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Observed 7:56 AM EDT at KMBL

Bear Lake, MI weather

Clear and 42°6°, 12°7° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°), high 66°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°).

Mostly agree

Now 42°6°

Clear

Wind
5 mph8 km/h
From the east-northeast. 58–10 mph16 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point
42°6°
Comfortable
Humidity
100%
Air 42°6°, dew point 42°6° · fog or dew likely
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 1–5 PM · peak 3
Pressure
30.41 inHg1030 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.8 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (41°5° then, 42°6° now)

Good hours for
  • Fog until 10 AM
  • Above 60°16° today by 1 PM
  • High 65°18° today at 3 PM
  • Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
  1. This morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  2. This afternoonUp to 65°18° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 51°11° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonNear 62°17° · Mostly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 8aFog46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)42°6°0%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h96%30%0
Sat 9aFog47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h100%29%0
Sat 10aSunny49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)46°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h96%35%1
Sat 11aCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)52°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h86%77%2
Sat 12pCloudy56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)56°13°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h74%71%2
Sat 1pCloudy61°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)61°16°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h62%69%2
Sat 2pCloudy63°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)63°17°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h58%65%2
Sat 3pCloudy65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)65°18°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h54%66%1
Sat 4pPartly sunny65°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)65°18°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h54%49%1
Sat 5pMostly cloudy64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)64°18°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h56%49%0
Sat 6pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h58%34%0
Sat 7pClear60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h64%30%0
Sat 8pClear55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)55°13°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h74%29%0
Sat 9pPartly cloudy53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)53°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h77%26%0
Sat 10pClear53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)53°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h74%12%0
Sat 11pClear53°12° (likely 53°12° to 54°12°)53°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h74%25%0
Sun 12aPartly cloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)52°11°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h74%70%0
Sun 1aCloudy52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)52°11°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h77%74%0
Sun 2aCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)52°11°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h80%70%0
Sun 3aCloudy51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)51°11°5%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h83%70%0
Sun 4aCloudy51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)51°11°5%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h83%81%0
Sun 5aCloudy52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)52°11°5%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h80%97%0
Sun 6aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)47°8°5%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h89%97%0
Sun 7aCloudy51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)51°11°5%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h86%85%0
Sun 8aCloudy51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h89%98%0
Sun 9aCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)52°11°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h89%91%0
Sun 10aCloudy56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)56°13°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h83%93%1
Sun 11aCloudy59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)59°15°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h78%85%1
Sun 12pCloudy61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)61°16°0%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h72%80%2
Sun 1pPartly sunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)63°17°0%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h65%61%3
Sun 2pMostly cloudy63°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)63°17°0%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h62%69%3
Sun 3pPartly sunny64°18° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)64°18°0%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h63%68%3
Sun 4pMostly cloudy63°17° (likely 57°14° to 66°19°)63°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h65%73%3
Sun 5pMostly cloudy62°17° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)62°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h67%81%1
Sun 6pCloudy60°16° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h72%93%1
Sun 7pCloudy56°13° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h86%83%0
Sun 8pCloudy53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)53°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h93%85%0
Sun 9pCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h96%92%0
Sun 10pCloudy51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h96%98%0
Sun 11pCloudy51°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h93%97%0
Mon 12aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h93%96%0
Mon 1aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)49°9°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h89%92%0
Mon 2aCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)48°9°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h89%97%0
Mon 3aCloudy48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)46°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h86%94%0
Mon 4aCloudy48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)46°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h83%86%0
Mon 5aCloudy47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h79%92%0
Mon 6aCloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h79%86%0
Mon 7aCloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)42°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h76%94%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Patchy fog before 11am. Partly sunny. High near 66, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 49, with temperatures rising to around 52 overnight. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    64°18°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 38°3°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny. High near 64, with temperatures falling to around 62 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 64°18°).

    High, likely
    61°16°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–52°11°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 38°3°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 54°12°, low 35°2°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 38°3°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 53°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    54°12°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 38°3°
    Wind
    13 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 47°8°. Typical 53°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 60°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 64.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    64°18°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–56°13°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 37°3°
    Wind
    16 mph25 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 59°15°, low 41°5°. Typical 52°11° / 37°3°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 56°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 60°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 37°3°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 59°15°, low 41°5°. Typical 52°11° / 37°3°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 51°10°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    52°11°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 37°3°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 51°11° / 36°2°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 55°13°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    52°11°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–60°16°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 36°2°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Rain. High 64°18°, low 55°13°. Typical 51°11° / 36°2°. Rain 0.43 in11 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 55°13°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 65°18°

      50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 59°15°

      40% chance · 0.38 in9.7 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 55°13°

      30% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    56°13°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–60°16°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 36°2°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 60°16°, low 50°10°. Typical 50°10° / 36°2°. Rain 0.38 in9.7 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 56°13°

      30% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 53°12°

      30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    56°13°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 36°2°
    Wind
    21 mph33 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 66°, low 49°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 64°, low 44°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 54°, low 35°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 54–64°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Manistee River near Sherman

22 mi
Below flood stage
Level
11.9 ft
Flow
984 cfs

Forecast peak 11.9 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Manistee River near Wellston (Tippy Dam)

15 mi
Level
8.7 ft
Flow
1,530 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Manistee River near Mesick (Hodenpyl Dam)

17 mi
Level
3.7 ft
Flow
1,110 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Platte River (N Lower MI) at Honor

18 mi
Level
1.3 ft
Flow
123 cfs

Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 85% less heating than a typical week.

This week 20Typical 138

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
4
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 42°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Beulah 7ssw · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2000–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 12°7° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
54°12° / 38°3°
Forecast high / low
66°19° / 49°9°
Record high
76°24° in 2022
Record low
25°−4° in 2008

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −4°−2°SunOct 18
  2. +6°+3°MonOct 19
  3. +4°+2°TueOct 20
  4. +7°+4°WedOct 21
  5. +7°+4°ThuOct 22
  6. +8°+4°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Bear Lake weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:11 AM, sunset 6:45 PM.

Daylight
10 h 34 min
Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 44 min less
Golden hour
6:04–7:03 PM
Morning 7:53–8:52 AM
Blue hour
7:03–7:15 PM
Morning 7:41–7:53 AM; first light 7:41 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 59% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:22 AM · rises 5:44 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northwest from Bear Lake. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,000 ft, 16 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.