
Sat 10pShowers41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)33°1°50%15 mph24 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h79%44%0
Sat 11pClear40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)33°1°50%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h81%21%0
Sun 12aMostly clear39°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)32°0°10%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h84%48%0
Sun 1aClear38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)32°0°10%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h85%31%0
Sun 2aCloudy37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)31°−1°10%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h87%60%0
Sun 3aClear36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)30°−1°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h89%30%0
Sun 4aClear36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)31°−1°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h89%30%0
Sun 5aClear36°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)31°−1°10%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h89%39%0
Sun 6aShowers36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)32°0°20%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h90%48%0
Sun 7aShowers37°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)33°1°20%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h86%27%0
Sun 8aShowers38°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)35°2°20%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h82%39%0
Sun 9aShowers40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)37°3°20%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h80%61%1
Sun 10aShowers45°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)42°6°20%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h71%50%2
Sun 11aShowers49°9° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)48°9°20%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h64%39%3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1986–2026)
  1. Today, Oct 23. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 32°0°. Typical 50°10° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 42°6°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 33°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. West southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    21 mph34 km/h, gusts 38 mph62 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 24. Showers. High 59°15°, low 33°1°. Typical 50°10° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 58°14°

      40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 44°7°

      50% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. East southeast wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    55°13°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    19 mph31 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Sunday, Oct 25. Showers. High 55°13°, low 31°−1°. Typical 49°10° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 38°3°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 53°11°

      60% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 42°5°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 37°3°

      50% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain showers likely before 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. West southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    49°9°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    49°10° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 51°11°, low 28°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 24°−5°. Snow 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 33°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 51.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    47°8°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 24°−5°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 56°13°, low 28°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 23°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 51°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 31°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 9pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    16 mph25 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 54°12°, low 28°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 23°−5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 31°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 54.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 29°−2°. Typical 47°8° / 22°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 42°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    54°12°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 22°−5°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 33°1°. Typical 47°8° / 22°−6°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 34°1°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    51°11°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 32°0°. Typical 46°8° / 21°−6°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 38°3°

      30% chance · 0.4 in1 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 51°11°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 40°5°

      40% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    43°6°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 48°9°, low 32°0°. Typical 46°8° / 21°−6°. Rain 0.25 in6.4 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      30% chance · 0.6 in1.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      30% chance · 0.4 in0.9 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      40% chance · 0.5 in1.3 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    41°5°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 58°, low 32°.

  2. Tomorrow

    43% chance of rain, high 59°, low 33°.

  3. Sunday

    61% chance of rain, high 55°, low 31°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 48–56°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Yampa River above Stagecoach Reservoir

3.5 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.2 ft
Flow
31 cfs

Forecast peak 2.2 ft Fri 12 PM

Reading from Fri 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Yampa River below Stagecoach Reservoir

6.8 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.5 ft
Flow
28 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Fri 12 PM

Reading from Fri 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Yampa River at Steamboat Springs

16 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.1 ft
Flow
95 cfs

Forecast peak 1.2 ft Fri 12 PM

Reading from Fri 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Elk River near Milner

17 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.7 ft
Flow
102 cfs

Forecast peak 1.7 ft Fri 12 PM

Reading from Fri 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 79% less heating than a typical week.

This week 42Typical 203

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
32
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 38°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Crosho · forecast.blue computed averages, 1986–2026 · records 1986–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 8°4° warmer than typical.

Typical high / low (computed)
50°10° / 25°−4°
Forecast high / low
58°14° / 32°0°
Record high
69°21° in 2003
Record low
8°−13° in 1995

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SatOct 17
  2. —SunOct 18
  3. —MonOct 19
  4. —TueOct 20
  5. —WedOct 21
  6. —ThuOct 22
  7. —FriOct 23

Yampa station, 1941–2024: records and averages

This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 54°12°, over its full 1941–2024 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.

Oak Creek weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:27 AM, sunset 6:16 PM.

Daylight
10 h 49 min
Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 31 min less
Golden hour
5:38–6:33 PM
Morning 7:10–8:05 AM
Blue hour
6:33–6:43 PM
Morning 6:59–7:10 AM; first light 6:59 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 6:43 PM–7 AM; moon 95% lit, sets 5:46 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

93% lit · growing

Today
sets 4:37 AM · rises 4:49 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking southwest from Oak Creek. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,200 ft, 20 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

UniColorado Heating & Cooling, a Denver HVAC installer

UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.