Observed 8:15 PM EDT at KMGN

Conway, MI weather

Clear and 57°14°, 15°8° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 57°14°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 10 mph16 km/h through 8 AM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 2–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.36 inHg1028 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° warmer than this time yesterday (54°12° then, 57°14° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 11 AM tomorrow
Low 51°11° tomorrow at 6 AM
Rain tomorrow 11 AM–2 PM (20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)
High 64°18° tomorrow at 2 PM

TonightDown to 52°11° by 1 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (20%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 61°16° · Rain noon–2 PM (20%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 5 AM · rain chance 40% · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 50°10° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	75%	10%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	77%	10%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	77%	14%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	77%	17%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	74%	10%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	74%	71%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	74%	27%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	71%	68%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	71%	75%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	79%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	74%	80%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	71%	96%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	74%	93%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	77%	98%	0
Sun 10a	Showers	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	75%	90%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)	59°15°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	75%	90%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	75%	85%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	72%	92%	2
Sun 2p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 21 mph35 km/h	70%	92%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	75%	91%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)	64°18°	30%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	73%	88%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	61°16°	40%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	81%	98%	0
Sun 6p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)	60°16°	40%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	81%	99%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	40%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	99%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	54°12°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	93%	100%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	99%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	49°9°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	99%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	83%	99%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	92%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	76%	98%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	76%	98%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	73%	97%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	73%	99%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	76%	99%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	76%	99%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	76%	100%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	82%	96%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	79%	84%	0
Mon 11a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	71%	94%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	68%	90%	2
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	63%	79%	3
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	61%	80%	1
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	59%	71%	3
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	61%	61%	2
Mon 5p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	61%	44%	1
Mon 6p	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	63%	50%	1
Mon 7p	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	60%	32%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 50°10°. Typical 53°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 50, with temperatures rising to around 52 overnight. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 68°20°).
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
38°3°–50°10°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 33°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Showers. High 66°19°, low 42°6°. Typical 53°12° / 33°1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  20% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy. High near 66, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 42, with temperatures rising to around 45 overnight. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–53°12°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 33°1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 53°12°, low 36°2°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 53. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
50°10°–53°12°
Low, likely
36°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 54°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–54°12°
Low, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 51°11° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 32°0°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 63°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 51°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–53°12°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 32°0°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 50°10° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–63°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 31°−1°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 50°10° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–62°17°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 31°−1°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 63°17°, low 55°13°. Typical 50°10° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.65 in17 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 56°14°
  50% chance · 0.31 in7.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.3 in7.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
50°10°–59°15°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 31°−1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 49°9°. Typical 49°9° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  20% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–61°16°
Low, likely
45°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 31°−1°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 68°, low 50°.
Tomorrow
37% chance of rain, high 66°, low 42°.
Monday
Dry, high 53°, low 36°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 54–67°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Sturgeon River at Wolverine

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.9 ft
Flow: 210 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Cheboygan River at Mullet Lake Outlet near Cheboygan

22 mi

Level: 593 ft

Reading from Sat 8:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Jordan River (N Lower MI) near East Jordan

24 mi

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 180 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 84% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 162

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 11
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Pellston Regional Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+6°+3°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+4°+2°WedOct 21
±0°ThuOct 22
+6°+3°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Conway weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 31 min; Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 48 min less
Golden hour: 5:57–6:57 PM; Morning 7:49–8:49 AM
Blue hour: 6:57–7:09 PM; Morning 7:37–7:49 AM; first light 7:37 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 8:51 PM–1 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:17 AM · rises 5:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Conway. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,300 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.