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  • Flood Warning

    Ends in 11 h 27 min

    The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Colorado

    When
    Until late Friday night.
    Where
    San Juan River at Pagosa Springs.

    This place is inside the warning area · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

    Impacts

    At 14.5 feet, Water has reached the foundations of some homes in the San Juan River Ranch northeast of Pagosa Springs.

    Additional details

    • At 11:00 PM MDT Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet.
    • Bankfull stage is 8.5 feet.
    • Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 11:00 PM MDT Thursday was 13.6 feet.
    • Forecast...The river will rise to 15.0 feet late tonight. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening to 8.0 feet Saturday evening. It will rise to 8.1 feet Sunday morning. It will then fall again and remain below flood stage.
    • Flood stage is 10.5 feet.
    • Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.5 feet on 06/29/1927.
    • http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

    San Juan River at Pagosa Springs affecting Archuleta County.

    For the San Juan River...including Pagosa Springs, Bluff...Major flooding is forecast.

    Precautionary actions

    Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.

    Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

    Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/gjt.

    The next statement will be issued late Friday night at 1230 AM MDT.

    Areas: Archuleta, CO

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
  • Flood Warning

    Ends in 53 min

    When
    Until 145 PM MDT.
    Where
    Archuleta County in southwestern Colorado...

    This place is inside the warning area · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Urban areas and small streams flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues.

    Impacts

    Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations is occurring. Several structures are flooded, and numerous roads remain closed due to flooding impacts county wide. Additional thunderstorms forecast for this afternoon increase the threat for flash flooding impacts on top of flooded rivers, creeks and streams.

    Additional details

    • At 1124 AM MDT, Gauge reports indicated high accumulations of rainfall since Thursday. Flooding is ongoing in the warned area. Between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain have fallen.
    • Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the warned area from afternoon thunderstorms. Periods of heavy rainfall are possible which increases the threat of flooding across Archuleta County where rivers are already full and exceeding their banks. Saturated soils will allow for efficient runoff and pose the threat for localized flash flooding.
    • Some locations that will experience flooding include... Pagosa Springs, Lonetree, Chimney Rock, Juanita, Gato, Pagosa Junction, Chromo and Arboles.
    • http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

    Precautionary actions

    Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.

    Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

    Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

    Areas: Archuleta, CO

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
  • Flood Watch

    Ends in 1 day 23 h

    When
    Through Sunday morning.
    Where
    Portions of southwest Colorado, including the following areas, Animas River Basin, Four Corners/Upper Dolores River, San Juan River Basin and Southwest San Juan Mountains and Utah, including the following areas, Arches/Grand Flat, Canyonlands/Natural Bridges, La Sal and Abajo Mountains and Southeast Utah.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.

    Impacts

    Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, recent burn scars and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.

    Additional details

    • Flooding is imminent or ongoing with additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected through Saturday afternoon. Rivers and creeks may still experience high waters even after rainfall has ended.
    • http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

    Precautionary actions

    You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

    Areas: Uncompahgre Plateau/Dallas Divide; Northwestern San Juan Mountains; Southwest San Juan Mountains; Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River; Four Corners/Upper Dolores River; Animas River Basin; San Juan River Basin; Southeast Utah; Arches/Grand Flat; La Sal and Abajo Mountains; Canyonlands/Natural Bridges

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 12:15 PM MDT at KPSO

Pagosa Springs, CO weather

Flood Warning. 55°13° and mostly sunny now.

Today: low 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°), high 58°14° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°).

Mostly agree

Now 55°13°

Mostly sunny

Wind
5 mph8 km/h
From the south-southeast. About 5 mph8 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point
46°8°
Comfortable
UV index
5Moderate
Moderate until 4 PM
Pressure
30.21 inHg1023 hPa
Falling · −0.08 inHg−2.7 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

Moderate rain now, through the next 2 hours.

