Observed 4:35 PM EDT at KCBE

Ellerslie, MD weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph8 km/h; From the east. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 5 AM
Dew point: 33°0°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 34Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.52 inHg1034 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

3°1° cooler than this time yesterday (64°18° then, 61°16° now)

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 36°2° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

TonightDown to 37°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 71°22° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	39%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	92%	12%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	1%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	1%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	61%	1%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	2%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	49%	1%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	2%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	2%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	2%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	53%	1%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	83%	2%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	83%	2%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	26%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	24%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	19%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	7%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	14%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	17%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	17%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	96%	16%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	14%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	10%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	80%	6%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	62%	8%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	52%	7%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	45%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	42%	0%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	39%	0%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	41%	0%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 34°1°. Typical 57°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy frost after 4am. Clear, with a low around 34. South wind 1 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 63. South wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 57°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
35°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 43°6°. Typical 56°13° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 65°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 56°13° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 47°8°. Typical 56°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 36°2°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 48°9°. Typical 55°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
39°4°–51°11°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 55°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–69°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 54°12° / 36°2°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–71°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–54°12°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 55°13°. Typical 54°12° / 35°2°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–72°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–62°17°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 35°2°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 34°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 36°.
Monday
Dry, high 72°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 65–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Wills Creek near Cumberland

3.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 62 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

North Branch Potomac River at Cumberland

6.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.7 ft
Flow: 515 cfs

Forecast peak 2.7 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

South Branch Potomac River near Springfield

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.0 ft
Flow: 599 cfs

Forecast peak 2.0 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Potomac River at Paw Paw

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.7 ft
Flow: 1,270 cfs

Forecast peak 4.7 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 74% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 128

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 19 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 33°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Frostburg 2 · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1972–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−9°−5°SunOct 18
−4°−2°MonOct 19
±0°TueOct 20
+3°+1°WedOct 21
+4°+2°ThuOct 22
+4°+2°FriOct 23
−1°SatOct 24

Ellerslie weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 48 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 27 min less
Golden hour: 5:45–6:39 PM; Morning 7:18–8:12 AM
Blue hour: 6:39–6:50 PM; Morning 7:07–7:18 AM; first light 7:07 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:50 PM–7:08 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:47 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Ellerslie. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,200 ft, 4 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Ellerslie, MD weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Wills Creek near Cumberland

North Branch Potomac River at Cumberland

South Branch Potomac River near Springfield

Potomac River at Paw Paw

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon