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  • Frost Advisory

    Starts in 10 h 31 min

    When
    From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Sunday.
    Where
    Portions of central, northeast, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation.

    Impacts

    Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

    Precautionary actions

    Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

    Areas: Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Cecil; Northwest Montgomery; Northwest Howard; Northwest Harford; Southeast Harford; Rappahannock; Culpeper; Northern Fauquier; Southern Fauquier; Western Loudoun; Eastern Loudoun; Northwest Prince William; Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 2:10 PM EDT at KHGR

Graceham, MD weather

Sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.

Today: low 36°2° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°), high 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°).

Forecasts agree

Now 59°15°

Sunny

Wind
8 mph13 km/h
From the south-southeast. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point
28°−2°
Dry · up to 38°3° by 3 PM (comfortable)
UV index
3Moderate
Moderate until 3 PM · peak 4
Air quality
30Good
Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure
30.52 inHg1034 hPa
Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.7 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • High 61°16° today at 3 PM
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
  • Low 36°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
  • Fog Monday 7–9 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 61°16° · Clear
  2. TonightDown to 37°3° by 4 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 3 PM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 4 AM · Clear
  6. Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 2pSunny60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h44%0%3
Sat 3pSunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h42%0%2
Sat 4pSunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h42%0%1
Sat 5pSunny61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h42%0%1
Sat 6pClear58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)58°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h49%0%0
Sat 7pClear54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)54°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h57%2%0
Sat 8pClear50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h63%3%0
Sat 9pClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)44°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h79%0%0
Sat 10pClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)42°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h86%0%0
Sat 11pClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h89%0%0
Sun 12aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h92%0%0
Sun 1aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h89%0%0
Sun 2aClear39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h92%2%0
Sun 3aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h96%1%0
Sun 4aClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%2%0
Sun 5aClear37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%5%0
Sun 6aClear37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%2%0
Sun 7aClear36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%5%0
Sun 8aSunny37°3° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%13%0
Sun 9aSunny43°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h86%14%1
Sun 10aSunny51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h68%3%2
Sun 11aSunny55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)55°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h64%4%3
Sun 12pSunny58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)58°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h57%2%4
Sun 1pSunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)61°16°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h51%2%4
Sun 2pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h50%3%4
Sun 3pSunny64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)64°18°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h48%2%4
Sun 4pSunny64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)64°18°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h48%1%3
Sun 5pSunny63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h50%1%1
Sun 6pClear60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)60°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h55%0%0
Sun 7pClear55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)55°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h64%0%0
Sun 8pClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)49°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h80%0%0
Sun 9pClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)47°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h83%0%0
Sun 10pClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)45°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h89%0%0
Sun 11pClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)44°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h93%0%0
Mon 12aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h93%2%0
Mon 1aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)42°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h96%4%0
Mon 2aClear41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h100%12%0
Mon 3aClear41°5° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h96%13%0
Mon 4aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%13%0
Mon 5aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h100%15%0
Mon 6aMostly clear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h100%24%0
Mon 7aFog38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%39%0
Mon 8aFog39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%41%0
Mon 9aSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)44°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h93%12%1
Mon 10aSunny51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h77%0%2
Mon 11aSunny58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)58°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h64%1%3
Mon 12pSunny62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)62°17°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h56%0%4
Mon 1pSunny66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)66°19°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h48%2%4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 36°2°. Typical 63°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Patchy fog between 3am and 4am, then areas of frost and patchy fog. Clear, with a low around 36. East wind around 2 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    59°15°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 63°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Areas of frost and patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 64. Southeast wind around 2 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Wind around 0 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    62°17°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    66°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 40°4°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 42°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    63°17°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 39°4°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    61°16°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 39°4°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    65°18°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 39°4°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 61°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 74°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    72°22°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 38°3°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 49°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 72°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    66°19°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 38°3°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 64°18°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 61°16°

      30% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    61°16°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 38°3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 70°21°, low 59°15°. Typical 60°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.87 in22 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 62°17°

      20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 70°21°

      20% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 64°18°

      30% chance · 0.79 in20 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    62°17°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 37°3°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 61°, low 36°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 64°, low 38°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 70°, low 47°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 64–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Monocacy River near Frederick at Interstate 70

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.7 ft
Flow
171 cfs

Forecast peak 1.7 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Antietam Creek near Sharpsburg

22 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.4 ft
Flow
103 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Conococheague Creek at Fairview

24 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.7 ft
Flow
161 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Big Pipe Creek at Bruceville

8.0 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.0 ft
Flow
24 cfs

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 101

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
26
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 19 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Emmitsburg 2 SE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1956–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
63°17° / 40°4°
Forecast high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Record high
81°27° in 2001
Record low
16°−9° in 1969

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −10°−6°SunOct 18
  2. −7°−4°MonOct 19
  3. ±0°TueOct 20
  4. −5°−3°WedOct 21
  5. −4°−2°ThuOct 22
  6. −8°−4°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Graceham weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:29 AM, sunset 6:17 PM.

Daylight
10 h 48 min
Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 26 min less
Golden hour
5:40–6:34 PM
Morning 7:12–8:06 AM
Blue hour
6:34–6:45 PM
Morning 7:01–7:12 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:45 PM–7:02 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:41 AM · rises 5:14 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Graceham. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,000 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.