Cutler Bay at Deering Estate (in MHHW)
24 mi- Level
- 1.8 ft
Reading from Sat 8:18 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 1 day 6 h
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Key West FL
What
Major saltwater flooding.
Impacts
Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur.
Precautionary actions
Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth.
Areas: Monroe Upper Keys
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 9:55 PM EDT at KHST
Coastal Flood Warning. 76°24° and mostly clear now.
Today: low 71°22° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°), high 83°28° (likely 83°28° to 84°29°).
Now 76°24°
Mostly clear
None rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10p | Showers | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 30% | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 76% | 34% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Showers | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 75°24° | 30% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 82% | 39% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Showers | 74°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 74°23° | 30% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 84% | 35% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Showers | 74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°) | 74°23° | 30% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 82% | 30% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Showers | 73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 87% | 43% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Showers | 72°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°) | 72°22° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 90% | 45% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Showers | 72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°) | 72°22° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 93% | 45% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Partly cloudy | 71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°) | 71°22° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 97% | 42% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Showers | 71°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°) | 71°22° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 97% | 55% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Showers | 71°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°) | 71°22° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 97% | 56% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 71°22° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°) | 71°22° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 100% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 73°23° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph30 km/h | 97% | 65% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 77°25° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°) | 77°25° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 88% | 69% | 3 |
| Sun 11a | Rain | 80°27° (likely 73°23° to 81°27°) | 84°29° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 79% | 72% | 4 |
| Sun 12p | Drizzle | 82°28° (likely 73°23° to 82°28°) | 87°31° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h | 72% | 72% | 6 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 82°28° (likely 73°23° to 82°28°) | 87°31° | 60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 74% | 71% | 6 |
| Sun 2p | Partly sunny | 83°28° (likely 75°24° to 83°28°) | 89°32° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 72% | 57% | 7 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 83°28° (likely 75°24° to 83°28°) | 89°32° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 72% | 78% | 6 |
| Sun 4p | Heavy rain | 82°28° (likely 71°22° to 82°28°) | 87°31° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 74% | 75% | 5 |
| Sun 5p | Heavy rain | 83°28° (likely 73°23° to 83°28°) | 89°32° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h | 72% | 76% | 3 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 81°27° (likely 74°23° to 81°27°) | 85°29° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h | 74% | 83% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 79°26° (likely 72°22° to 79°26°) | 79°26° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 33 mph53 km/h | 79% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 78°26° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°) | 78°26° | 60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h | 82% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Heavy rain | 77°25° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h | 88% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 77°25° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 33 mph53 km/h | 88% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 76°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 94% | 61% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h | 90% | 73% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Partly cloudy | 76°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 90% | 65% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 75°24° | 60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 94% | 76% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 75°24° | 60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 94% | 73% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 74°23° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 74°23° | 60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 97% | 30% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 74°23° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 74°23° | 60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph35 km/h | 97% | 34% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 74°23° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 74°23° | 60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 97% | 80% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Partly sunny | 74°23° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°) | 74°23° | 60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 93% | 58% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 75°24° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°) | 75°24° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 94% | 57% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Mostly sunny | 76°24° (likely 74°23° to 78°26°) | 76°24° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 94% | 42% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Cloudy | 79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°) | 79°26° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 85% | 72% | 1 |
| Mon 11a | Showers | 81°27° (likely 75°24° to 81°27°) | 86°30° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 33 mph53 km/h | 79% | 72% | 1 |
| Mon 12p | Cloudy | 82°28° (likely 74°23° to 82°28°) | 88°31° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h | 77% | 67% | 6 |
| Mon 1p | Drizzle | 82°28° (likely 75°24° to 82°28°) | 88°31° | 70%, 0.08 in2 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h | 77% | 60% | 6 |
| Mon 2p | Mostly sunny | 83°28° (likely 79°26° to 83°28°) | 90°32° | 70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h | 74% | 38% | 7 |
| Mon 3p | Partly sunny | 83°28° (likely 78°26° to 83°28°) | 90°32° | 70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph49 km/h | 74% | 51% | 6 |
| Mon 4p | Cloudy | 82°28° (likely 74°23° to 82°28°) | 87°31° | 70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h | 74% | 57% | 4 |
| Mon 5p | Sunny | 82°28° (likely 77°25° to 82°28°) | 87°31° | 70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h | 74% | 23% | 3 |
| Mon 6p | Partly sunny | 80°27° (likely 74°23° to 80°27°) | 84°29° | 70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 32 mph51 km/h | 79% | 43% | 1 |
| Mon 7p | Partly cloudy | 79°26° (likely 74°23° to 79°26°) | 79°26° | 70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 32 mph52 km/h | 79% | 40% | 0 |
| Mon 8p | Mostly clear | 77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 50%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h | 85% | 39% | 0 |
| Mon 9p | Showers | 77°25° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 50%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph49 km/h | 85% | 33% | 0 |
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 71. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
60% chance · 0.28 in7.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.52 in13 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.56 in14 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.9 in23 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Sunny, with a high near 83. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Northeast wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
70% chance · 0.68 in17 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 0.68 in17 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
70% chance · 0.47 in12 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Northeast wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Dry, high 83°, low 71°.
56% chance of rain, high 83°, low 74°.
65% chance of rain, high 83°, low 75°.
Highs 82–86°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (KEY) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 8:18 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 75% less cooling than a typical week.
Cooling degree days, base 65°F
Sticky, humid air (dew point 63°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.
On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
North Key Largo weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:24 AM, sunset 6:46 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 42% cover).
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing