Alligator Creek at Starke (in NAVD88)
8.1 mi- Level
- 137 ft
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
Observed 8:50 AM EDT at KVQQ
Lawtey, FL weather
Partly cloudy and 59°15°, gusts to 30 mph49 km/h today.
Today: low 63°17° (likely 52°11° to 63°17°), high 75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°).
Now 59°15°
Partly sunny
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/hgusts 20 mph32 km/h
- From the north. Gusts to 30 mph49 km/h around 5 PM
- Dew point
- 55°13°
- A little sticky
- UV index
- 1Low
- Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
- Pressure
- 30.21 inHg1023 hPa
- Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.0 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 64°18° now)
Good hours for
This morningUp to 71°22° by 11 AM · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Partly cloudy
This afternoonNear 74°23° · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 65°18° by 5 AM · rain chance 30% · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 71°22° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 73°23° · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 66°19° by 9 PM · rain chance 20% · gusts to 32 mph51 km/h · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningNear 66°19° · Partly cloudy · rain chance 20%
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10a | Mostly sunny | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°) | 66°19° | 0% | 13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 73% | 35% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Partly sunny | 71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°) | 70°21° | 0% | 14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 71% | 61% | 3 |
| Sat 12p | Partly sunny | 73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 68% | 80% | 4 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 75°24° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°) | 75°24° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 66% | 83% | 3 |
| Sat 2p | Mostly cloudy | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 75°24° | 5% | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h | 66% | 60% | 2 |
| Sat 3p | Partly sunny | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 75°24° | 5% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h | 64% | 81% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Partly sunny | 75°24° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°) | 74°23° | 5% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h | 66% | 56% | 3 |
| Sat 5p | Partly sunny | 74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°) | 73°23° | 10% | 18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h | 68% | 53% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Partly sunny | 72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°) | 72°22° | 10% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h | 71% | 48% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°) | 69°21° | 20% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h | 78% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Partly cloudy | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 30% | 16 mph26 km/h from N, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 87% | 71% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Partly cloudy | 67°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°) | 66°19° | 20% | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 87% | 71% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Showers | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 20% | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph41 km/h | 93% | 85% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Mostly cloudy | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 10% | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 90% | 87% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Mostly cloudy | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 10% | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 87% | 38% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 67°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 10% | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 87% | 34% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Drizzle | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 5% | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 87% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 5% | 13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 87% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Mostly clear | 66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 5% | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 84% | 42% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 5% | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 87% | 33% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Partly cloudy | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°) | 64°18° | 5% | 14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 90% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Clear | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°) | 64°18° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph35 km/h | 90% | 30% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Mostly cloudy | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°) | 64°18° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 90% | 44% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Mostly cloudy | 66°19° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 10% | 14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 29 mph46 km/h | 90% | 45% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Mostly cloudy | 69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°) | 69°21° | 5% | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 30 mph48 km/h | 87% | 63% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Partly sunny | 71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 71°22° | 0% | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h | 84% | 40% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Mostly cloudy | 73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h | 81% | 47% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°) | 74°23° | 5% | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h | 76% | 44% | 3 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°) | 74°23° | 0% | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h | 76% | 49% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Partly sunny | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 75°24° | 0% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 74% | 43% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Mostly cloudy | 73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h | 76% | 54% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Mostly cloudy | 73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h | 73% | 42% | 3 |
| Sun 6p | Partly sunny | 72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°) | 72°22° | 5% | 17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h | 76% | 74% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Mostly cloudy | 70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 70°21° | 0% | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 32 mph52 km/h | 81% | 59% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Partly cloudy | 67°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 67°19° | 20% | 16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h | 90% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Showers | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 93% | 73% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 93% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Showers | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h | 90% | 53% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 90% | 85% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h | 90% | 82% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Partly cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 90% | 67% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 90% | 69% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Showers | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 90% | 43% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Partly cloudy | 66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 20% | 13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 90% | 59% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Showers | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 20% | 13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 93% | 46% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Showers | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 20% | 14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 23 mph36 km/h | 93% | 37% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Mostly cloudy | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 10% | 14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 93% | 63% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Mostly cloudy | 67°19° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°) | 67°19° | 10% | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 90% | 53% | 1 |
Days ahead
Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 75°24°, low 63°17°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 71°22°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 75°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 68°20°30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 65°18°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 75, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. Northeast wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers between 7pm and 11pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 63, with temperatures rising to around 65 overnight. Northeast wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–63°17°
- Wind
- 17 mph27 km/h, gusts 36 mph57 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 75°24°, low 65°18°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 75°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Showers, 67°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 66°19°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 75, with temperatures falling to around 73 in the afternoon. Northeast wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 8pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 65, with temperatures rising to around 66 overnight. Northeast wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 72°22°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 61°16°–66°19°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 58°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly cloudy, 65°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 73°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 66°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny. High near 76, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. Northeast wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 71°22°–76°24°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–66°19°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 78°26°, low 58°14°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 67°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 63°17°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–78°26°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–65°18°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 61°16°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 70°21°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 69°20°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–79°26°
- Low, likely
- 59°15°–67°19°
- Wind
- 15 mph23 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 77°25°, low 60°16°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 68°20°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 77°25°20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 70°21°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 66°19°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–78°26°
- Low, likely
- 60°16°–69°21°
- Wind
- 14 mph22 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 78°26°, low 59°15°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 66°19°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 79°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 69°20°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 66°19°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 78°26°–81°27°
- Low, likely
- 59°15°–69°21°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 79°26°, low 66°19°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 66°19°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 78°26°20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 72°22°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 67°19°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–71°22°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 66°19°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 66°19°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 78°25°30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 70°21°20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–83°28°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–70°21°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 81°27°, low 62°17°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 65°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 81°27°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 68°20°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 77°25°–84°29°
- Low, likely
- 56°13°–67°19°
- Wind
- 7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 75°, low 63°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 75°, low 65°.
Monday
Dry, high 76°, low 58°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 77–81°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (JAX) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Lake Sampson near Starke (in NAVD88)
10 mi- Level
- 129 ft
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
North Fork Black Creek near Middleburg
11 mi- Level
- 1.7 ft
- Flow
- 100 cfs
Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page
Sampson River at Sampson City (in NAVD88)
12 mi- Level
- 130 ft
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:36 AM, sunset 6:48 PM.
- Daylight
- 11 h 12 min
- Losing 1 min 38 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 59 min less
- Golden hour
- 6:15–7:03 PM
- Morning 7:21–8:09 AM
- Blue hour
- 7:03–7:12 PM
- Morning 7:11–7:21 AM; first light 7:11 AM
Stars tonight? Poor
Clouds most of the night (about 58% cover).
Moon
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:54 AM · rises 5:42 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
