Observed 4:50 PM EDT at KTVC
Lake Leelanau, MI weather
Partly cloudy and 70°21°, 13°7° warmer than a typical Oct 24, jacket by 9 PM.
Today: low 51°11° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°), high 68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°).
Now 70°21°
Partly sunny
- Wind
- 6 mph9 km/h
- From the south. 58–6 mph9 km/h through 5 AM
- Dew point
- 45°7°
- Comfortable
- UV tomorrow
- 3Moderate
- Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3
- Air quality
- 48Good
- PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
TonightDown to 52°11° by 11 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 61°16° · Rain 2–6 PM (20%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 48°9° by 11 PM · Rain 6 PM–2 AM (30%)
Monday morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 51°11° · Mostly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 5p | Partly sunny | 66°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 61% | 34% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 65% | 28% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 70% | 65% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 75% | 37% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Partly cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 54°12° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 80% | 28% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 53°12° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 83% | 7% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 83% | 22% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Mostly cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 80% | 27% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 80% | 68% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Partly cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 80% | 63% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°) | 53°12° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 53°12° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 77% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 53°12° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 80% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 83% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 53°12° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 80% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 53°12° | 5% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 83% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 54°12° | 5% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 86% | 86% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°) | 58°14° | 5% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 80% | 85% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 78% | 83% | 1 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 61°16° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph30 km/h | 78% | 75% | 2 |
| Sun 1p | Showers | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°) | 63°17° | 20% | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 72% | 67% | 3 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°) | 63°17° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 72% | 72% | 3 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 57°14° to 67°19°) | 63°17° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph23 km/h | 72% | 76% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 56°13° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 70% | 84% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 75% | 92% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°) | 60°16° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 81% | 94% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 56°13° | 20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 90% | 97% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°) | 52°11° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°) | 50°10° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°) | 48°9° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 48°9° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 93% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 83% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 80% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 77% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 74% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 76% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°) | 43°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 82% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°) | 42°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 79% | 96% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 86% | 90% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Partly sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 43°6° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 79% | 80% | 0 |
| Mon 11a | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 74% | 72% | 0 |
| Mon 12p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 71% | 77% | 0 |
| Mon 1p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 68% | 81% | 1 |
| Mon 2p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 66% | 82% | 1 |
| Mon 3p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 66% | 73% | 1 |
| Mon 4p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 66% | 75% | 1 |
Days ahead
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 51°11°. Typical 55°13° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 58°14°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 52°11°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 51, with temperatures rising to around 53 overnight. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 67°19°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Showers. High 65°18°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 64°18°20% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 52°11°30% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 48°9°20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. North wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–54°12°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 12 mph20 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 52°11°, low 37°3°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 45°7°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 51°11°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 48°9°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 44°6°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 52. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 52°11°–55°13°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 55°13°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 44°7°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 58°14°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 51°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 55°13°–59°15°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–45°7°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 14 mph23 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 60°16°20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 58°14°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 48°9°–53°12°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Rain, 57°14°20% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 53°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 48°9°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 58°14°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 14 mph22 km/h, gusts 35 mph57 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 62°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 48°9°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 57°14°30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 57°14°30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 57°14°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 52°11° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 17 mph27 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 57°14°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 57°14°30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 68°20°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 62°17°40% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 58°15°50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 62°17°–71°22°
- Low, likely
- 54°12°–64°18°
- Typical high / low
- 52°11° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 17 mph27 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 57°14°. Typical 51°11° / 35°2°. Rain 0.25 in6.4 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 59°15°50% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 63°17°40% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 60°16°40% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Showers, 54°12°30% chance · 0.26 in6.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–68°20°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–60°16°
- Typical high / low
- 51°11° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 21 mph34 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 60°16°, low 52°11°. Typical 51°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.42 in11 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 53°12°20% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 56°13°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 54°12°30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 58°14°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 51°11° / 34°1°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 68°, low 51°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 43°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 52°, low 37°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 55–66°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Sunday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 83% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 5
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).
Open the windows?
Today, 6:00 PM–7:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows.
Is this typical?
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 13°7° warmer than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 55°13° / 37°3°
- Forecast high / low
- 68°20° / 51°11°
- Record high
- 80°27° in 1963
- Record low
- 26°−3° in 1969
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
- —SunOct 18
- +7°+4°MonOct 19
- +4°+2°TueOct 20
- +7°+4°WedOct 21
- +4°+2°ThuOct 22
- +7°+4°FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Lake Leelanau weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 8:10 AM, sunset 6:42 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 32 min
- Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 46 min less
- Golden hour
- 6:01–7:01 PM
- Morning 7:52–8:51 AM
- Blue hour
- 7:01–7:12 PM
- Morning 7:40–7:52 AM; first light 7:40 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Mostly clear 10 PM–12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 6:20 AM · rises 5:41 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
