Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 1 h 42 min
When
Until 4 PM EDT this afternoon.
Where
Dorchester, Wicomico and Somerset Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Dorchester; Wicomico; Somerset
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 12:52 PM EDT at KNHK

Church Creek, MD weather

Partly cloudy and 63°17°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Partly sunny

Wind: 9 mph15 km/h; From the northeast. Up to 9 mph15 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 44°7°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 5 PM
Air quality: 29Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° warmer than this time yesterday (61°16° then, 63°17° now)

Good hours for

High 63°17° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Low 42°6° tonight at 5 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 63°17° · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 11 PM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	48%	80%	4
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	60%	4
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	46%	68%	3
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	46%	75%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	55%	64%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	69%	53%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	89%	24%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	96%	5%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	93%	11%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	74%	5%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	64%	2%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	58%	6%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	4%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	4%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	6%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	48%	7%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	2%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	55%	3%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	66%	2%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	86%	3%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	38%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	18%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	3%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	25%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	39%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	39%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	41%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	42%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	13%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	74%	1%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	8%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	58%	8%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	54%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 66°19° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. East wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. East wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 48°9°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 66°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 47°8°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 65°18° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 47°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 53°12°. Typical 64°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 46°8°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 54°12°. Typical 64°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
50°10°–56°13°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–71°22°
Low, likely
52°11°–58°14°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 58°14°. Typical 63°17° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 65°18°
  20% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
55°13°–60°16°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 45°7°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 71°22°, low 63°17°. Typical 63°17° / 45°7°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 68°20°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–74°23°
Low, likely
61°16°–68°20°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 45°7°
Wind
22 mph35 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 45°.
Monday
Dry, high 66°, low 50°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 65–71°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Patuxent River at Solomons Island (IN MLLW)

21 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 3.1 ft

Forecast peak 3.0 ft Sat 2 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 1:06 PM · NWS gauge page

Chesapeake Bay at Bishops Head (IN MLLW)

21 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 3.5 ft

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sun 1 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 1:24 PM · NWS gauge page

Chesapeake Bay at Cambridge (IN MLLW)

6.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.9 ft

Forecast peak 3.4 ft Sat 3 PM, action stage

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Eastern Bay at Claiborne (IN MLLW)

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Sat 4 PM

Reading from Sat 12:36 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 58% less heating than a typical week.

This week 27Typical 64

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 23
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 44°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Royal Oak 2 Ssw · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Church Creek weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 51 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 23 min less
Golden hour: 5:37–6:30 PM; Morning 7:06–7:59 AM
Blue hour: 6:30–6:41 PM; Morning 6:55–7:06 AM; first light 6:55 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 8 PM–6:56 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:35 AM · rises 5:10 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Church Creek. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,600 ft, 38 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory