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Observed 12:15 PM MDT at KAJZ

Paonia, CO weather

Overcast and 53°11°, rain ~2 PM–5 AM (70%).

Today: low 43°6° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°), high 66°19° (likely 56°13° to 66°19°).

Mostly agree

Now 53°11°

Cloudy

Wind
14 mph22 km/h
From the west. Up to 14 mph22 km/h through 1 AM
Dew point
44°7°
Comfortable
UV index
4Moderate
Moderate until 3 PM

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Rain until Monday 6 AM (70%, 1.7 in42 mm)
  • High 63°17° today at 2 PM
  • Low 43°6° tomorrow at 7 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 61°16° · Rain all afternoon (70%)
  2. TonightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · Rain all night (70%)
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (60%)
  4. Tomorrow afternoonDown to 56°13° by 5 PM · Rain all afternoon (70%)
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 4 AM · Rain all night (60%)
  6. Monday morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Partly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 1pDrizzle61°16° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°)61°16°70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h59%96%4
Sat 2pRain63°17° (likely 50°10° to 63°17°)63°17°60%, 0.13 in3.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h56%93%3
Sat 3pDrizzle63°17° (likely 51°11° to 63°17°)63°17°60%, 0.13 in3.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h58%98%2
Sat 4pCloudy63°17° (likely 51°11° to 63°17°)63°17°60%, 0.13 in3.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h57%94%1
Sat 5pDrizzle61°16° (likely 50°10° to 61°16°)61°16°60%, 0.13 in3.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h60%92%0
Sat 6pDrizzle58°14° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°)58°14°70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h65%88%0
Sat 7pCloudy54°12° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)54°12°70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h73%80%0
Sat 8pCloudy52°11° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)53°12°70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h72%83%0
Sat 9pCloudy51°11° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)51°11°70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h74%87%0
Sat 10pCloudy51°11° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)49°9°60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h74%80%0
Sat 11pCloudy50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)49°9°60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h76%77%0
Sun 12aCloudy49°9° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)48°9°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h78%72%0
Sun 1aCloudy48°9° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)48°9°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h80%79%0
Sun 2aClear46°8° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)47°8°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h82%37%0
Sun 3aCloudy46°8° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)44°7°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h84%85%0
Sun 4aCloudy45°7° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)44°7°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h85%82%0
Sun 5aCloudy45°7° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)45°7°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h83%78%0
Sun 6aShowers44°7° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)44°7°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h86%74%0
Sun 7aShowers43°6° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)43°6°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h90%53%0
Sun 8aShowers43°6° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)41°5°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h91%63%0
Sun 9aCloudy48°9° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)46°8°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h84%63%1
Sun 10aCloudy52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)52°11°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h78%63%2
Sun 11aDrizzle57°14° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)57°14°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h66%61%3
Sun 12pCloudy60°16° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)60°16°70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h59%68%4
Sun 1pCloudy60°16° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)60°16°70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h59%71%5
Sun 2pCloudy60°16° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°)60°16°70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h56%77%5
Sun 3pCloudy60°16° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)60°16°70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h56%88%3
Sun 4pMostly sunny60°16° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)60°16°70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h56%70%2
Sun 5pRain56°13° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)57°14°70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h62%95%1
Sun 6pCloudy53°12° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)53°12°60%, 0.04 in1 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h68%93%0
Sun 7pCloudy49°9° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)49°9°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h79%95%0
Sun 8pCloudy48°9° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)48°9°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h77%97%0
Sun 9pPartly cloudy47°8° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)47°8°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h80%71%0
Sun 10pMostly clear46°8° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)47°8°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h79%65%0
Sun 11pCloudy45°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)45°7°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h80%83%0
Mon 12aCloudy45°7° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)45°7°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h81%76%0
Mon 1aShowers43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)43°6°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h85%80%0
Mon 2aShowers42°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)43°6°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h86%71%0
Mon 3aShowers42°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)42°6°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h87%72%0
Mon 4aShowers41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)41°5°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h88%66%0
Mon 5aPartly cloudy42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)42°6°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h85%60%0
Mon 6aMostly clear41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)41°5°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h88%37%0
Mon 7aPartly cloudy40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)40°4°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h91%34%0
Mon 8aPartly sunny42°6° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)42°6°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h90%30%0
Mon 9aPartly sunny45°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)43°6°10%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h85%20%1
Mon 10aMostly sunny48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)47°8°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h79%18%2
Mon 11aMostly sunny51°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)51°11°10%5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h72%20%3
Mon 12pMostly sunny54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)54°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph10 km/h65%16%4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (2019–2026)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 32°0°. Storms 0.2 in5.1 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 63°17°

      70% chance · 0.65 in17 mm

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      70% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. North northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    56°13°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 32°0°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 60°16°, low 40°4°. Typical 62°16° / 31°0°. Storms 0.17 in4.3 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 43°6°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 60°16°

      70% chance · 0.42 in11 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 48°9°

      60% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 41°5°

      50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain showers likely before 9am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. South southwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    52°11°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    62°16° / 31°0°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 38°3°. Typical 61°16° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 47°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 59. South southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 39°4°. Typical 61°16° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 59°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 42°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 62.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 39.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    55°13°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 60°16° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    57°14°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 60°15° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    58°14°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    60°15° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 62°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 59°15° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 49°10°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 60°15°

      50% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 50°10°

      60% chance · 0.14 in3.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.16 in4.2 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.

    Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Rain. High 49°9°, low 40°4°. Typical 59°15° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.49 in12 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      60% chance · 0.12 in2.9 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 40°5°

      50% chance · 0.7 in1.9 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 46°8°, low 34°1°. Typical 59°15° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.31 in7.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      50% chance · 0.7 in1.8 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 48°9°

      40% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 41°5°

      50% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 36°2°

      40% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    41°5°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 31°−1°. Typical 58°14° / 29°−1°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      40% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 51°11°

      40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 40°5°

      40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    42°6°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 29°−1°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    67% chance of rain, high 66°, low 43°.

  2. Tomorrow

    66% chance of rain, high 60°, low 40°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 59°, low 38°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 46–66°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Gunnison River near Somerset

9.3 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.8 ft
Flow
260 cfs

Forecast peak 1.8 ft Sat 1 PM

Reading from Sat 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Muddy Creek below Paonia Reservoir

14 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.5 ft
Flow
5 cfs

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sat 1 PM

Reading from Sat 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Surface Creek at Cedaredge

18 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.4 ft
Flow
57 cfs

Forecast peak 1.4 ft Sat 1 PM

Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page

Anthracite Creek Above Mouth near Somerset

13 mi
Level
1.9 ft
Flow
244 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 78% less heating than a typical week.

This week 29Typical 136

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
20
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 7 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 44°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Csu Rogers Mesa Research Sta · forecast.blue computed averages, 2019–2026 · records 2019–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° warmer than typical.

Typical high / low (computed)
62°17° / 32°0°
Forecast high / low
66°19° / 43°6°
Record high
72°22° in 2020
Record low
26°−3° in 2019

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Paonia 1sw station, 1905–2016: records and averages

This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 64°18°, over its full 1905–2016 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.

Paonia weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:29 AM, sunset 6:19 PM.

Daylight
10 h 50 min
Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour
5:42–6:36 PM
Morning 7:12–8:06 AM
Blue hour
6:36–6:46 PM
Morning 7:01–7:12 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 75% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:47 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking east from Paonia. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,600 ft, 12 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

UniColorado Heating & Cooling, a Denver HVAC installer

UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.