Observed 9:55 PM EDT at KACB

Mancelona, MI weather

Clear and 58°15°, 14°8° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 58°15°

Clear

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the south-southwest. 35–10 mph16 km/h through 10 AM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 49Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.38 inHg1029 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

12°7° warmer than this time yesterday (46°8° then, 58°15° now)

Good hours for

Dry until tomorrow night 8 PM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by noon
High 66°19° tomorrow at 4 PM
Drizzle tomorrow night 8–11 PM (30%)
Below 60°16° tomorrow night after 8 PM

TonightDown to 50°10° by 2 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 4 PM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Rain 8–11 PM (30%)
Monday morningNear 48°9° · Cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 50°10° · Mostly cloudy
Monday nightDown to 41°5° by 9 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	72%	36%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	28%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	20%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	55%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	25%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	77%	44%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	74%	75%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	74%	80%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	74%	81%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	74%	81%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	74%	81%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	77%	83%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	77%	92%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	72%	94%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	67%	82%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	60%	77%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	60%	75%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	60%	86%	3
Sun 4p	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	61%	61%	2
Sun 5p	Showers	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	63%	57%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	70%	69%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	75%	96%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	90%	98%	0
Sun 9p	Drizzle	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	99%	0
Sun 10p	Drizzle	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	93%	99%	0
Sun 11p	Drizzle	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	93%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	49°9°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	93%	100%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	89%	99%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	80%	99%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	80%	100%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	74%	100%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	71%	100%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	71%	100%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	71%	100%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	71%	99%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	76%	72%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	74%	99%	0
Mon 11a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	71%	99%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	68%	92%	1
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	61%	75%	1
Mon 2p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	59%	78%	1
Mon 3p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	56%	80%	1
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	58%	71%	1
Mon 5p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	58%	46%	1
Mon 6p	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	60%	48%	0
Mon 7p	Clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	65%	44%	0
Mon 8p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	67%	67%	0
Mon 9p	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	70%	65%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 34°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Partly sunny. High near 67, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 45, with temperatures rising to around 47 overnight. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 34°1°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 53°12°, low 35°2°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 53. North wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
51°11°–53°12°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 33°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
1
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 42°6°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
53°12°–55°13°
Low, likely
37°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 33°1°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 50°10° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 60°15°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 33°1°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 50°10° / 32°0°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–67°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
1
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 63°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 49°9° / 32°0°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–66°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 49°9° / 32°0°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–69°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–61°16°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 61°16°, low 54°12°. Typical 48°9° / 32°0°. Rain 0.57 in14 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 56°13°
  50% chance · 0.23 in5.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.32 in8.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 32°0°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 46°8°. Typical 48°9° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.25 in6.4 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 49°10°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  30% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–61°16°
Low, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 31°−1°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 66°, low 50°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 45°.
Monday
Dry, high 53°, low 35°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 53–66°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Jordan River (N Lower MI) near East Jordan

14 mi

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 180 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 84% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 162

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 10
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Kalkaska · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1974–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 14°8° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+2°+1°MonOct 19
+7°+4°TueOct 20
+7°+4°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Mancelona weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 33 min; Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 46 min less
Golden hour: 5:59–6:58 PM; Morning 7:49–8:48 AM
Blue hour: 6:58–7:10 PM; Morning 7:37–7:49 AM; first light 7:37 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 52% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:18 AM · rises 5:39 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Mancelona. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,300 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.