  1. 12:00 AM: moderate rain
  2. 12:15 AM: moderate rain
  3. 12:30 AM: moderate rain
  4. 12:45 AM: moderate rain
  5. 1:00 AM: light rain
  6. 1:15 AM: moderate rain
  7. 1:30 AM: light rain
  8. 1:45 AM: moderate rain

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Rain and storms for the next 48 hours (100%, 5.3 in136 mm)
  • High 57°14° today at 3 PM
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
  • Low 38°3° tomorrow at 6 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 55°13° · Rain all afternoon (80%)
  2. TonightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Rain all night (70%)
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (80%)
  4. Tomorrow afternoonNear 54°12° · Storms all afternoon (90%)
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Storms all night (100%)
  6. Sunday morningUp to 46°8° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (90%)
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Fri 12pPartly sunny54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°70%, 0.14 in3.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h75%76%5
Fri 1pCloudy55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)55°13°70%, 0.14 in3.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h70%83%5
Fri 2pCloudy56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)56°13°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h63%75%5
Fri 3pDrizzle57°14° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)57°14°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h58%81%4
Fri 4pSnow56°13° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)56°13°70%, 0.14 in3.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h60%71%1
Fri 5pDrizzle55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)55°13°60%, 0.14 in3.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h61%89%2
Fri 6pCloudy54°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)54°12°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h65%87%1
Fri 7pDrizzle48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)47°8°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h84%87%0
Fri 8pCloudy46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)45°7°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h90%72%0
Fri 9pCloudy45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)43°6°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h91%74%0
Fri 10pClear44°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)42°6°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h94%42%0
Fri 11pMostly clear43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)42°6°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h95%59%0
Sat 12aClear42°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)41°5°50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h98%48%0
Sat 1aCloudy41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)41°5°50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%85%0
Sat 2aCloudy41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)41°5°50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%86%0
Sat 3aDrizzle40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)40°4°60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%94%0
Sat 4aDrizzle40°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)40°4°60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph10 km/h100%88%0
Sat 5aPartly cloudy39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)39°4°70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%75%0
Sat 6aCloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)38°3°70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%90%0
Sat 7aPartly sunny38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)38°3°70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%55%0
Sat 8aCloudy39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)36°2°70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%73%0
Sat 9aMostly sunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)38°3°80%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%61%1
Sat 10aPartly sunny46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)45°7°80%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h97%75%1
Sat 11aCloudy51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)51°11°80%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h80%88%2
Sat 12pCloudy54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)54°12°90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h71%99%1
Sat 1pThunderstorms55°13° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)55°13°90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h69%99%1
Sat 2pThunderstorms56°13° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)57°14°90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h63%99%2
Sat 3pRain54°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)54°12°90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h67%98%1
Sat 4pThunderstorms54°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)54°12°90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h67%94%2
Sat 5pThunderstorms53°12° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)53°12°90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h68%93%1
Sat 6pThunderstorms51°11° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)51°11°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h72%96%1
Sat 7pDrizzle47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)44°7°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h87%96%0
Sat 8pCloudy45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)41°5°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h92%88%0
Sat 9pCloudy44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)41°5°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h93%91%0
Sat 10pPartly cloudy44°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)40°4°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h95%73%0
Sat 11pCloudy43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)41°5°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h97%94%0
Sun 12aThunderstorms42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)42°6°100%, 0.12 in3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h98%92%0
Sun 1aCloudy41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)41°5°100%, 0.12 in3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%91%0
Sun 2aCloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)40°4°100%, 0.12 in3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h100%83%0
Sun 3aDrizzle39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)39°4°100%, 0.12 in3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h100%84%0
Sun 4aCloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)38°3°100%, 0.12 in3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h100%86%0
Sun 5aCloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)38°3°100%, 0.12 in3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%74%0
Sun 6aDrizzle36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)36°2°90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h100%77%0
Sun 7aDrizzle36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)37°3°90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%64%0
Sun 8aDrizzle38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)38°3°90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h98%65%0
Sun 9aDrizzle39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)37°3°90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h100%60%1
Sun 10aDrizzle43°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)40°4°90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h92%56%2
Sun 11aDrizzle46°8° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)43°6°90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h81%46%4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (2018–2026)
  1. Today, Oct 23. Thunderstorms. High 58°14°, low 37°3°. Typical 61°16° / 24°−5°. Storms 0.92 in23 mm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 57°14°

      80% chance · 0.84 in21 mm

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 39°4°

      70% chance · 0.42 in11 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 58. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    51°11°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 24°−5°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 58°14°, low 35°2°. Typical 60°15° / 23°−5°. Storms 0.77 in20 mm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 39°4°

      80% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Thunderstorms, 56°13°

      90% chance · 1.4 in35 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Thunderstorms, 45°7°

      90% chance · 1.3 in34 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Thunderstorms, 38°3°

      100% chance · 0.72 in18 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. East southeast wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 35. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    60°15° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  3. Sunday, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 54°12°, low 27°−3°. Typical 60°15° / 23°−5°. Storms 0.55 in14 mm, 90% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 38°3°

      90% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Showers, 51°11°

      60% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 40°5°

      60% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 32°0°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 54. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    47°8°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    60°15° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 56°13°, low 26°−3°. Typical 59°15° / 22°−5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 33°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 32°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 56.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 26.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 22°−5°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 58°14°, low 28°−2°. Typical 59°15° / 22°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 36°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 42°6°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 32°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 58.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 28.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    52°11°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 28°−2°. Typical 58°15° / 22°−6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 56°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 42°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 33°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 59.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    54°12°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    58°15° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  7. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 31°−1°. Typical 58°14° / 21°−6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 39°4°

      30% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

    Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    54°12°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 37°3°. Typical 58°14° / 21°−6°. Rain 0.48 in12 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 42°5°

      30% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 55°13°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 44°7°

      40% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 37°3°

      50% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    47°8°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    5 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  9. Saturday, Oct 31. Rain. High 51°11°, low 37°3°. Typical 57°14° / 21°−6°. Rain 0.38 in9.7 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 44°7°

      50% chance · 0.07 in1.9 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 38°3°

      40% chance · 0.15 in3.9 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    46°8°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 47°8°, low 33°1°. Typical 57°14° / 20°−6°. Rain 0.62 in16 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      40% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 46°8°

      40% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 40°5°

      50% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    40°4°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 20°−6°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    83% chance of rain, high 58°, low 37°.

  2. Tomorrow

    90% chance of rain, high 58°, low 35°.

  3. Sunday

    85% chance of rain, high 54°, low 27°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 47–59°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

San Juan River at Pagosa Springs

0.4 mi
Major flooding
Level
13.5 ft
Flow
7,610 cfs

Forecast peak 10.8 ft Fri 6 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Fri 12 PM · NWS gauge page

Navajo River near Chromo

22 mi
Action stage
Level
6.5 ft
Flow
2,800 cfs

Forecast peak 6.1 ft Fri 1 PM, action stage

Reading from Fri 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Rio Blanco Near Blanco Dam

11 mi
Level
4.8 ft

Reading from Fri 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Piedra River near Arboles

25 mi
Level
10.4 ft

Reading from Fri 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 77% less heating than a typical week.

This week 39Typical 169

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
32
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Pagosa Springs · forecast.blue computed averages, 2018–2026 · records 2018–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°1° colder than typical.

Typical high / low (computed)
61°16° / 24°−5°
Forecast high / low
58°14° / 37°3°
Record high
70°21° in 2023
Record low
16°−9° in 2019

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SatOct 17
  2. —SunOct 18
  3. —MonOct 19
  4. —TueOct 20
  5. —WedOct 21
  6. —ThuOct 22
  7. —FriOct 23

Dulce station, 1906–2021: records and averages

This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 63°17°, over its full 1906–2021 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.

Pagosa Springs weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:23 AM, sunset 6:20 PM.

Daylight
10 h 57 min
Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 21 min less
Golden hour
5:44–6:36 PM
Morning 7:07–7:59 AM
Blue hour
6:36–6:46 PM
Morning 6:57–7:07 AM; first light 6:57 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 76% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

93% lit · growing

Today
sets 4:37 AM · rises 4:50 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northeast from Pagosa Springs. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,500 ft, 13 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

UniColorado Heating & Cooling, a Denver HVAC installer

UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.