Observed 6:56 AM CDT at KNSE

Mount Carmel, FL weather

Clear and 44°7°.

Forecasts agree

Now 44°7°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 10 mph16 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point: 42°6°; Comfortable · up to 53°12° by 8 PM
Humidity: 93%; Air 44°7°, dew point 42°6° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; High 1–3 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 55Moderate; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.27 inHg1025 hPa; Rising · +0.05 inHg+1.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

8°4° cooler than this time yesterday (52°11° then, 44°7° now)

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by 10 AM
High 75°24° today at 4 PM

This morningUp to 67°19° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 75°24° by 4 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 53°12° by 3 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 76°24° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 52°11° by 5 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	61%	0%	2
Sat 10a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	48%	0%	3
Sat 11a	Sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sat 12p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	70°21°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	36%	0%	5
Sat 1p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	72°22°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	34%	0%	6
Sat 2p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)	74°23°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	32%	0%	6
Sat 3p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)	74°23°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	33%	0%	5
Sat 4p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	33%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	73°23°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	37%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	66°19° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	93%	15%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	80%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	63°17°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	70%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	61%	0%	4
Sun 12p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	70°21°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	55%	0%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)	74°23°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	48%	0%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	75°24°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	45%	0%	6
Sun 3p	Sunny	76°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	76°24°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	43%	0%	5
Sun 4p	Sunny	76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	76°24°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	42%	0%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	43%	0%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	71°22° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	67°19° (likely 61°16° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	56%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	63°17° (likely 58°14° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	72%	2%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	81%	1%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	80%	4%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	80%	11%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	83%	45%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	83%	44%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 62°17°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	86%	49%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 61°16°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	90%	23%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 61°16°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	93%	43%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	96%	46%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)	52°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	96%	60%	0
Mon 7a	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)	53°12°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	96%	63%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 75°24°, low 52°11°. Typical 75°24° / 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 52. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 51°11°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 52°11°. Typical 75°24° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–77°25°
Low, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 51°11°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 47°8°. Typical 74°23° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Northeast wind around 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
47°8°–58°14°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 50°10°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 51°11°. Typical 74°23° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
48°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 50°10°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 50°10°. Typical 74°23° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
50°10°–59°15°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 50°10°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 79°26°, low 53°12°. Typical 74°23° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 80°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 68°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 79.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–81°27°
Low, likely
53°12°–60°16°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 49°9°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 55°13°. Typical 73°23° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–82°28°
Low, likely
55°13°–65°18°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 49°9°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 81°27°, low 64°18°. Typical 73°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 71°22°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–84°29°
Low, likely
54°12°–69°21°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 65°18°. Typical 73°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
78°26°–81°27°
Low, likely
56°13°–70°21°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 48°9°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 78°26°, low 63°17°. Typical 72°22° / 48°9°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 65°19°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–83°28°
Low, likely
56°13°–67°19°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 75°, low 52°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 77°, low 52°.
Monday
Dry, high 78°, low 47°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 77–81°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MOB) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Conecuh River at Brewton

6.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 8.8 ft
Flow: 468 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Escambia River near Century

6.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.6 ft
Flow: 1,370 cfs

Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page

Murder Creek (AL) at Brewton

8.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 9.9 ft
Flow: 132 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Big Escambia Creek at Flomaton

8.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 7.0 ft
Flow: 203 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 48% less heating than a typical week.

This week 11Typical 21

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 42°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 10:00 AM–9:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Brewton 3 Ene · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1977–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−7°−4°SunOct 18
−4°−2°MonOct 19
−4°−2°TueOct 20
−4°−2°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Mount Carmel weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 10 min; Losing 1 min 43 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 1 min less
Golden hour: 5:34–6:22 PM; Morning 6:42–7:30 AM
Blue hour: 6:22–6:31 PM; Morning 6:33–6:42 AM; first light 6:33 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:31 PM–6:33 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:16 AM · rises 5:02 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Mount Carmel. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,500 ft, 44 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Mount Carmel, FL weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Conecuh River at Brewton

Escambia River near Century

Murder Creek (AL) at Brewton

Big Escambia Creek at Flomaton

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon