Observed 1:55 PM CDT at KSPW

Ayrshire, IA weather

Sunny and 72°22°, 17°9° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 72°22°

Sunny

Wind: 13 mph20 km/h; From the west-southwest. 711–13 mph20 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 52°11°; Comfortable
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 3 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.18 inHg1022 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
Low 47°8° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 74°23° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 49°9° by 3 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 62°17° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · rain chance 30% · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · rain chance 30% · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from WSW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	43%	46%	3
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	43%	55%	2
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	44%	48%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from WNW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	48%	79%	0
Sat 6p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	55%	88%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 56°13° to 65°18°)	63°17°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from NNW, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	62%	88%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°)	57°14°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	72%	89%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	56°13°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	72%	79%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	54°12°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	77%	90%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	80%	82%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	77%	81%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	80%	84%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	80%	83%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	83%	86%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	83%	89%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	83%	81%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	83%	75%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	83%	72%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	86%	76%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	80%	80%	0
Sun 10a	Mostly cloudy	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	71%	77%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	56°13°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	66%	85%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°)	57°14°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	64%	94%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)	59°15°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	60%	95%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°)	60°16°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	58%	91%	4
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 63°17°)	61°16°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	53%	72%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)	62°17°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	52%	70%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)	60°16°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	53%	71%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°)	59°15°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	51%	76%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	55%	81%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	63%	80%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	68%	80%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NNE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	68%	93%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	43°6°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	68%	96%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	20%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	71%	90%	0
Mon 1a	Showers	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	30%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	71%	88%	0
Mon 2a	Showers	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	30%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	68%	92%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	30%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	68%	100%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	40°4°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	70%	100%	0
Mon 5a	Showers	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	40°4°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	73%	100%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	40°4°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	70%	100%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	40°4°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	70%	100%	0
Mon 8a	Showers	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	37°3°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	79%	99%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	41°5°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	76%	98%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	74%	97%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	53°12°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	69%	98%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	66%	89%	1
Mon 1p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	57°14°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	62%	84%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 47°8°. Typical 58°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy. High near 75, with temperatures falling to around 72 in the afternoon. West wind 8 to 12 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 47, with temperatures rising to around 49 overnight. North wind around 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
73°23°–75°24°
Low, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 35°2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 58°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 45°7°
  30% chance
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy. Low around 43, with temperatures rising to around 45 overnight. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–63°17°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 35°2°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Showers. High 61°16°, low 49°9°. Typical 57°14° / 34°1°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 43°6°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. East northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 34°1°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 57°14°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
51°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 34°1°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Thunderstorms. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Storms 0.22 in5.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
66°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 34°1°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 55°13° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 70°21°).
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–54°12°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 33°1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 72°22°, low 53°12°. Typical 55°13° / 33°1°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 72°22°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.19 in4.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
50°10°–64°18°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 33°1°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 57°14°. Typical 54°12° / 32°0°. Rain 0.49 in12 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  50% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  40% chance · 0.15 in3.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
53°12°–60°16°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 32°0°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 46°8°. Typical 54°12° / 32°0°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–66°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–58°14°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 32°0°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 55°13°, low 44°7°. Typical 53°12° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–66°19°
Low, likely
33°1°–59°15°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 31°−1°
Wind
26 mph42 km/h, gusts 49 mph79 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 75°, low 47°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 43°, cooling off.
Monday
31% chance of rain, high 61°, low 49°.
Rest of week
Highs 55–72°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DMX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

West Fork Des Moines River at Emmetsburg

8.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.0 ft
Flow: 253 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Willow Creek (North Central IA) near Cornell

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 82.1 ft

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Ocheyedan River near Spencer

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.7 ft
Flow: 135 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Little Sioux River at Linn Grove

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6.1 ft
Flow: 365 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 83% less heating than a typical week.

This week 24Typical 139

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 12
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 52°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Emmetsburg · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 17°9° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Ayrshire weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 38 min; Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 38 min less
Golden hour: 5:42–6:40 PM; Morning 7:26–8:23 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:51 PM; Morning 7:14–7:26 AM; first light 7:14 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 83% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:57 AM · rises 5:21 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Ayrshire. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Ayrshire, IA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

West Fork Des Moines River at Emmetsburg

Willow Creek (North Central IA) near Cornell

Ocheyedan River near Spencer

Little Sioux River at Linn Grove

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon