Observed 4:35 PM EDT at KVDF

Lutz, FL weather

Mostly sunny and 81°27°, gusts to 33 mph52 km/h tomorrow.

Forecasts agree

Now 81°27°

Mostly sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the north-northeast. Gusts to 26 mph43 km/h around 7 PM
Dew point: 61°16°; Sticky
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 1–4 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 46Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.05 inHg1018 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.1 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (80°27° then, 81°27° now)

Good hours for

Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tonight 6–9 PM
Gusts to 33 mph53 km/h tomorrow 10 AM–11 PM
Above 80°27° tomorrow by noon
High 83°28° tomorrow at 3 PM
Gusts to 29 mph47 km/h Monday from 9 AM

TonightDown to 68°20° by midnight · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 78°26° by 11 AM · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 81°27° · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 68°20° by 3 AM · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 78°26° by 11 AM · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 82°28° · gusts to 28 mph45 km/h · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	82°28°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	65%	13%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly sunny	78°26° (likely 74°23° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	69%	12%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 26 mph43 km/h	73%	16%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	5%	14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 26 mph41 km/h	80%	22%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	5%	14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	85%	19%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	90%	32%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	93%	42%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	95%	40%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	97%	70%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	98%	78%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	97%	86%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	97%	56%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	97%	34%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	96%	33%	0
Sun 7a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	95%	33%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	93%	30%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	88%	22%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	83%	35%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	78°26° (likely 74°23° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	78%	29%	4
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	80°27° (likely 76°24° to 80°27°)	84°29°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	71%	32%	5
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	81°27° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)	85°29°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	69%	29%	6
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	82°28° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°)	86°30°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	66%	28%	6
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	83°28° (likely 79°26° to 83°28°)	87°31°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	64%	33%	6
Sun 4p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 77°25° to 82°28°)	85°29°	0%	21 mph34 km/h from NNE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	64%	21%	4
Sun 5p	Sunny	81°27° (likely 74°23° to 81°27°)	84°29°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NNE, gusts 33 mph52 km/h	67%	14%	3
Sun 6p	Sunny	79°26° (likely 72°22° to 79°26°)	82°28°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NNE, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	69%	18%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	76°24° (likely 70°21° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	77%	17%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly clear	74°23° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 31 mph49 km/h	80%	24%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NNE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	83%	50%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	87%	65%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	90%	23%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	92%	60%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	94%	62%	0
Mon 2a	Partly cloudy	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	94%	55%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	94%	46%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	94%	32%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	94%	23%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	95%	22%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	95%	27%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	95%	17%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	90%	66%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	84%	38%	2
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	78°26° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	78%	76%	4
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	84°29°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	73%	33%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	82°28° (likely 79°26° to 82°28°)	86°30°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	69%	32%	6
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	83°28° (likely 80°27° to 83°28°)	87°31°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	66%	29%	6
Mon 3p	Mostly sunny	83°28° (likely 81°27° to 83°28°)	87°31°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	64%	25%	6
Mon 4p	Mostly sunny	83°28° (likely 77°25° to 83°28°)	86°30°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	64%	49%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 81°27°, low 67°19°. Typical 84°29° / 67°19°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 81. North northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 67. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
80°27°–81°27°
Low, likely
59°15°–67°19°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 67°19°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 83°28°, low 68°20°. Typical 84°29° / 66°19°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 74°23°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 83. North northeast wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. North northeast wind 12 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
79°26°–83°28°
Low, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 66°19°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 84°29°, low 65°18°. Typical 83°28° / 66°19°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 74°23°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 12 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Northeast wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 66°19°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 84°29°, low 66°19°. Typical 83°28° / 66°19°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Northeast wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
82°28°–84°29°
Low, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 66°19°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 83°28°, low 67°19°. Typical 83°28° / 65°18°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 82°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 71°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 83. Northeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 67.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 65°18°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
6
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 84°29°, low 67°19°. Typical 83°28° / 65°18°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 84°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 76°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Isolated rain showers after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Isolated rain showers before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
82°28°–86°30°
Low, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 65°18°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
6
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 85°29°, low 66°19°. Typical 82°28° / 65°18°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 85°29°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 76°24°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 70°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Isolated rain showers after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Isolated rain showers before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 66.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
82°28°–87°31°
Low, likely
66°19°–73°23°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 65°18°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
6
Saturday, Oct 31. Mostly sunny. High 83°28°, low 69°21°. Typical 82°28° / 64°18°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 84°29°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 76°24°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 69°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
80°27°–87°31°
Low, likely
62°17°–75°24°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 64°18°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 84°29°, low 69°21°. Typical 82°28° / 64°18°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 84°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 69°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
79°26°–89°32°
Low, likely
60°16°–72°22°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 64°18°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 84°29°, low 69°21°. Typical 82°28° / 64°18°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 84°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
80°27°–87°31°
Low, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 64°18°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
6

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 81°, low 67°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 83°, low 68°.
Monday
Dry, high 84°, low 65°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 83–85°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TBW) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cypress Creek at County Line Rd at Wesley Chapel

4.3 mi

Level: 38.1 ft

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Cypress Creek at SR 54 Worthington Gardens

4.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6.2 ft
Flow: 104 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Cypress Creek at Bruce B Downs Blvd Near Temple Terrace

4.3 mi

Level: 28.5 ft

Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Trout Creek at Bruce B Downs Blvd Near Sulphur Springs

5.4 mi

Level: 36.3 ft

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

About 75% less cooling than a typical week.

This week 17Typical 66

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Sticky, humid air (dew point 61°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Tampa International Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1890–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−5°−3°SunOct 18
−4°−2°MonOct 19
−5°−3°TueOct 20
−4°−2°WedOct 21
−4°−2°ThuOct 22
−5°−3°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Lutz weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 16 min; Losing 1 min 34 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 54 min less
Golden hour: 6:19–7:06 PM; Morning 7:21–8:08 AM
Blue hour: 7:06–7:15 PM; Morning 7:11–7:21 AM; first light 7:11 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 7:15–10 PM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:55 AM · rises 5:45 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Lutz. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lutz, FL weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Cypress Creek at County Line Rd at Wesley Chapel

Cypress Creek at SR 54 Worthington Gardens

Cypress Creek at Bruce B Downs Blvd Near Temple Terrace

Trout Creek at Bruce B Downs Blvd Near Sulphur Springs

For your home

Cooling this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon