Observed 4:35 PM EDT at KPCM

Valrico, FL weather

Overcast and 78°25°, gusts to 31 mph50 km/h tomorrow.

Forecasts agree

Now 78°25°

Cloudy

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the north-northeast. Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h around 7 PM
Dew point: 62°16°; Sticky
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 1–4 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 47Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.06 inHg1018 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° cooler than this time yesterday (80°27° then, 78°25° now)

Good hours for

Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h tonight 6–9 PM
Gusts to 32 mph51 km/h tomorrow 9 AM–11 PM
Above 80°27° tomorrow by noon
High 83°28° tomorrow at 3 PM
Gusts to 30 mph48 km/h Monday from 10 AM

TonightDown to 68°20° by midnight · gusts to 28 mph45 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 78°26° by 11 AM · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 81°27° · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 69°21° by 1 AM · gusts to 32 mph51 km/h · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 78°26° by 11 AM · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Clear
Monday afternoonNear 82°28° · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	83°28°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	65%	34%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly sunny	79°26° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 26 mph41 km/h	68%	21%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	76°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NNE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	72%	58%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	79%	25%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	84%	27%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	70°21°	5%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	89%	37%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	92%	47%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	96%	41%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	97%	44%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 68°20°)	68°20°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	98%	73%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	97%	76%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	68°20°	5%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	97%	64%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	97%	71%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	96%	22%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	95%	34%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	94%	34%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	90%	29%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NNE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	84%	28%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	78°26° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NNE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	80%	15%	4
Sun 12p	Sunny	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	84°29°	0%	21 mph34 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	73%	29%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°)	86°30°	0%	22 mph35 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	71%	39%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 79°26° to 82°28°)	87°31°	0%	22 mph35 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	68%	22%	6
Sun 3p	Sunny	83°28° (likely 79°26° to 83°28°)	88°31°	5%	23 mph37 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	66%	31%	6
Sun 4p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°)	86°30°	5%	24 mph39 km/h from NNE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	67%	38%	4
Sun 5p	Sunny	81°27° (likely 76°24° to 81°27°)	85°29°	5%	23 mph37 km/h from NNE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	69%	16%	3
Sun 6p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 73°23° to 80°27°)	83°28°	5%	23 mph37 km/h from NNE, gusts 32 mph51 km/h	71%	51%	1
Sun 7p	Mostly clear	76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	5%	20 mph32 km/h from NNE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	77%	49%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	74°23° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NNE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	81%	17%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	73°23° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	84%	21%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly clear	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NNE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	87%	47%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	89%	54%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly clear	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	92%	55%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	94%	45%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	95%	20%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	95%	42%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	94%	16%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	94%	28%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	94%	27%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	94%	15%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	96%	22%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	91%	20%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	75°24° (likely 74°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	85%	23%	2
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	78°26° (likely 77°25° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	79%	21%	4
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	81°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	85°29°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	74%	34%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	82°28° (likely 80°27° to 82°28°)	87°31°	0%	21 mph34 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	70%	28%	6
Mon 2p	Sunny	83°28° (likely 81°27° to 83°28°)	88°31°	0%	21 mph34 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	67%	28%	6
Mon 3p	Sunny	83°28° (likely 81°27° to 84°29°)	88°31°	0%	22 mph35 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	66%	27%	6
Mon 4p	Sunny	83°28° (likely 80°27° to 83°28°)	87°31°	0%	23 mph37 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	66%	29%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 68°20°. Typical 86°30° / 64°18°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 73°23°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 81. North northeast wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 68. North northeast wind 12 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
80°27°–82°28°
Low, likely
60°16°–68°20°
Typical high / low
86°30° / 64°18°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 84°29°, low 68°20°. Typical 85°29° / 63°17°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 5% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 74°23°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. North northeast wind 15 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. North northeast wind 13 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
79°26°–84°29°
Low, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Typical high / low
85°29° / 63°17°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 84°29°, low 66°19°. Typical 85°29° / 63°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 14 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Northeast wind 12 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Typical high / low
85°29° / 63°17°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 84°29°, low 66°19°. Typical 85°29° / 63°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 83°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 69°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Northeast wind 12 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
82°28°–84°29°
Low, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Typical high / low
85°29° / 63°17°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Sunny. High 84°29°, low 68°20°. Typical 84°29° / 62°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 71°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
65°18°–72°22°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 62°17°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
6
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 85°29°, low 68°20°. Typical 84°29° / 62°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 83°29°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 76°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–86°30°
Low, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 62°17°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 85°29°, low 67°19°. Typical 84°29° / 62°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 71°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 84°29°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 75°24°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 70°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Isolated rain showers after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Isolated rain showers before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 67.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
83°28°–85°29°
Low, likely
66°19°–74°23°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 62°17°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
6
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 83°28°, low 69°21°. Typical 84°29° / 61°16°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 83°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 76°25°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 69°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
79°26°–88°31°
Low, likely
62°17°–74°23°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 61°16°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Sunny. High 84°29°, low 69°21°. Typical 84°29° / 61°16°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 84°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 75°24°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 68°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
81°27°–89°32°
Low, likely
61°16°–72°22°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 61°16°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Nov 2. Sunny. High 84°29°, low 68°20°. Typical 83°28° / 61°16°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 85°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 75°24°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–88°31°
Low, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 61°16°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 81°, low 68°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 84°, low 68°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 84°, low 66°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 83–85°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TBW) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Alafia River at Lithia Pinecrest Road at Lithia

3.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.5 ft
Flow: 230 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Alafia River Near Bell Shoals Road Near Riverview

4.9 mi

Level: 1.6 ft

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Alafia River at US 301 Riverview

6.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.2 ft

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

North Archie Creek at Progress Blvd Near Tampa

7.4 mi

Level: 13.0 ft

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

About 72% less cooling than a typical week.

This week 17Typical 61

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Sticky, humid air (dew point 62°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

PLANT CITY · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1892–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−4°SunOct 18
−6°−3°MonOct 19
−6°−4°TueOct 20
−5°−3°WedOct 21
−4°−2°ThuOct 22
−6°−4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Valrico weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 16 min; Losing 1 min 29 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 54 min less
Golden hour: 6:19–7:05 PM; Morning 7:20–8:06 AM
Blue hour: 7:05–7:14 PM; Morning 7:10–7:20 AM; first light 7:10 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 48% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:54 AM · rises 5:45 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Valrico. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Valrico, FL weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Alafia River at Lithia Pinecrest Road at Lithia

Alafia River Near Bell Shoals Road Near Riverview

Alafia River at US 301 Riverview

North Archie Creek at Progress Blvd Near Tampa

For your home

Cooling this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon