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  • Coastal Flood Warning

    Ends in 2 days 7 h

    When
    For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 5 AM EDT Saturday. For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 5 AM Saturday to 8 PM EDT Monday.
    Where
    St Johns River Basin.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Jacksonville FL

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding. For the Coastal Flood Warning, significant coastal flooding expected.

    Impacts

    Numerous roads may be closed. Low lying property including homes, businesses, and some critical infrastructure will be inundated. Some shoreline erosion will occur.

    Precautionary actions

    Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth.

    Areas: Inland Flagler; Eastern Clay; Eastern Putnam; South Central Duval; Western St. Johns

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 11:15 AM EDT at K28J

Welaka, FL weather

Coastal Flood Warning. 72°22° and mostly cloudy now.

Today: low 64°18° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°), high 76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°).

Mostly agree

Now 72°22°

Mostly cloudy

Wind
13 mph21 km/h
From the north-northeast. Gusts to 31 mph50 km/h around 6 PM
Dew point
64°18°
Sticky
UV index
4Moderate
High 1–3 PM · peak 6
Air quality
22Good
Main pollutant: PM10 (dust)
Pressure
30.19 inHg1022 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (73°23° then, 72°22° now)

Good hours for
  • Rain until 2 AM (60%, 1 in26 mm)
  • Gusts to 31 mph50 km/h today 4–10 PM
  • Dry break tonight 2–11 AM
  • Gusts to 33 mph53 km/h tomorrow 9 AM–11 PM
  • Rain tomorrow 11 AM–1 PM (30%)
  1. This afternoonNear 73°23° · Rain all afternoon (60%) · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h
  2. TonightDown to 65°18° by 10 PM · Rain 6 PM–2 AM (60%) · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 75°24° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (30%) · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h
  4. Tomorrow afternoonNear 75°24° · Rain noon–1 PM (20%) · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 66°19° by 1 AM · Mostly cloudy · rain chance 30% · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h
  6. Monday morningUp to 75°24° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy · rain chance 20% · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 12pShowers74°23° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)75°24°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h66%35%4
Sat 1pPartly sunny76°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)76°24°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h64%60%6
Sat 2pCloudy75°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)75°24°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph36 km/h66%66%6
Sat 3pDrizzle75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)75°24°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 25 mph40 km/h69%41%5
Sat 4pRain73°23° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)73°23°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 25 mph41 km/h73%73%2
Sat 5pShowers71°22° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)73°23°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 27 mph44 km/h76%75%1
Sat 6pShowers69°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)71°22°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 31 mph50 km/h84%67%0
Sat 7pShowers67°19° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)69°21°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 29 mph46 km/h84%39%0
Sat 8pPartly cloudy66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°40%, 0.15 in3.8 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h93%69%0
Sat 9pDrizzle67°19° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)66°19°30%, 0.15 in3.8 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h93%78%0
Sat 10pDrizzle65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°30%, 0.15 in3.8 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h93%78%0
Sat 11pShowers65°18° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)65°18°40%, 0.15 in3.8 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h97%69%0
Sun 12aShowers65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°40%, 0.15 in3.8 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h100%38%0
Sun 1aShowers65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°50%, 0.15 in3.8 mm12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h97%81%0
Sun 2aDrizzle65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°20%, 0.05 in1.3 mm12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h97%76%0
Sun 3aShowers65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°10%, 0.05 in1.3 mm12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h93%59%0
Sun 4aClear65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°5%, 0.05 in1.3 mm12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h93%28%0
Sun 5aClear65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°5%, 0.05 in1.3 mm12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h93%19%0
Sun 6aClear66°19° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)65°18°0%, 0.05 in1.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h93%13%0
Sun 7aClear67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°5%, 0.05 in1.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h93%13%0
Sun 8aSunny67°19° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)67°19°10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h87%13%0
Sun 9aPartly sunny70°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)70°21°10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h87%20%1
Sun 10aShowers73°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)73°23°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h84%24%2
Sun 11aSunny75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)75°24°30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h82%25%4
Sun 12pShowers76°24° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)76°24°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h79%29%5
Sun 1pDrizzle76°24° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)76°24°10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 32 mph51 km/h79%59%6
Sun 2pMostly cloudy75°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)75°24°10%16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph49 km/h82%35%6
Sun 3pPartly sunny76°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)76°24°20%16 mph26 km/h from N, gusts 31 mph50 km/h76%65%5
Sun 4pPartly sunny75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)75°24°30%15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 32 mph52 km/h79%47%4
Sun 5pCloudy74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)74°23°30%15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 33 mph54 km/h82%76%3
Sun 6pPartly sunny73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)73°23°30%14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 33 mph52 km/h84%82%1
Sun 7pMostly clear70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)70°21°30%14 mph23 km/h from N, gusts 30 mph49 km/h93%54%0
Sun 8pShowers68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)68°20°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 27 mph44 km/h93%82%0
Sun 9pCloudy68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)68°20°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 28 mph45 km/h93%87%0
Sun 10pCloudy68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)68°20°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 28 mph46 km/h93%86%0
Sun 11pCloudy67°19° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)67°19°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h97%70%0
Mon 12aShowers67°19° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)67°19°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h93%77%0
Mon 1aShowers66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h97%72%0
Mon 2aShowers66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h93%64%0
Mon 3aPartly cloudy66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h93%40%0
Mon 4aShowers66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h93%78%0
Mon 5aShowers66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h93%77%0
Mon 6aShowers66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h93%47%0
Mon 7aPartly cloudy66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)66°19°20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h93%35%0
Mon 8aShowers67°19° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)67°19°20%12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h90%40%0
Mon 9aShowers70°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)70°21°20%13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h87%23%1
Mon 10aDrizzle73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)73°23°20%13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h84%22%2
Mon 11aShowers75°24° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)75°24°20%14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h82%21%4

