Observed 2:15 AM EDT at KCVX

Bay Shore, MI weather

Clear and 57°14°, 11°6° warmer than a typical Oct 25.

Mostly agree

Now 57°14°

Clear

Wind: 11 mph18 km/h; From the south. Gusts to 22 mph36 km/h around 10 AM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 3–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.35 inHg1028 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Dry until 5 PM
High 62°17° today at 3 PM
Rain today 5–8 PM (30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm)
Low 51°11° tonight at midnight

TonightNear 55°13° · Partly cloudy
This morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Cloudy
This afternoonNear 59°15° · Rain 5–6 PM (30%)
TonightDown to 49°9° by 5 AM · Rain 6–8 PM (30%)
Tomorrow morningNear 49°9° · rain chance 10% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 49°9° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by midnight · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 2a	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	77%	23%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	74%	67%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	74%	73%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	74%	40%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	77%	92%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	74%	100%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	77%	95%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	80%	97%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	77%	99%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)	59°15°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	78%	87%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	78%	92%	2
Sun 1p	Mostly cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	10%	15 mph24 km/h from W, gusts 21 mph35 km/h	78%	62%	2
Sun 2p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from W, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	78%	95%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from W, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	75%	77%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	81%	97%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	87%	97%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	90%	96%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	93%	99%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	93%	99%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	89%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	100%	0
Sun 11p	Showers	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	80%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	80%	100%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	74%	100%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	51°11°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	71%	100%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	47°8°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	74%	100%	0
Mon 4a	Drizzle	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	74%	100%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	46°8°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	77%	99%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	44°7°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	80%	99%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	80%	99%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	77%	100%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	79%	99%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	77%	98%	0
Mon 11a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	74%	88%	0
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	71%	90%	1
Mon 1p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	68%	78%	1
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	63%	66%	1
Mon 3p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	63%	58%	3
Mon 4p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	63%	81%	2
Mon 5p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	63%	91%	1
Mon 6p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	65%	89%	1
Mon 7p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	68%	90%	0
Mon 8p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	68%	88%	0
Mon 9p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	70%	58%	0
Mon 10p	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	73%	61%	0
Mon 11p	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	70%	63%	0
Tue 12a	Mostly cloudy	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	73%	38%	0
Tue 1a	Mostly cloudy	42°6° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	73%	41%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 52°11° / 38°3°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 58 in the afternoon. West wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind around 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
51°11°–54°12°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 52°11°, low 38°3°. Typical 52°11° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. North wind around 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–54°12°
Low, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 38°3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 55°13°, low 44°7°. Typical 51°11° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–57°14°
Low, likely
38°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 38°3°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 51°11° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 37°3°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 45°7°. Typical 50°10° / 37°3°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°15°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 37°3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 62°17°, low 51°11°. Typical 50°10° / 37°3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 44°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 58°14°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 51°11°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–51°11°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 37°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 63°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 50°10° / 36°2°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  50% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–57°14°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 36°2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 49°9° / 36°2°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  50% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–66°19°
Low, likely
51°11°–61°16°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 36°2°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 60°16°, low 51°11°. Typical 49°9° / 36°2°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 55°13°
  20% chance · 0.26 in6.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 54°12°
  20% chance · 0.4 in10 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Low, likely
46°8°–57°14°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 36°2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
Tuesday, Nov 3. Showers. High 58°14°, low 51°11°. Typical 48°9° / 35°2°. Rain 0.89 in23 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.14 in3.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  20% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–64°18°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 35°2°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 54°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 52°, low 38°, cooling off.
Tuesday
Dry, high 55°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 58–66°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Jordan River (N Lower MI) near East Jordan

18 mi

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 181 cfs

Reading from Sun 1 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 82% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 147

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 8
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–1:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Petoskey · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1891–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+1°±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+7°+4°WedOct 21
+8°+4°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
+5°+3°SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Bay Shore weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 28 min; Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 45 min less
Golden hour: 5:56–6:56 PM; Morning 7:51–8:51 AM
Blue hour: 6:56–7:08 PM; Morning 7:39–7:51 AM; first light 7:39 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 66% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 7:35 AM · rises 6:01 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Bay Shore. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,200 ft, 28 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.