Observed 10:15 AM EDT at KCVX

Advance, MI weather

Sunny and 54°12°, 15°8° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 54°12°

Sunny

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the south. 58–10 mph16 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV index: 2Low; Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.42 inHg1030 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

9°5° warmer than this time yesterday (45°7° then, 54°12° now)

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by noon
High 67°19° today at 4 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM

This morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 67°19° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 53°12° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 62°17° · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningNear 46°8° · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	77%	27%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	69%	22%	2
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	62%	45%	2
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	58%	67%	3
Sat 2p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	54%	74%	3
Sat 3p	Mostly cloudy	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	52%	65%	3
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	50%	54%	2
Sat 5p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	54%	72%	1
Sat 6p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	56%	54%	1
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	62%	38%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	69%	25%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	72%	28%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	74%	22%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	26%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	32%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	79%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 54°12°)	54°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	71%	89%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	74%	74%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	74%	74%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	74%	75%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	77%	77%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	74%	78%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	74%	80%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	74%	85%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	72%	91%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	72%	86%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	67%	77%	2
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	65%	66%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	64°18°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	63%	75%	3
Sun 3p	Showers	64°18° (likely 56°13° to 65°18°)	64°18°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	65%	47%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)	63°17°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	67%	90%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	61°16°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	70%	84%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)	60°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	72%	91%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	96%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	86%	99%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	86%	99%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	99%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	51°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	80%	97%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	80%	100%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	74%	99%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	74%	97%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	74%	98%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	74%	96%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	73%	97%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	76%	98%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	76%	97%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	73%	95%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 52°11° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 67, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 51, with temperatures rising to around 53 overnight. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–67°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 38°3°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 65°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 52°11° / 38°3°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 64°18°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers between 2pm and 5pm. Partly sunny. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 38°3°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 34°1°. Typical 52°11° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–54°12°
Low, likely
34°1°–43°6°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 38°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 53°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 51°11° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–61°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–42°6°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 38°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 51°11° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 64°18°).
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 37°3°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 36 mph57 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 60°16°, low 43°6°. Typical 50°10° / 37°3°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–53°12°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 37°3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 58°14°, low 42°6°. Typical 50°10° / 37°3°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 49°9°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–53°12°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 37°3°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 50°10° / 36°2°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 49°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 64°18°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  50% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–70°21°
Low, likely
37°3°–58°14°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 49°9° / 36°2°. Rain 0.26 in6.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  40% chance · 0.21 in5.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–74°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–60°16°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 36°2°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 48°9°. Typical 49°9° / 36°2°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–63°17°
Low, likely
44°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 36°2°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 67°, low 51°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 44°.
Monday
Dry, high 52°, low 34°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 53–64°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Jordan River (N Lower MI) near East Jordan

8.1 mi

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 181 cfs

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Sturgeon River at Wolverine

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.9 ft
Flow: 205 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 87% less heating than a typical week.

This week 18Typical 145

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 5
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Petoskey · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1891–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−4°−2°SunOct 18
+1°±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+7°+4°WedOct 21
+8°+4°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
+5°+3°SatOct 24

Advance weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 31 min; Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 47 min less
Golden hour: 5:58–6:58 PM; Morning 7:49–8:49 AM
Blue hour: 6:58–7:10 PM; Morning 7:38–7:49 AM; first light 7:38 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 55% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:18 AM · rises 5:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Advance. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,500 ft, 38 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.