Observed 11:30 AM EDT at KPLN

Carp Lake, MI weather

Sunny and 59°15°, 14°8° warmer than a typical Oct 24, jacket by 9 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 59°15°

Sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south-southeast. 58–7 mph11 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 2Low; Low all day (peak 2)
Pressure: 30.43 inHg1030 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.0 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

10°5° warmer than this time yesterday (44°7° then, 54°12° now)

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by 1 PM
High 67°19° today at 4 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
Low 51°11° tomorrow at 6 AM
Rain tomorrow 2–8 PM (30%, 0.12 in3 mm)

This afternoonUp to 67°19° by 4 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 52°11° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 60°16° · Rain 2–6 PM (30%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Rain 6–8 PM (20%)
Monday morningUp to 45°7° by 10 AM · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	83%	29%	1
Sat 12p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	72%	26%	2
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	64%	70%	2
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	56%	66%	2
Sat 3p	Mostly cloudy	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	56%	67%	2
Sat 4p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	52%	67%	1
Sat 5p	Mostly cloudy	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	58%	43%	1
Sat 6p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	60%	30%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	67%	27%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	74%	52%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	74%	22%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	77%	22%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	77%	23%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	38%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	53°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	67%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	53°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	71%	69%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	71%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	74%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	71%	77%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	77%	82%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	71%	86%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	99%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	54°12°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	80%	93%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	75%	91%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	72%	82%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	61°16°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	72%	90%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	62°17°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	70%	92%	2
Sun 2p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 52°11° to 62°17°)	62°17°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	70%	95%	2
Sun 3p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 50°10° to 63°17°)	63°17°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	67%	96%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 50°10° to 61°16°)	61°16°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	72%	98%	1
Sun 5p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 49°9° to 59°15°)	59°15°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	75%	100%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)	58°14°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	75%	100%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	100%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	99%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	98%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	80%	63%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	77%	97%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	74%	94%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	71%	99%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	70%	98%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	70%	99%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	73%	97%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	76%	99%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	76%	99%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	79%	97%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	79%	99%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	76%	82%	0
Mon 10a	Mostly cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	70%	78%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 67°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 53°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny. High near 67, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 50, with temperatures rising to around 53 overnight. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 33°1°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 39°4°. Typical 53°12° / 33°1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny. High near 64, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–51°11°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 33°1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 51°11°, low 30°−1°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 51. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
50°10°–52°11°
Low, likely
30°−1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 35°2°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
35°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 51°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
2
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 60°16°, low 38°3°. Typical 51°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–65°18°
Low, likely
38°3°–51°11°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 32°0°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 39 mph62 km/h
UV peak
1
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 37°3°. Typical 50°10° / 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–62°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–52°11°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 31°−1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 50°10° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  50% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–68°20°
Low, likely
35°2°–58°14°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 31°−1°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 61°16°, low 52°11°. Typical 50°10° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.31 in7.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.25 in6.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.17 in4.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–72°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–56°13°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 31°−1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 54°12°, low 47°8°. Typical 49°9° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–56°13°
Low, likely
43°6°–53°12°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 31°−1°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 67°, low 50°.
Tomorrow
31% chance of rain, high 64°, low 39°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 51°, low 30°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 50–62°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cheboygan River at Mullet Lake Outlet near Cheboygan

15 mi

Level: 593 ft

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 86% less heating than a typical week.

This week 22Typical 162

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 11
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Pellston Regional Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 14°8° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+10°+6°SunOct 18
+6°+3°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+4°+2°WedOct 21
±0°ThuOct 22
+6°+3°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Carp Lake weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 30 min; Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 49 min less
Golden hour: 5:56–6:56 PM; Morning 7:49–8:49 AM
Blue hour: 6:56–7:08 PM; Morning 7:37–7:49 AM; first light 7:37 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 9 PM–12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:17 AM · rises 5:36 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Carp Lake. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,600 ft, 10 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.