Observed 1:35 PM EDT at KMGW

Accident, MD weather

Sunny and 63°17°, jacket by 6 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 63°17°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 1 AM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Air quality: 33Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (55°13° then, 55°13° now)

Good hours for

High 58°14° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 36°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonNear 56°13° · Clear
TonightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 62°17° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	53%	4%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	47%	5%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	47%	7%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	45%	9%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	49%	4%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	50%	1%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	68%	1%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	76%	1%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	79%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	82%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	65%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	47%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	1%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	41%	2%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	39%	1%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	39%	1%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	42%	1%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	53%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	76%	5%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	4%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	7%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	76%	8%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	4%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	82%	13%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	16%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	13%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	85%	10%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	76%	10%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	63%	11%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	55%	6%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	49%	10%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 58°14°, low 36°2°. Typical 60°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 58. Southeast wind around 8 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 36. Southeast wind around 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
36°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 39°4°. Typical 60°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 60°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. West wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 59°15° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–45°7°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 35°2°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 45°7°. Typical 59°15° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–63°17°
Low, likely
43°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 35°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 58°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 34°1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 58°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 34°1°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 58°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 34°1°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 57°14° / 34°1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–71°22°
Low, likely
43°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 34°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Snow. High 60°16°, low 49°9°. Typical 57°14° / 33°1°. Snow 0.35 in8.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 49°10°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–63°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–56°13°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 33°1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 39°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 63°, low 43°.
Rest of week
Highs 60–67°; chance of precipitation on Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Bear Creek at Friendsville

4.5 mi

Level: 1.6 ft

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Youghiogheny River at Friendsville

5.1 mi

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 184 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Cherry Creek near McHenry

6.1 mi

Level: 2.4 ft

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Deep Creek Lake near Thayerville

8.0 mi

Level: 2460 ft

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 34Typical 125

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 13 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Oakland 1 SE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−11°−6°SunOct 18
−5°−3°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Accident weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 48 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 26 min less
Golden hour: 5:48–6:42 PM; Morning 7:20–8:14 AM
Blue hour: 6:42–6:52 PM; Morning 7:09–7:20 AM; first light 7:09 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:52 PM–7:10 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:49 AM · rises 5:22 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Accident. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,000 ft, 1 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.