Observed 10:05 PM EDT at KISM

Poinciana, FL weather

Showery and 70°21°, gusts to 32 mph51 km/h tomorrow.

Forecasts agree

Now 70°21°

Showers

Wind: 10 mph17 km/h; From the north. Gusts to 31 mph51 km/h around 10 AM
Dew point: 66°19°; Muggy
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 1–2 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 33Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.12 inHg1020 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (70°21° then, 69°21° now)

Good hours for

Dry until midnight
Rain tonight midnight–5 AM (20%, 0.15 in3.8 mm)
Dry break tomorrow 5 AM–1 PM
Gusts to 32 mph51 km/h tomorrow 9 AM–10 PM
Rain tomorrow 1–2 PM (30%)

TonightNear 70°21° · Rain midnight–5 AM (20%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 79°26° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 81°27° · Rain 1–2 PM (30%) · gusts to 32 mph51 km/h
Tomorrow nightDown to 70°21° by 1 AM · Partly cloudy · rain chance 20% · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h
Monday morningUp to 80°27° by 11 AM · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 82°28° · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h · Partly cloudy
Monday nightDown to 73°23° by 9 PM · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10p	Showers	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	70°21°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	90%	57%	0
Sat 11p	Showers	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	70°21°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	93%	52%	0
Sun 12a	Showers	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	96%	54%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	96%	14%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	97%	42%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	96%	24%	0
Sun 4a	Drizzle	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	96%	48%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	69°21°	10%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	96%	55%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	69°21°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	96%	59%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	69°21°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	95%	50%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph35 km/h	93%	25%	0
Sun 9a	Showers	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	73°23°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	88%	37%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	77°25°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 31 mph51 km/h	79%	18%	2
Sun 11a	Showers	79°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	82°28°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	18 mph29 km/h from NNE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	73%	27%	4
Sun 12p	Showers	81°27° (likely 79°26° to 81°27°)	84°29°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	20 mph32 km/h from NNE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	69%	31%	5
Sun 1p	Showers	81°27° (likely 80°27° to 82°28°)	84°29°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	66%	26%	6
Sun 2p	Showers	82°28° (likely 81°27° to 83°28°)	85°29°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	20 mph32 km/h from NNE, gusts 32 mph51 km/h	63%	28%	3
Sun 3p	Showers	83°28° (likely 80°27° to 83°28°)	86°30°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	21 mph34 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph49 km/h	62%	36%	3
Sun 4p	Showers	81°27° (likely 79°26° to 82°28°)	84°29°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	22 mph35 km/h from NNE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	64%	22%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	80°27° (likely 78°26° to 80°27°)	83°28°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	20 mph32 km/h from NNE, gusts 31 mph49 km/h	66%	16%	1
Sun 6p	Showers	79°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	79°26°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	20 mph32 km/h from NNE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	69%	33%	1
Sun 7p	Showers	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	18 mph29 km/h from N, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	79%	51%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 73°23°)	73°23°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	16 mph26 km/h from N, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	83%	53%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 72°22°)	72°22°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	86%	16%	0
Sun 10p	Showers	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	89%	62%	0
Sun 11p	Showers	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	91%	65%	0
Mon 12a	Showers	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	92%	37%	0
Mon 1a	Showers	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	94%	57%	0
Mon 2a	Partly cloudy	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	94%	60%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	93%	70%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	93%	46%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	93%	22%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	94%	53%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly clear	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	5%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	93%	60%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	70°21°	5%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	93%	28%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	5%	16 mph26 km/h from NNE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	86%	53%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	77°25° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	77°25°	5%	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	78%	31%	2
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	83°28°	5%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	71%	62%	4
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	82°28° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°)	85°29°	5%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph44 km/h	66%	32%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	82°28° (likely 75°24° to 82°28°)	86°30°	5%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	63%	66%	6
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	83°28° (likely 77°25° to 83°28°)	86°30°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	61%	67%	2
Mon 3p	Mostly sunny	83°28° (likely 74°23° to 83°28°)	85°29°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	60%	63%	3
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	82°28° (likely 76°24° to 82°28°)	85°29°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	60%	55%	4
Mon 5p	Partly sunny	81°27° (likely 76°24° to 81°27°)	83°28°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	62%	47%	2
Mon 6p	Sunny	79°26° (likely 74°23° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	66%	17%	1
