Coastal Flood Warning
Ends in 1 day 5 h
When
Until 5 AM EDT Monday.
Where
Upper Florida Keys.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Key West FL
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Major saltwater flooding.
Impacts
Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur.
Precautionary actions
Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth.
Areas: Monroe Upper Keys
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 9:55 PM EDT at KHST

Tavernier, FL weather

Coastal Flood Warning. 76°24° and mostly clear now.

One forecast only

Now 76°24°

Mostly clear

Wind: 9 mph15 km/h; From the northwest. 915–15 mph24 km/h through 11 AM
Dew point: 63°17°; Sticky · up to 71°22° by 8 AM (oppressive)

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Dry until 8 AM tomorrow
Low 72°22° tonight at 5 AM
Storms tomorrow from 8 AM (60%, 3.6 in92 mm)
High 82°28° tomorrow at 2 PM

TonightDown to 72°22° by 5 AM · rain chance 20%
Tomorrow morningUp to 77°25° by 11 AM · Storms 8 AM–noon (50%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 81°27° · Storms all afternoon (50%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 75°24° by 4 AM · Storms all night (60%)
Monday morningUp to 80°27° by 11 AM · Storms all morning (60%)
Monday afternoonNear 81°27° · Storms all afternoon (60%)
Monday nightNear 79°26° · Storms all night (60%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11p	Showers	76°24° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)	76°24°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from N	79%	—	—
Sun 12a	Showers	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	75°24°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from N	84%	—	—
Sun 1a	Showers	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)	74°23°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from N	87%	—	—
Sun 2a	Showers	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)	74°23°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N	87%	—	—
Sun 3a	Showers	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	73°23°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N	90%	—	—
Sun 4a	Showers	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 74°23°)	73°23°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N	90%	—	—
Sun 5a	Showers	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	72°22°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N	93%	—	—
Sun 6a	Showers	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	72°22°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N	93%	—	—
Sun 7a	Showers	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	72°22°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N	93%	—	—
Sun 8a	Thunderstorms	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	72°22°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N	97%	—	—
Sun 9a	Thunderstorms	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 75°24°)	74°23°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N	93%	—	—
Sun 10a	Thunderstorms	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 76°24°)	75°24°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N	90%	—	—
Sun 11a	Thunderstorms	77°25° (likely 77°25° to 77°25°)	77°25°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE	88%	—	—
Sun 12p	Thunderstorms	79°26° (likely 78°26° to 79°26°)	79°26°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE	82%	—	—
Sun 1p	Thunderstorms	81°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	86°30°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE	77%	—	—
Sun 2p	Thunderstorms	82°28° (likely 79°26° to 82°28°)	87°31°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	74%	—	—
Sun 3p	Thunderstorms	81°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	86°30°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	77%	—	—
Sun 4p	Thunderstorms	81°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	86°30°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	77%	—	—
Sun 5p	Thunderstorms	82°28° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°)	87°31°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	74%	—	—
Sun 6p	Thunderstorms	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	84°29°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	79%	—	—
Sun 7p	Thunderstorms	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)	79°26°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	82%	—	—
Sun 8p	Thunderstorms	79°26° (likely 78°26° to 79°26°)	79°26°	60%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	82%	—	—
Sun 9p	Thunderstorms	78°26° (likely 77°25° to 78°26°)	78°26°	60%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	85%	—	—
Sun 10p	Thunderstorms	77°25° (likely 77°25° to 77°25°)	77°25°	60%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	88%	—	—
Sun 11p	Thunderstorms	77°25° (likely 77°25° to 77°25°)	77°25°	60%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	90%	—	—
Mon 12a	Thunderstorms	77°25° (likely 77°25° to 77°25°)	77°25°	60%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	90%	—	—
Mon 1a	Thunderstorms	76°24° (likely 76°24° to 77°25°)	76°24°	60%, 0.26 in6.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	94%	—	—
Mon 2a	Thunderstorms	76°24° (likely 76°24° to 77°25°)	76°24°	60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	94%	—	—
Mon 3a	Thunderstorms	76°24° (likely 76°24° to 77°25°)	76°24°	60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	90%	—	—
Mon 4a	Thunderstorms	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	75°24°	60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	94%	—	—
Mon 5a	Thunderstorms	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	75°24°	60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from N	94%	—	—
Mon 6a	Thunderstorms	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	75°24°	60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from N	94%	—	—
Mon 7a	Thunderstorms	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	75°24°	60%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from N	94%	—	—
Mon 8a	Thunderstorms	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)	75°24°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	94%	—	—
Mon 9a	Thunderstorms	76°24° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	76°24°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	90%	—	—
Mon 10a	Thunderstorms	78°26° (likely 78°26° to 79°26°)	78°26°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	88%	—	—
Mon 11a	Thunderstorms	80°27° (likely 80°27° to 80°27°)	85°29°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	82%	—	—
Mon 12p	Thunderstorms	81°27° (likely 80°27° to 81°27°)	86°30°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	79%	—	—
Mon 1p	Thunderstorms	81°27° (likely 80°27° to 81°27°)	86°30°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	79%	—	—
Mon 2p	Thunderstorms	82°28° (likely 81°27° to 82°28°)	88°31°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	77%	—	—
Mon 3p	Thunderstorms	82°28° (likely 82°28° to 82°28°)	88°31°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	77%	—	—
Mon 4p	Thunderstorms	81°27° (likely 81°27° to 81°27°)	86°30°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	79%	—	—
Mon 5p	Thunderstorms	81°27° (likely 81°27° to 81°27°)	86°30°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	79%	—	—
Mon 6p	Thunderstorms	80°27° (likely 80°27° to 80°27°)	85°29°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	82%	—	—
Mon 7p	Thunderstorms	79°26° (likely 79°26° to 79°26°)	79°26°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	82%	—	—
Mon 8p	Thunderstorms	78°26° (likely 78°26° to 78°26°)	78°26°	40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	85%	—	—
Mon 9p	Thunderstorms	78°26° (likely 78°26° to 78°26°)	78°26°	40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	85%	—	—
Mon 10p	Thunderstorms	78°26° (likely 78°26° to 78°26°)	78°26°	40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from NE	85%	—	—