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 76°24°, low 64°18°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 76°24°

      60% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 66°19°

      60% chance · 0.62 in16 mm

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 65°18°

      50% chance · 0.5 in13 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: A chance of rain showers before 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. High near 76, with temperatures falling to around 71 in the afternoon. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 4am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 64, with temperatures rising to around 65 overnight. Northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    74°23°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    58°14°–64°18°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Showers. High 77°25°, low 66°19°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 67°19°

      30% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Showers, 76°24°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 68°20°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 66°19°

      30% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers after 10am. Partly sunny. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. Northeast wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Northeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    74°23°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    65°18°–68°20°
    Wind
    18 mph28 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Showers. High 77°25°, low 63°17°. Rain 0.36 in9.1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 67°19°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 78°26°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 70°21°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 69°20°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 75 in the afternoon. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    75°24°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    63°17°–69°21°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 78°26°, low 62°17°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 67°20°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 81°27°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 72°22°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 69°20°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 78.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    78°26°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    62°17°–69°21°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 63°17°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 79°26°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 73°23°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 70°21°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    78°26°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    63°17°–71°22°
    Wind
    16 mph25 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Drizzle. High 78°26°, low 62°17°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 71°21°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 79°26°

      20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 71°22°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 70°21°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    78°26°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    62°17°–71°22°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 78°26°, low 61°16°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 80°27°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 71°22°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 68°20°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    78°26°–83°28°
    Low, likely
    61°16°–71°22°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 80°27°, low 67°19°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 80°27°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 73°23°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 68°20°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    79°26°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    58°14°–71°22°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 68°20°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 67°20°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 80°26°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 71°22°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 64°18°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    75°24°–83°28°
    Low, likely
    61°16°–71°22°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 82°28°, low 65°18°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 82°28°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 69°21°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    80°27°–85°29°
    Low, likely
    60°16°–69°21°
    Wind
    7 mph10 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5

The outlook

  1. Today

    64% chance of rain, high 76°, low 64°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 77°, low 66°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 77°, low 63°.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 78–82°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (JAX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Georgetown (in NAVD88)

6.9 mi
Minor flooding
Level
2.2 ft

Reading from Sat 9:54 AM · NWS gauge page

Dunns Creek State Park Boat Ramp (in MHHW)

7.0 mi
Minor flooding
Level
1.5 ft

Reading from Sat 9:54 AM · NWS gauge page

Crescent Lake at Crescent City (in NAVD88)

10 mi
Minor flooding
Level
1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 9:54 AM · NWS gauge page

Shell Bluff Park (in NAVD88)

10 mi
Minor flooding
Level
1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 9:54 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:34 AM, sunset 6:47 PM.

Daylight
11 h 13 min
Losing 1 min 38 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 58 min less
Golden hour
6:14–7:01 PM
Morning 7:19–8:06 AM
Blue hour
7:01–7:11 PM
Morning 7:09–7:19 AM; first light 7:09 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 5–7:10 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:52 AM · rises 5:41 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Welaka. The highest point on the skyline is about 800 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.