Observed 3:00 PM EDT at KBAF

Belchertown, MA weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 6 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the southeast. Light through 3 AM
Dew point: 32°0°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 25Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.48 inHg1032 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Drops 12°7° tonight 6–9 PM (54°12° → 42°6°)
Below 40°4° tonight after 9 PM
Hard freeze tonight 1–9 AM (low 24°−4°)
Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM
Below freezing tomorrow night 3–9 AM (low 29°−2°)

This afternoonNear 58°14° · Clear
TonightDown to 26°−3° by 5 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 30°−1° by 4 AM · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
Monday morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 64°18° by 2 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	3%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	45%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 37°3°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 35°2°)	24°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	78%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	62%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	52%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	38%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	33%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	33%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	35%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	41%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	8%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	52%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	19%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	20%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	23%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	33%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 7a	Partly sunny	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	37%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	31%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	92%	45%	1
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 41°5° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	83%	24%	2
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	69%	34%	3
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	60%	13%	4
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 56°13° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	56%	14%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	54%	14%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 24°−4°. Typical 59°15° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 26°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 59. West wind around 3 mph.
Tonight: Areas of frost after 11pm. Clear, with a low around 24. North wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–60°16°
Low, likely
24°−4°–32°0°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 36°2°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 28°−2°. Typical 58°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 25°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 65. West wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Areas of frost after midnight. Mostly clear, with a low around 28. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
28°−2°–35°2°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 35°2°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 38°3°. Typical 58°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 42°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 0 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northwest wind around 7 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
32°0°–38°3°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 35°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 55°13°, low 28°−2°. Typical 57°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 29°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 55. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 28. North wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Low, likely
28°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 35°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 56°13°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 53°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–56°13°
Low, likely
27°−3°–36°2°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 34°1°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 57°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. South wind 2 to 12 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Southwest wind 3 to 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 34°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 43°6°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 2 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 34°1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 34°1°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 56°13° / 33°1°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–67°19°
Low, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 33°1°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 62°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 55°13° / 33°1°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.23 in5.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–67°19°
Low, likely
48°9°–62°17°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 33°1°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 59°, low 24°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 28°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 66°, low 38°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 55–68°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BOX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chicopee River at Indian Orchard

9.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.5 ft
Flow: 380 cfs

Forecast peak 4.4 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Westfield River at Westfield

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 298 cfs

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Swift River at West Ware

3.6 mi

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 37 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Ware River at Gibbs Crossing

7.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 96 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 24°−4°

Overnight low near 24°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 67% less heating than a typical week.

This week 44Typical 133

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 30
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 32°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

AMHERST · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−11°−6°SunOct 18
−6°−4°MonOct 19
±0°TueOct 20
+4°+2°WedOct 21
+3°+1°ThuOct 22
+4°+2°FriOct 23
−5°−3°SatOct 24

Belchertown weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 41 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 36 min less
Golden hour: 5:14–6:11 PM; Morning 6:55–7:52 AM
Blue hour: 6:11–6:22 PM; Morning 6:44–6:55 AM; first light 6:44 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:22 PM–6:45 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:22 AM · rises 4:50 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Belchertown. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,500 ft, 54 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Belchertown, MA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Chicopee River at Indian Orchard

Westfield River at Westfield

Swift River at West Ware

Ware River at Gibbs Crossing

For your home

Pipes: watch the cold

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon