San Juan River at Pagosa Springs
15 mi- Level
- 9.8 ft
- Flow
- 3,790 cfs
Forecast peak 9.8 ft Sat 11 AM, action stage
Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 1 day
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, recent burn scars and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Uncompahgre Plateau/Dallas Divide; Northwestern San Juan Mountains; Southwest San Juan Mountains; Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River; Four Corners/Upper Dolores River; Animas River Basin; San Juan River Basin; Southeast Utah; Arches/Grand Flat; La Sal and Abajo Mountains; Canyonlands/Natural Bridges
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 10:55 AM MDT at KPSO
Stormy and 50°10°, storms ~12–5 PM (99%).
Today: low 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°), high 52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°).
Now 50°10°
Thunderstorms
Light rain starting around 6:15 AM.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 11a | Drizzle | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 90%, 0.13 in3.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 94% | 98% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Rain | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 100%, 0.31 in7.9 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 91% | 100% | 1 |
| Sat 1p | Rain | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 90%, 0.31 in7.9 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 91% | 100% | 2 |
| Sat 2p | Thunderstorms | 49°9° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 90%, 0.31 in7.9 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 80% | 99% | 2 |
| Sat 3p | Thunderstorms | 47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 80%, 0.31 in7.9 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 85% | 98% | 1 |
| Sat 4p | Thunderstorms | 48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 70%, 0.31 in7.9 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 79% | 99% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 50%, 0.31 in7.9 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 82% | 99% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Drizzle | 43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 100%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 90% | 100% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Rain | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 90%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Rain | 41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 90%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 97% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Rain | 41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 80%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 95% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Rain | 42°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°) | 38°3° | 80%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 90% | 98% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Rain | 41°5° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 90%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 92% | 98% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Drizzle | 41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 93% | 97% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Drizzle | 40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 37°3° | 90%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 97% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Drizzle | 40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 93% | 97% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Drizzle | 41°5° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°) | 39°4° | 70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 90% | 98% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 39°4° | 70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 92% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 38°3° | 60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 95% | 92% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Snow | 38°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°) | 38°3° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 96% | 86% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Snow | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 34°1° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 95% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Snow | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 34°1° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 95% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Partly sunny | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 35°2° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h | 96% | 77% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°) | 35°2° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 100% | 91% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 37°3° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 92% | 97% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 39°4° | 70%, 0.04 in1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 80% | 97% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 70%, 0.04 in1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 76% | 96% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 70%, 0.04 in1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 71% | 55% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Partly sunny | 49°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 62% | 78% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 64% | 37% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Drizzle | 45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 43°6° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 66% | 90% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 40°4° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 72% | 84% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Snow | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°) | 33°1° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 95% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Heavy snow | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°) | 32°0° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 94% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Snow | 35°2° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°) | 32°0° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 90% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°) | 34°1° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 89% | 32% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°) | 34°1° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 88% | 24% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Partly cloudy | 33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°) | 33°1° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 88% | 62% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Partly cloudy | 33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°) | 33°1° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 87% | 52% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Partly cloudy | 32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 32°0° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 87% | 47% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 32°0° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 34% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Partly cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°) | 31°−1° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 88% | 47% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Partly cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 30°−1° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 89% | 38% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 92% | 31% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Mostly sunny | 31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 90% | 36% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Mostly sunny | 32°0° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°) | 32°0° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 90% | 25% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Mostly sunny | 34°1° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 90% | 14% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Mostly sunny | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°) | 35°2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 80% | 21% | 2 |
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
100% chance · 1.9 in47 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
100% chance · 2.2 in55 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
90% chance · 0.66 in17 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 52. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 37. South southeast wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. South wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 53. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 30.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 30.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
60% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
70% chance · 0.25 in6.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
80% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
80% chance · 1 in2.5 cm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.4 in0.9 cm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.5 in1.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
60% chance · 0.4 in1.1 cm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.5 in1.2 cm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 1.4 in3.6 cm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 1.5 in3.8 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
99% chance of rain, high 52°, low 37°.
74% chance of snow, high 51°, low 29°.
Dry, high 53°, low 30°.
Highs 42–57°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 9.8 ft Sat 11 AM, action stage
Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sat 11 AM
Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 75% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 33 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 5°3° warmer than typical.
Pagosa Springs 1se station, 1906–1998: records and averages
This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 60°16°, over its full 1906–1998 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.
Piedra weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:25 AM, sunset 6:19 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 96% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.