Lost Canyon Creek above Dolores
21 mi- Level
- 4.8 ft
- Flow
- 280 cfs
Forecast peak 4.5 ft Sat 8 AM
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 1 day 4 h
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, recent burn scars and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Uncompahgre Plateau/Dallas Divide; Northwestern San Juan Mountains; Southwest San Juan Mountains; Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River; Four Corners/Upper Dolores River; Animas River Basin; San Juan River Basin; Southeast Utah; Arches/Grand Flat; La Sal and Abajo Mountains; Canyonlands/Natural Bridges
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 6:55 AM MDT at KCEZ
Clear and 45°7°, storms ~11 AM–8 PM (92%).
Today: low 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°), high 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°).
Now 45°7°
Clear
Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 40°4° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 94% | 48% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 40°4° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 98% | 51% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 43°6° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 91% | 56% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 51°11° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 83% | 95% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°) | 54°12° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 74% | 96% | 3 |
| Sat 12p | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 54°12° | 40%, 0.23 in5.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 74% | 95% | 4 |
| Sat 1p | Thunderstorms | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 54°12° | 70%, 0.23 in5.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h | 75% | 49% | 5 |
| Sat 2p | Thunderstorms | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 70%, 0.23 in5.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 26 mph41 km/h | 67% | 73% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Thunderstorms | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 60%, 0.23 in5.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 70% | 67% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 80%, 0.23 in5.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h | 72% | 93% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Thunderstorms | 53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°) | 53°12° | 90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 75% | 96% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Thunderstorms | 51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 90%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 77% | 99% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Thunderstorms | 48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 88% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Thunderstorms | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 43°6° | 50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 94% | 94% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Drizzle | 47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 92% | 93% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Partly cloudy | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 93% | 75% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 92% | 86% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 92% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 94% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 94% | 92% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 95% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Partly cloudy | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 96% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 97% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Partly cloudy | 44°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 94% | 73% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Showers | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 38°3° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Showers | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 99% | 69% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 91% | 76% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 80% | 72% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 72% | 79% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 70% | 55% | 5 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 70% | 54% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°) | 52°11° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 64% | 50% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 54°12° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 58% | 50% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 60% | 51% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 61% | 46% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 61% | 26% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 75% | 12% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°) | 44°7° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 77% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°) | 42°6° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 80% | 3% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 42°6° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h | 81% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 41°5° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 82% | 6% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Mostly clear | 42°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 82% | 20% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Mostly clear | 42°6° (likely 38°3° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 84% | 33% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Mostly clear | 40°4° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°) | 40°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 86% | 30% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Mostly clear | 39°4° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 89% | 12% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Mostly clear | 39°4° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 88% | 11% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Mostly clear | 38°3° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°) | 36°2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 88% | 8% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 38°3° (likely 35°2° to 46°8°) | 35°2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 90% | 3% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
90% chance · 1.4 in35 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
90% chance · 0.42 in11 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 9am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 9am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
60% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.16 in4.2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.07 in1.9 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
92% chance of rain, high 58°, low 40°.
Dry, high 55°, low 36°, cooling off.
Dry, high 56°, low 36°.
Highs 49–61°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GJT) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 4.5 ft Sat 8 AM
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 5.4 ft Sat 8 AM
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 72% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 9 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.
On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Towaoc weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:31 AM, sunset 6:26 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 89% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
UniColorado Heating & Cooling installs heat pumps, furnaces and air conditioning across the Front Range. 12,000+ heat pumps installed since 2014.