Observed 4:10 PM CDT at KSDA

Essex, IA weather

Sunny and 79°26°, 17°9° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 79°26°

Sunny

Wind: 10 mph17 km/h; From the south. Up to 10 mph17 km/h through 5 AM
Dew point: 50°10°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.17 inHg1022 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (81°27° then, 79°26° now)

Good hours for

Low 54°12° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 70°21° tomorrow by noon
Below 70°21° tomorrow night after 8 PM

TonightDown to 56°13° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 78°26° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 56°13° by 5 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 67°19° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 77°25° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Cloudy	76°24° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)	76°24°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	43%	80%	2
Sat 6p	Mostly cloudy	75°24° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	46%	70%	1
Sat 7p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	80%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	63%	75%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	65%	79%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	70%	79%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	72%	79%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	75%	79%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	78%	79%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	80%	79%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	80%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	76%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	83%	72%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	86%	63%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	90%	60%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	90%	47%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	74%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	72%	76%	1
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	61%	76%	2
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	72°22° (likely 65°18° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	53%	73%	3
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	75°24° (likely 69°21° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	72%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	75%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	77°25° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)	77°25°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	43%	78%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 73°23° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	42%	80%	3
Sun 5p	Partly sunny	77°25° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)	77°25°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	43%	71%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 68°20° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	46%	70%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	55%	70%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	65%	71%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	70%	61%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	72%	75%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	75%	77%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	60°16°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	75%	79%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	59°15°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	78%	83%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	78%	83%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	80%	82%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	80%	81%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	86%	79%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	86%	85%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	83%	82%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	86%	78%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	80%	58%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	72%	67%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	63%	64%	2
Mon 12p	Mostly cloudy	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	55%	61%	3
Mon 1p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	48%	62%	4
Mon 2p	Mostly cloudy	75°24° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	45%	60%	4
Mon 3p	Mostly cloudy	76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	43%	70%	3
Mon 4p	Mostly cloudy	77°25° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	40%	71%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 54°12°. Typical 62°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny. High near 79, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. South southwest wind around 7 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 54, with temperatures rising to around 56 overnight. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–80°27°
Low, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 37°3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 55°13°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 77°25°, low 57°14°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 77. South southeast wind 3 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. South wind around 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 77°25°).
High, likely
73°23°–77°25°
Low, likely
53°12°–57°14°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Drizzle. High 72°22°, low 56°13°. Typical 60°16° / 36°2°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers between 7am and 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. South wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
56°13°–62°17°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 36°2°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Drizzle. High 76°24°, low 56°13°. Typical 60°16° / 35°2°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 69°21°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.25 in6.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7am and 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
74°23°–77°25°
Low, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 35°2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Thunderstorms. High 78°26°, low 60°16°. Typical 59°15° / 35°2°. Storms 0.36 in9.1 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  20% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South southeast wind 5 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–78°26°
Low, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 35°2°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 77°25°, low 58°14°. Typical 59°15° / 35°2°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 74°24°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 69°21°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. South southeast wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South southeast wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–80°27°
Low, likely
58°14°–66°19°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 35°2°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Rain. High 67°19°, low 60°16°. Typical 58°14° / 34°1°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 63°17°
  60% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°16°
  60% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 34°1°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 58°14° / 34°1°. Rain 0.38 in9.7 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 52°11°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.33 in8.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–60°16°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 34°1°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 57°14° / 33°1°. Rain 0.49 in12 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 60°16°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–80°27°
Low, likely
36°2°–58°14°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 33°1°
Wind
26 mph42 km/h, gusts 50 mph81 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 79°, low 54°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 78°, low 55°.
Monday
Dry, high 77°, low 57°.
Rest of week
Highs 62–78°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (OAX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Snake Creek near Yorktown

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 79.8 ft

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

East Nishnabotna River at Red Oak

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 7.7 ft
Flow: 425 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

West Nishnabotna River near Randolph

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 10.0 ft
Flow: 1,430 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Nodaway River at Clarinda

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 11.3 ft
Flow: 507 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 94% less heating than a typical week.

This week 8Typical 119

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 50°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 6:00 PM–12:00 AM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Red Oak · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1897–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 17°9° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Essex weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 45 min; Losing 2 min 35 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 30 min less
Golden hour: 5:49–6:44 PM; Morning 7:25–8:20 AM
Blue hour: 6:44–6:55 PM; Morning 7:14–7:25 AM; first light 7:14 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 75% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:57 AM · rises 5:25 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Essex. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Essex, IA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Snake Creek near Yorktown

East Nishnabotna River at Red Oak

West Nishnabotna River near Randolph

Nodaway River at Clarinda

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon