Observed 4:35 PM EDT at KONZ

Flat Rock, MI weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 8 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 5 AM
Dew point: 55°13°; A little sticky · down to 47°8° by 3 AM (comfortable)
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.43 inHg1030 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (64°18° then, 61°16° now)

Good hours for

Fog tonight 2–9 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 66°19° tomorrow at 3 PM
Fog tomorrow night 4–5 AM
Fog Monday 8–9 AM

TonightDown to 44°7° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 68°20° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	62%	4%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	67%	17%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	76%	14%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	92%	17%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	95%	14%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	8%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	97%	10%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	99%	15%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	99%	20%	0
Sun 2a	Fog	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	30%	0
Sun 3a	Fog	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	60%	0
Sun 4a	Fog	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	60%	0
Sun 5a	Fog	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	60%	0
Sun 6a	Fog	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	60%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	60%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	99%	52%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	99%	59%	0
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	88%	59%	1
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	75%	71%	2
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	68%	76%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	60%	78%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	57%	80%	3
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	55%	72%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	82%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	56%	82%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	60%	80%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	67%	80%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	67%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	84%	59%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	85%	61%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	87%	54%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	90%	67%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	90%	71%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	90%	77%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	90%	79%	0
Mon 4a	Fog	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	91%	49%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	94%	83%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	94%	83%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	94%	61%	0
Mon 8a	Fog	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	94%	65%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	95%	58%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	59%	1
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	69%	57%	2
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	63%	58%	3
Mon 1p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	59%	52%	4
Mon 2p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	57%	51%	4
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	56%	61%	3
Mon 4p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	55%	68%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 59°15° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Fog, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Areas of fog after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 67°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 58°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of fog before 9am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. South southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. South southwest wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 44°7°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 61°16°, low 48°9°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 61°16°).
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–69°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 72°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 56°13° / 40°4°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 40°4°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–72°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  50% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–73°23°
Low, likely
53°12°–57°14°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 58°14°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  50% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
56°13°–62°17°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 39°4°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 64°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Rain 0.57 in14 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  30% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–58°14°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 38°3°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 44°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 45°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 44°.
Rest of week
Highs 61–72°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DTX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Detroit River at Gibralter Tidal Gauge

4.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 572 ft

Reading from Sat 4:24 PM · NWS gauge page

Lake Erie at Fermi Tidal Gauge

9.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 572 ft

Reading from Sat 4:24 PM · NWS gauge page

Ecorse Creek at Dearborn Hgts

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Lower Rouge at DEARBORN

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.4 ft
Flow: 60 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 82% less heating than a typical week.

This week 21Typical 114

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 11
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 55°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Detroit Metro Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1874–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−2°−1°SunOct 18
+1°MonOct 19
+4°+2°TueOct 20
+4°+2°WedOct 21
+7°+4°ThuOct 22
+7°+4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Flat Rock weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 41 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 35 min less
Golden hour: 5:58–6:55 PM; Morning 7:38–8:35 AM
Blue hour: 6:55–7:06 PM; Morning 7:27–7:38 AM; first light 7:27 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 7:06 PM–2 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:08 AM · rises 5:35 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Flat Rock. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,300 ft, 16 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Flat Rock, MI weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Detroit River at Gibralter Tidal Gauge

Lake Erie at Fermi Tidal Gauge

Ecorse Creek at Dearborn Hgts

Lower Rouge at DEARBORN

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon