South Fork Chariton River near Promise City
4.3 mi- Level
- 3.1 ft
- Flow
- 13 cfs
Reading from Sat 1:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Observed 2:55 PM CDT at KTVK
Promise City, IA weather
Sunny and 79°26°, 17°9° warmer than a typical Oct 24.
Today: low 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 56°13°), high 77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°).
Now 79°26°
Sunny
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h
- From the south-southeast. 35–10 mph16 km/h through 3 AM
- Visibility
- 4 mi6 km
- Haze · under 5 mi8 km
- Dew point
- 45°7°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 3Moderate
- Moderate until 4 PM · peak 4
- Pressure
- 30.26 inHg1025 hPa
- Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−0.8 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
About the same as this time yesterday (79°26° then, 79°26° now)
Good hours for
This afternoonNear 75°24° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 57°14° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 78°26° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 56°13° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 75°24° by 2 PM · Mostly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 3p | Mostly sunny | 76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°) | 76°24° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 40% | 16% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 75°24° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°) | 75°24° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 41% | 19% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Mostly sunny | 73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 73°23° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 46% | 42% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Partly cloudy | 69°21° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°) | 69°21° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 55% | 44% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Partly cloudy | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 60% | 48% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Partly cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 65% | 58% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Mostly clear | 62°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 65% | 35% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 65% | 60% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 67% | 56% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Partly cloudy | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 67% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 67% | 74% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Partly cloudy | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 67% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 58°14° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 69% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Mostly cloudy | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 69% | 65% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 69% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 72% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 74% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 74% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 67% | 79% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 60% | 78% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 70°21° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 51% | 77% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 73°23° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 48% | 77% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°) | 76°24° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 43% | 76% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 77°25° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°) | 77°25° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 42% | 77% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 78°26° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°) | 78°26° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 39% | 76% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 78°26° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°) | 78°26° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 39% | 76% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°) | 76°24° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 43% | 80% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 73°23° (likely 68°20° to 74°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 48% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°) | 69°21° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 57% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 67% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 70% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 70% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 72% | 83% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 72% | 83% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 75% | 81% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 58°14° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 75% | 84% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 77% | 85% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 75% | 83% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 77% | 85% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 83% | 90% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 83% | 94% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°) | 54°12° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 86% | 96% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 77% | 95% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 65% | 97% | 1 |
| Mon 11a | Cloudy | 68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 68°20° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 57% | 93% | 2 |
| Mon 12p | Cloudy | 71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 71°22° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 49% | 89% | 3 |
| Mon 1p | Cloudy | 73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 44% | 73% | 4 |
| Mon 2p | Mostly cloudy | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 75°24° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 40% | 66% | 4 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 55°13°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 76°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 57°14°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 73 in the afternoon. South wind around 10 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 55, with temperatures rising to around 57 overnight. South wind 3 to 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 74°23°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–56°13°
- Typical high / low
- 60°16° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 54°12°. Typical 59°15° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 56°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 78°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 56°13°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 78, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. South southwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy. Low around 54, with temperatures rising to around 56 overnight. South wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–79°26°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–54°12°
- Typical high / low
- 59°15° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 55°13°. Typical 59°15° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 75°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 57°14°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 76. South southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–76°24°
- Low, likely
- 51°11°–57°14°
- Typical high / low
- 59°15° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 73°23°, low 57°14°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 58°14°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 70°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 59°15°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 68°20°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 56°13°–58°14°
- Typical high / low
- 58°14° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 14 mph22 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 75°24°, low 57°14°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 59°15°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 74°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 67°20°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 62°17°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 7am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7am and 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 56°13°–60°16°
- Typical high / low
- 58°14° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 77°25°, low 59°15°. Typical 57°14° / 36°2°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 61°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 72°22°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 65°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 62°16°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 69°21°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 59°15°–62°17°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 76°24°, low 58°14°. Typical 57°14° / 35°2°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 76°24°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 70°21°30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 64°18°30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 76.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–79°26°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–64°18°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 20 mph32 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 67°19°, low 59°15°. Typical 56°13° / 35°2°. Rain 0.51 in13 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 63°17°40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Rain, 66°19°50% chance · 0.24 in6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Rain, 61°16°50% chance · 0.18 in4.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 61°16°40% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–72°22°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–59°15°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 23 mph37 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 62°17°40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 65°18°30% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 54°12°30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 47°8°30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–62°17°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 34°1°
- Wind
- 19 mph31 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 49°9°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 49°9°40% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 55°13°40% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 54°12°30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 49°9°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 34°1°–64°18°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 34°1°
- Wind
- 27 mph44 km/h, gusts 53 mph85 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 77°, low 55°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 78°, low 54°.
Monday
Dry, high 76°, low 55°.
Rest of week
Highs 58–77°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DMX) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Chariton River at Rathbun Reservoir
14 mi- Level
- 906 ft
Reading from Sat 1:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Chariton River at Rathbun Tail
14 mi- Level
- 2.3 ft
Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page
Cooper Creek at Centerville
15 mi- Level
- 7.6 ft
Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 94% less heating than a typical week.
This week 7Typical 124
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).
Open the windows?
Today, 4:00 PM–1:00 AM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Is this typical?
Allerton · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1902–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 17°9° warmer than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 60°16° / 38°3°
- Forecast high / low
- 77°25° / 55°13°
- Record high
- 83°28° in 2022
- Record low
- 21°−6° in 2006
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 7°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
- −6°−4°SunOct 18
- +1°±0°MonOct 19
- +3°+2°TueOct 20
- +9°+5°WedOct 21
- +12°+7°ThuOct 22
- +15°+8°FriOct 23
- +16°+9°SatOct 24
Promise City weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:33 AM, sunset 6:19 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 45 min
- Losing 2 min 35 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 30 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:41–6:36 PM
- Morning 7:16–8:11 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:36–6:46 PM
- Morning 7:05–7:16 AM; first light 7:05 AM
Stars tonight? Poor
Clouds most of the night (about 64% cover).
Moon
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:48 AM · rises 5:17 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
