Monocacy River near Frederick at Interstate 70
15 mi- Level
- 1.7 ft
- Flow
- 171 cfs
Forecast peak 1.7 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Starts in 10 h 31 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
What
Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation.
Impacts
Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Precautionary actions
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Areas: Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Cecil; Northwest Montgomery; Northwest Howard; Northwest Harford; Southeast Harford; Rappahannock; Culpeper; Northern Fauquier; Southern Fauquier; Western Loudoun; Eastern Loudoun; Northwest Prince William; Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 2:10 PM EDT at KHGR
Sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.
Today: low 36°2° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°), high 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°).
Now 59°15°
Sunny
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 44% | 0% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h | 42% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 42% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 42% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 49% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 54°12° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 57% | 2% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 50°10° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 63% | 3% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 79% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 86% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 92% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 39°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 92% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 96% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°) | 37°3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 100% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 37°3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 100% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 37°3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 100% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 36°2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 100% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 37°3° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 37°3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 100% | 13% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 43°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 86% | 14% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 68% | 3% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 64% | 4% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 58°14° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 57% | 2% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 51% | 2% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 50% | 3% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 48% | 2% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 48% | 1% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 50% | 1% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 55% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 64% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 49°9° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 80% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 93% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 43°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 93% | 2% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 96% | 4% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 100% | 12% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 96% | 13% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 100% | 13% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 100% | 15% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Mostly clear | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 100% | 24% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Fog | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 100% | 39% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Fog | 39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 39°4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 100% | 41% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Sunny | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 93% | 12% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 51°11° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 77% | 0% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 64% | 1% | 3 |
| Mon 12p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 62°17° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 56% | 0% | 4 |
| Mon 1p | Sunny | 66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 66°19° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 48% | 2% | 4 |
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog between 3am and 4am, then areas of frost and patchy fog. Clear, with a low around 36. East wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost and patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 64. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.79 in20 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Dry, high 61°, low 36°.
Dry, high 64°, low 38°, warming up.
Dry, high 70°, low 47°, warming up.
Mostly dry, highs 64–74°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 1.7 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 2.4 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 68% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 19 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).
Today, 3:00 PM–5:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows.
Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.
On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
Graceham weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:29 AM, sunset 6:17 PM.
Clear 6:45 PM–7:02 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing