Observed 12:45 PM CDT at KHYS

Ellis, KS weather

Sunny and 72°22°, 8°4° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 72°22°

Sunny

Wind: 9 mph15 km/h; From the west. 58–10 mph16 km/h through 1 AM
Dew point: 52°11°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Air quality: 54Moderate; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (73°23° then, 69°21° now)

Good hours for

High 73°23° today at 2 PM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 11 AM
Rain tomorrow from 2 PM (70%, 2 in50 mm)
Gusts to 25 mph40 km/h tomorrow night 5–6 AM
Gusts to 29 mph47 km/h Monday from 9 AM

This afternoonNear 72°22° · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 52°11° by 5 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 63°17° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 72°22° by 2 PM · Rain 2–6 PM (40%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 57°14° by 5 AM · Rain all night (70%) · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h
Monday morningUp to 63°17° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (60%) · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from SSW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	55%	80%	4
Sat 2p	Mostly cloudy	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	73°23°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	53%	67%	3
Sat 3p	Cloudy	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)	73°23°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	55%	93%	3
Sat 4p	Cloudy	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)	73°23°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	57%	87%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	72°22°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	59%	94%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 64°18° to 74°23°)	71°22°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	59%	97%	0
Sat 7p	Drizzle	66°19° (likely 60°16° to 69°21°)	66°19°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	68%	99%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 67°19°)	62°17°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	75%	96%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	78%	92%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	80%	88%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	80%	87%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	80%	82%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	83%	78%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	76%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	86%	80%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	77%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	55%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	52°11°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	86%	76%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	51°11°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	81%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°)	51°11°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	85%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°)	55°13°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	88%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°)	59°15°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	78%	97%	0
Sun 11a	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)	63°17°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	70%	98%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 59°15° to 67°19°)	67°19°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	63%	94%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 62°17° to 70°21°)	70°21°	20%, 0.08 in2 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	59%	99%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 62°17° to 72°22°)	72°22°	20%, 0.08 in2 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	57%	96%	4
Sun 3p	Showers	72°22° (likely 63°17° to 72°22°)	72°22°	20%, 0.08 in2 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	59%	94%	3
Sun 4p	Rain	72°22° (likely 59°15° to 72°22°)	72°22°	40%, 0.08 in2 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	61%	100%	2
Sun 5p	Rain	71°22° (likely 59°15° to 71°22°)	71°22°	40%, 0.08 in2 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	66%	99%	0
Sun 6p	Drizzle	69°21° (likely 59°15° to 69°21°)	69°21°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	70%	99%	0
Sun 7p	Heavy rain	67°19° (likely 58°14° to 67°19°)	67°19°	50%, 0.17 in4.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	75%	97%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	63°17°	40%, 0.17 in4.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	87%	98%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	70%, 0.17 in4.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	90%	98%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	60%, 0.17 in4.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	87%	98%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	61°16°	50%, 0.17 in4.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	87%	96%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	61°16°	50%, 0.17 in4.3 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	87%	98%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	61°16°	50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	84%	98%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	30%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	87%	98%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	87%	99%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	87%	99%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	88%	98%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	91%	91%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	91%	96%	0
Mon 8a	Drizzle	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)	55°13°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	95%	92%	0
Mon 9a	Drizzle	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	57°14°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	93%	90%	0
Mon 10a	Showers	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	60°16°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	87%	87%	1
Mon 11a	Showers	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	80%	91%	2
Mon 12p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	65°18°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	16 mph26 km/h from SSW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	74%	96%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 74°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 66°19° / 37°3°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 10% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. West southwest wind 8 to 12 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. North northeast wind 3 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 37°3°
Wind
22 mph35 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 72°22°, low 55°13°. Typical 66°19° / 37°3°. Storms 0.35 in8.9 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 72°22°
  40% chance · 0.4 in10 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Heavy rain, 63°17°
  70% chance · 0.93 in24 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  60% chance · 0.47 in12 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. East southeast wind 3 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 55. South southeast wind 7 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 37°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Thunderstorms. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 65°18° / 36°2°. Storms 0.27 in6.9 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 55°13°
  60% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°21°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. South wind 12 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
47°8°–57°14°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 36°2°
Wind
22 mph35 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 65°18° / 36°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
51°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 36°2°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 52°11°. Typical 64°18° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 74°23°).
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
52°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 35°2°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 41 mph65 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 58°14°. Typical 64°18° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 74°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 69°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
71°22°–78°26°
Low, likely
50°10°–58°14°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 35°2°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 73°23°, low 55°13°. Typical 63°17° / 34°1°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 68°20°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–79°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–66°19°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 34°1°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 68°20°, low 56°13°. Typical 63°17° / 34°1°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.19 in4.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 69°21°
  20% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
51°11°–60°16°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 34°1°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 34°1°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–72°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–59°15°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 34°1°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 51 mph82 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Mostly sunny. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 62°17° / 33°1°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–74°23°
Low, likely
36°2°–58°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 33°1°
Wind
20 mph31 km/h, gusts 47 mph76 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 74°, low 51°.
Tomorrow
44% chance of rain, high 72°, low 55°.
Monday
58% chance of rain, high 70°, low 47°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 62–77°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DDC) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Big Creek near Ellis

5.1 mi

Level: 1.1 ft

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Smoky Hill River at Cedar Bluff Reservoir

13 mi

Level: 2119 ft
Flow: 53,800 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Big Creek near Hays

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.6 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Smoky Hill River above Schoenchen

19 mi

Level: 3.0 ft

Reading from Sat 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 91% less heating than a typical week.

This week 10Typical 104

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 52°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–9:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Hays 1 S · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1892–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 8°4° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Ellis weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 6:10–7:03 PM; Morning 7:40–8:34 AM
Blue hour: 7:03–7:14 PM; Morning 7:29–7:40 AM; first light 7:29 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 82% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:13 AM · rises 5:45 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Ellis. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,900 ft, 15 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.