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Observed 3:25 PM EDT at KOSC

Au Sable, MI weather

Sunny and 63°17°, jacket by 8 PM.

Today: low 45°7° (likely 38°3° to 49°9°), high 61°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°).

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Sunny

Wind
9 mph15 km/h
From the south. 58–10 mph16 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point
45°7°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure
30.43 inHg1030 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.3 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

4°2° warmer than this time yesterday (59°15° then, 63°17° now)

Good hours for
  • Low 45°7° tomorrow at 6 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
  • Below 60°16° tomorrow night after 8 PM
  1. This afternoonNear 60°16° · Clear
  2. TonightDown to 47°8° by 3 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 4 PM · Partly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
  6. Monday morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Cloudy
  7. Monday afternoonNear 55°13° · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 3pSunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)60°16°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h64%6%2
Sat 4pSunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)60°16°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h62%3%1
Sat 5pSunny59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h64%17%1
Sat 6pSunny58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h67%22%0
Sat 7pClear56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h72%20%0
Sat 8pClear55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)55°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h74%6%0
Sat 9pClear53°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h80%12%0
Sat 10pClear52°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)52°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h80%4%0
Sat 11pClear51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)51°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h83%8%0
Sun 12aClear50°10° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h83%5%0
Sun 1aClear49°9° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h86%12%0
Sun 2aClear48°9° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h89%5%0
Sun 3aClear47°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h93%14%0
Sun 4aPartly cloudy47°8° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h93%18%0
Sun 5aPartly cloudy47°8° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h93%38%0
Sun 6aCloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)42°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h96%80%0
Sun 7aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h96%73%0
Sun 8aPartly sunny45°7° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)41°5°5%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h96%76%0
Sun 9aCloudy47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)44°7°5%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h96%91%0
Sun 10aCloudy52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)52°11°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h83%86%1
Sun 11aCloudy55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)55°13°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h77%96%2
Sun 12pCloudy58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)58°14°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h69%91%2
Sun 1pMostly cloudy61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)61°16°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h65%72%3
Sun 2pMostly cloudy62°17° (likely 58°14° to 65°18°)62°17°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h62%66%3
Sun 3pSunny63°17° (likely 58°14° to 68°20°)63°17°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h62%42%3
Sun 4pPartly sunny64°18° (likely 59°15° to 68°20°)64°18°5%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h60%40%2
Sun 5pPartly sunny63°17° (likely 59°15° to 67°19°)63°17°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h62%22%1
Sun 6pPartly sunny62°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)62°17°0%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h65%50%1
Sun 7pPartly cloudy60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h69%57%0
Sun 8pMostly clear58°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)58°14°10%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h75%41%0
Sun 9pPartly cloudy57°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)57°14°10%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h77%75%0
Sun 10pCloudy56°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)56°13°10%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h77%74%0
Sun 11pCloudy54°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)54°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h83%92%0
Mon 12aCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)53°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h86%92%0
Mon 1aCloudy51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)51°11°5%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h93%89%0
Mon 2aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)49°9°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h93%77%0
Mon 3aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)48°9°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph23 km/h89%92%0
Mon 4aCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h86%93%0
Mon 5aCloudy47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h83%99%0
Mon 6aCloudy47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h76%97%0
Mon 7aCloudy47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h71%93%0
Mon 8aCloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)42°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h73%89%0
Mon 9aPartly sunny47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h74%88%0
Mon 10aCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h71%97%0
Mon 11aCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h64%90%0
Mon 12pCloudy54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)54°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h59%86%1
Mon 1pCloudy55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)55°13°0%10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h55%80%1
Mon 2pCloudy55°13° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)55°13°0%10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h53%79%1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 61°16°, low 45°7°. Typical 55°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 60°16°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 47°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Tonight: Patchy fog after 5am. Partly cloudy. Low around 45, with temperatures rising to around 47 overnight. South wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    57°14°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 36°2°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 65°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 55°13° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 63 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    59°15°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 35°2°
    Wind
    13 mph22 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 56°13°, low 40°4°. Typical 54°12° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 56. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 35°2°
    Wind
    13 mph22 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 42°6°. Typical 54°12° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    50°10°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 35°2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 50°10°. Typical 53°12° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 62°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 34°1°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 67°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 53°12° / 34°1°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 56°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    61°16°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 34°1°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 60°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    56°13°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 34°1°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 66°19°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      40% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    60°16°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    47°8°–58°14°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 34°1°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 56°13°. Typical 52°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 56°13°

      40% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      40% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 61°16°

      30% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 58°14°

      30% chance · 0.16 in4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    59°15°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–60°16°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 33°1°
    Wind
    19 mph30 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 59°15°, low 51°11°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      30% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    54°12°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–56°13°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 33°1°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
    UV peak
    1

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 61°, low 45°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 65°, low 45°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 56°, low 40°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 53–67°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Au Sable River near Au Sable

5.0 mi
Level
8.7 ft
Flow
1,280 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:30 PM · NWS gauge page

East Branch Au Gres River near Alabaster

22 mi
Level
5.7 ft

Reading from Sat 2:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 84% less heating than a typical week.

This week 24Typical 146

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
12
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

East Tawas · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1890–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
55°13° / 36°2°
Forecast high / low
61°16° / 45°7°
Record high
80°27° in 1908
Record low
19°−7° in 1981

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −2°−1°SunOct 18
  2. +6°+3°MonOct 19
  3. +4°+2°TueOct 20
  4. +3°+2°WedOct 21
  5. +3°+1°ThuOct 22
  6. +5°+3°FriOct 23
  7. +3°+1°SatOct 24

Au Sable weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:00 AM, sunset 6:34 PM.

Daylight
10 h 34 min
Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 44 min less
Golden hour
5:53–6:52 PM
Morning 7:41–8:40 AM
Blue hour
6:52–7:04 PM
Morning 7:30–7:41 AM; first light 7:30 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 7:04 PM–5 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:10 AM · rises 5:32 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking east from Au Sable. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.