Mon 7p	Mostly clear	76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NNE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	72%	20%	0
Mon 8p	Mostly clear	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	74°23°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	78%	27%	0
Mon 9p	Mostly clear	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	82%	30%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 82°28°, low 68°20°. Typical 84°29° / 63°17°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 69°21°
  20% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers before 5am. Mostly clear, with a low around 68. North northeast wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
80°27°–83°28°
Low, likely
61°16°–68°20°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 63°17°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Showers. High 83°28°, low 69°21°. Typical 84°29° / 63°17°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 70°21°
  20% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 83°28°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 73°23°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 70°21°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 9am. Sunny, with a high near 83. North northeast wind 14 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. North northeast wind 12 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
81°27°–83°28°
Low, likely
68°20°–69°21°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 63°17°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 84°29°, low 68°20°. Typical 84°29° / 63°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 74°23°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 70°21°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 68. North northeast wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
79°26°–84°29°
Low, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 63°17°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 84°29°, low 68°20°. Typical 84°29° / 62°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 82°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 72°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 68. Northeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 62°17°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 83°28°, low 70°21°. Typical 84°29° / 62°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 81°27°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 83. Northeast wind 12 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Northeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
79°26°–83°28°
Low, likely
70°21°–72°22°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 62°17°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
6
Thursday, Oct 29. Drizzle. High 84°29°, low 69°21°. Typical 83°28° / 62°17°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 82°28°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 76°24°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 73°23°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Isolated rain showers between 8am and 2pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–85°29°
Low, likely
69°21°–74°23°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 62°17°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
6
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 85°29°, low 68°20°. Typical 83°28° / 61°16°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 84°29°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 76°24°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 73°23°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Isolated rain showers after 8am. Sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Isolated rain showers before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
83°28°–85°29°
Low, likely
68°20°–74°23°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 61°16°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
6
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 85°29°, low 72°22°. Typical 83°28° / 61°16°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 82°28°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 76°25°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Isolated rain showers after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 85.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
77°25°–86°30°
Low, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 61°16°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 84°29°, low 71°22°. Typical 83°28° / 61°16°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 85°29°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 76°24°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 70°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
82°28°–88°31°
Low, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 61°16°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Partly sunny. High 85°29°, low 70°21°. Typical 82°28° / 60°16°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 86°30°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 76°24°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
83°28°–89°32°
Low, likely
69°21°–71°22°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 60°16°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
6

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 82°, low 68°.
Tomorrow
31% chance of rain, high 83°, low 69°.
Monday
Dry, high 84°, low 68°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 83–85°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TBW) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Reedy Creek above SR531 Nr Poinciana

3.2 mi

Level: 59.7 ft

Reading from Sat 9 PM · NWS gauge page

Lake Marion Near Haines City

3.4 mi

Level: 66.1 ft

Reading from Sat 9:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Shingle Creek at Campbell

10 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 55.0 ft
Flow: 488 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Reedy Creek near S-40 nr Loughman

12 mi

Level: 70.4 ft

Reading from Sat 9:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

About 66% less cooling than a typical week.

This week 19Typical 56

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Sticky, humid air (dew point 66°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

MOUNTAIN LAKE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1935–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Poinciana weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 16 min; Losing 1 min 29 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 54 min less
Golden hour: 6:15–7:02 PM; Morning 7:17–8:04 AM
Blue hour: 7:02–7:11 PM; Morning 7:08–7:17 AM; first light 7:08 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 46% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:51 AM · rises 5:41 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Poinciana. The highest point on the skyline is about 900 ft, 17 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.