Observed 9:55 PM EDT at KBAX

Carsonville, MI weather

Clear and 43°6°.

Forecasts agree

Now 43°6°

Clear

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the south. 35–7 mph11 km/h through 10 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable · up to 46°8° by 9 AM
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.45 inHg1031 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (41°5° then, 43°6° now)

Good hours for

Low 41°5° tonight at 5 AM
Fog tomorrow 7–10 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 68°20° tomorrow at 3 PM
Below 60°16° tomorrow night after 8 PM

TonightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 68°20° by 3 PM · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 48°9° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 57°14° · Cloudy
Monday nightDown to 46°8° by 9 PM · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	93%	18%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	100%	14%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	39%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	100%	65%	0
Sun 9a	Fog	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	100%	67%	0
Sun 10a	Mostly cloudy	52°11° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	91%	69%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	81%	79%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	69%	80%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	59%	81%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	55%	86%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	53%	95%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	52%	100%	1
Sun 5p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SSW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	55%	95%	1
Sun 6p	Partly sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	60%	76%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	66%	70%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	79%	60%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	83%	41%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	84%	30%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	86%	74%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	88%	72%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	89%	71%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	90%	77%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	91%	70%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	95%	81%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	97%	76%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	97%	77%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	97%	54%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	97%	95%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	93%	90%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	83%	80%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	73%	93%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	67%	93%	1
Mon 1p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	63%	84%	2
Mon 2p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	61%	95%	1
Mon 3p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	60%	94%	1
Mon 4p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	61%	99%	1
Mon 5p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	63%	97%	0
Mon 6p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	68%	95%	0
Mon 7p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	74%	96%	0
Mon 8p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	80%	81%	0
Mon 9p	Mostly cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	84%	80%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 61°16°, low 41°5°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Areas of fog after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–61°16°
Low, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of fog before 9am. Partly sunny. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 67 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 41°5°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. North northwest wind 5 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Northeast wind 5 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 39°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 41°5°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 38°3°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 38°3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 71°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
47°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 38°3°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 67°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 53°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 37°3°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 53°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 67.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–70°21°
Low, likely
40°4°–54°12°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 37°3°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Rain. High 64°18°, low 54°12°. Typical 52°11° / 37°3°. Rain 0.26 in6.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
46°8°–60°16°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 37°3°
Wind
24 mph38 km/h, gusts 42 mph67 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 52°11° / 36°2°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
44°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 36°2°
Wind
23 mph36 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 69°, low 47°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 59°, low 41°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 54–71°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DTX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Black River near Jeddo

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.0 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Reading from Sat 8 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 81% less heating than a typical week.

This week 25Typical 131

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 14
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 6 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Lexington Water Plant · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2001–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−2°−1°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
±0°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Carsonville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 37 min; Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 40 min less
Golden hour: 5:53–6:51 PM; Morning 7:37–8:35 AM
Blue hour: 6:51–7:02 PM; Morning 7:26–7:37 AM; first light 7:26 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10:26 PM–7 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:06 AM · rises 5:31 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Carsonville. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.