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Observed 8:05 PM CDT at KAEX

Provencal, LA weather

Clear and 70°21°, 10°6° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°), high 85°29° (likely 84°29° to 86°30°).

Forecasts agree

Now 70°21°

Clear

Wind
5 mph7 km/h
From the east. Light through 8 AM
Dew point
50°10°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
6High
High 1–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure
30.24 inHg1024 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.0 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 64°18° now)

Good hours for
  • Low 50°10° tomorrow at 7 AM
  • Above 70°21° tomorrow by 11 AM
  • High 81°27° tomorrow at 4 PM
  • Drops 13°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (78°26° → 65°18°)
  • Below 70°21° tomorrow night after 8 PM
  1. TonightDown to 52°11° by 5 AM · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 81°27° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 54°12° by 5 AM · Cloudy
  5. Monday morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  6. Monday afternoonUp to 81°27° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 8pClear69°21° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)69°21°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h45%3%0
Sat 9pClear66°19° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)66°19°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h52%8%0
Sat 10pClear64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)64°18°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h56%22%0
Sat 11pClear62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)62°17°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h58%12%0
Sun 12aClear60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)60°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h62%4%0
Sun 1aClear58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)58°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h67%1%0
Sun 2aClear56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)56°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h72%10%0
Sun 3aClear54°12° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)54°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h77%2%0
Sun 4aClear53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)53°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h77%14%0
Sun 5aMostly clear52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h80%22%0
Sun 6aClear51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h83%31%0
Sun 7aMostly sunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h89%46%0
Sun 8aSunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h86%37%0
Sun 9aMostly sunny57°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)57°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h75%38%1
Sun 10aMostly sunny66°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)66°19°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h52%45%2
Sun 11aPartly sunny72°22° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)72°22°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h39%50%3
Sun 12pCloudy75°24° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°)75°24°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h33%79%5
Sun 1pCloudy78°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)78°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph22 km/h29%73%6
Sun 2pMostly sunny79°26° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h27%66%5
Sun 3pCloudy80°27° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h25%88%4
Sun 4pCloudy81°27° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h24%60%3
Sun 5pCloudy79°26° (likely 75°24° to 80°27°)79°26°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h26%67%2
Sun 6pCloudy78°26° (likely 71°22° to 78°26°)78°26°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h28%84%1
Sun 7pCloudy72°22° (likely 65°18° to 72°22°)72°22°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h35%85%0
Sun 8pCloudy65°18° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)65°18°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h46%90%0
Sun 9pCloudy63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)63°17°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h52%89%0
Sun 10pCloudy61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h53%88%0
Sun 11pCloudy60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)60°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h55%93%0
Mon 12aCloudy59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)59°15°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h60%95%0
Mon 1aCloudy57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)57°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h64%90%0
Mon 2aCloudy56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)56°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h66%95%0
Mon 3aCloudy55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)55°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h69%94%0
Mon 4aCloudy55°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)55°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph10 km/h69%95%0
Mon 5aCloudy54°12° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)54°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h74%95%0
Mon 6aCloudy54°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)54°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h74%97%0
Mon 7aCloudy53°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)53°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h77%94%0
Mon 8aCloudy53°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)53°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h93%92%0
Mon 9aCloudy59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)59°15°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h78%86%1
Mon 10aPartly sunny67°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°)67°19°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h59%76%2
Mon 11aMostly sunny72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)72°22°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h48%33%3
Mon 12pSunny76°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)76°24°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h40%27%5
Mon 1pPartly sunny78°26° (likely 78°26° to 79°26°)78°26°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h36%22%6
Mon 2pPartly sunny81°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)80°27°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h32%37%5
Mon 3pMostly sunny81°27° (likely 79°26° to 81°27°)80°27°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h30%39%5
Mon 4pMostly sunny81°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)80°27°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h29%52%4
Mon 5pSunny79°26° (likely 75°24° to 80°27°)79°26°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h32%32%2
Mon 6pPartly cloudy76°24° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)76°24°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h37%37%1
Mon 7pPartly cloudy72°22° (likely 65°18° to 72°22°)72°22°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h44%43%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 85°29°, low 50°10°. Typical 75°24° / 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 69°21°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Wind around 0 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    84°29°–86°30°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    75°24° / 52°11°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 53°12°. Typical 75°24° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 81°27°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 81. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Wind around 0 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    78°26°–82°28°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    75°24° / 52°11°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 52°11°. Typical 75°24° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 81°27°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 66°19°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. East wind around 0 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Northeast wind around 0 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    78°26°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    75°24° / 51°11°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 56°13°. Typical 74°23° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 80°27°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 69°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 59°15°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 81.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    79°26°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–59°15°
    Typical high / low
    74°23° / 51°11°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 85°29°, low 55°13°. Typical 74°23° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 60°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 84°29°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 69°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    81°27°–85°29°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–60°16°
    Typical high / low
    74°23° / 50°10°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 85°29°, low 54°12°. Typical 74°23° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 84°29°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 69°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    81°27°–86°30°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–58°14°
    Typical high / low
    74°23° / 50°10°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 83°28°, low 60°16°. Typical 73°23° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 82°28°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 71°22°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 64°18°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    80°27°–84°29°
    Low, likely
    53°12°–60°16°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 50°10°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 85°29°, low 64°18°. Typical 73°23° / 49°9°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 65°19°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 85°29°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 78°25°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 69°21°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 85.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    80°27°–88°31°
    Low, likely
    62°17°–67°19°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 49°9°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 84°29°, low 69°21°. Typical 73°23° / 49°9°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 72°22°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 85°30°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 77°25°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 68°20°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    81°27°–92°33°
    Low, likely
    66°19°–71°22°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 49°9°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Mostly sunny. High 83°28°, low 64°18°. Typical 72°22° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 70°21°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 79°26°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 70°21°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    79°26°–92°33°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–69°21°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 49°9°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    5

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 85°, low 50°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 81°, low 53°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 81°, low 52°.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 81–85°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (SHV) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Red River at Grand Ecore

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
19.8 ft
Flow
3,550 cfs

Forecast peak 19.9 ft Sun 1 AM

Reading from Sat 6 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

This week 9Typical 0

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 50°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 9:00 PM–12:00 AM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Natchitoches #2 · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 10°6° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
75°24° / 52°11°
Forecast high / low
85°29° / 50°10°
Record high
90°32° in 1893
Record low
32°0° in 1938

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −5°−3°MonOct 19
  2. −2°−1°TueOct 20
  3. −1°WedOct 21
  4. +2°+1°ThuOct 22
  5. +4°+2°FriOct 23
  6. +5°+3°SatOct 24
  7. —SunOct 25

Provencal weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:22 AM, sunset 6:30 PM.

Daylight
11 h 8 min
Losing 1 min 43 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 3 min less
Golden hour
5:57–6:46 PM
Morning 7:07–7:56 AM
Blue hour
6:46–6:55 PM
Morning 6:57–7:07 AM; first light 6:57 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 8:27 PM–6 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:42 AM · rises 5:26 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Provencal. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.