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Showers. High 0°−18°, low 72°22°. Typical 85°29° / 74°23°. Dry. One forecast only.
1. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 72°22°
  20% chance
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 72. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
0°−18°
Low, likely
72°22°
Typical high / low
85°29° / 74°23°
Wind
—
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 82°28°, low 75°24°. Typical 85°29° / 74°23°. Storms 0.33 in8.4 mm, 50% chance. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Thunderstorms, 72°22°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 82°28°
  50% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 79°26°
  60% chance · 1.1 in27 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Thunderstorms, 75°24°
  60% chance · 0.96 in24 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 82. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Northeast wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
79°26°–82°28°
Low, likely
74°23°–75°24°
Typical high / low
85°29° / 74°23°
Wind
24 mph39 km/h
Monday, Oct 26. Thunderstorms. High 82°28°, low 75°24°. Typical 84°29° / 74°23°. Storms 0.25 in6.4 mm, 60% chance. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Thunderstorms, 75°24°
  60% chance · 0.54 in14 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 82°28°
  60% chance · 0.48 in12 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 78°26°
  60% chance · 0.31 in7.9 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly clear, with a low around 75. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
81°27°–82°28°
Low, likely
75°24°–77°25°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 74°23°
Wind
28 mph44 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Thunderstorms. High 84°29°, low 77°25°. Typical 84°29° / 74°23°. Storms 0.26 in6.6 mm, 40% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
80°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
77°25°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 74°23°
Wind
24 mph38 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 83°28°, low 77°25°. Typical 84°29° / 73°23°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
82°28°–83°28°
Low, likely
77°25°–79°26°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 73°23°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Thunderstorms. High 83°28°, low 77°25°. Typical 84°29° / 73°23°. Storms 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
82°28°–83°28°
Low, likely
77°25°–79°26°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 73°23°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 83°28°, low 77°25°. Typical 84°29° / 73°23°. Storms 0.09 in2.3 mm, 20% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
82°28°–83°28°
Low, likely
77°25°–79°26°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 73°23°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Thunderstorms. High 84°29°, low 80°27°. Typical 84°29° / 73°23°. Storms 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
82°28°–84°29°
Low, likely
80°27°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 73°23°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 0°, low 72°.
Tomorrow
46% chance of rain, high 82°, low 75°, warming up.
Monday
61% chance of rain, high 82°, low 75°.
Rest of week
Highs 83–84°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (KEY) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Alligator Creek near Garfield Bight

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.3 ft

Reading from Sat 5:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

About 75% less cooling than a typical week.

This week 24Typical 98

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Sticky, humid air (dew point 63°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

John Pennekamp State Park · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2004–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 85°47° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°MonOct 19
±0°TueOct 20
−2°−1°WedOct 21
−1°ThuOct 22
−3°−2°FriOct 23
−4°−2°SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Tavernier weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 22 min; Losing 1 min 20 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 47 min less
Golden hour: 6:15–7:01 PM; Morning 7:10–7:56 AM
Blue hour: 7:01–7:10 PM; Morning 7:01–7:10 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Unknown

Cloud forecast not available for tonight.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:40 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Tavernier. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Warning