Observed 7:25 PM EDT at KAPN

Posen, MI weather

Clear and 52°11°, 10°6° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Clear

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the south-southeast. 58–8 mph13 km/h through 7 AM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° warmer than this time yesterday (51°11° then, 53°12° now)

Good hours for

Low 46°8° tonight at 2 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by noon
High 67°19° tomorrow at 4 PM
Below 60°16° tomorrow night after 8 PM

TonightDown to 46°8° by 2 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 4 PM · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 5 AM · rain chance 30% · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 49°9° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	72%	23%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	77%	28%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	80%	14%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	80%	27%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	80%	17%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	83%	13%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	83%	21%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	26%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	65%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	79%	77%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	86%	78%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	83%	79%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	43°6°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	83%	81%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	83%	80%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	80%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	64%	79%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	60%	98%	2
Sun 1p	Mostly cloudy	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	56%	66%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	66°19°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	56%	85%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	66°19°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	58%	80%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	56%	91%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 57°14° to 66°19°)	66°19°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	58%	92%	1
Sun 6p	Showers	63°17° (likely 53°12° to 63°17°)	63°17°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	67%	63%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°)	60°16°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	72%	93%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	55°13°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	83%	92%	0
Sun 9p	Drizzle	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	53°12°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	89%	97%	0
Sun 10p	Drizzle	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	89%	93%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	86%	99%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	86%	99%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	45°7°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	83%	99%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	79%	99%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	76%	99%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	76%	100%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	76%	98%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	99%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	99%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	100%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	82%	100%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	100%	0
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	68%	87%	0
Mon 12p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	63%	95%	1
Mon 1p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	58%	87%	3
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	58%	83%	3
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	54%	76%	2
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	52%	60%	2
Mon 5p	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	51%	39%	1
Mon 6p	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	53%	33%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 54°12° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 45, with temperatures rising to around 47 overnight. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 35°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 68°20°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 34°1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 55°13°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Partly sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 43, with temperatures rising to around 45 overnight. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 34°1°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 52°11°, low 36°2°. Typical 53°12° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–53°12°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 34°1°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 50°10°, low 38°3°. Typical 53°12° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
48°9°–50°10°
Low, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 34°1°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 34°1°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 65°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 52°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–68°20°
Low, likely
41°5°–50°10°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 33°1°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 62°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 44°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 49°10°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–63°17°
Low, likely
38°3°–47°8°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 33°1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 63°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–69°21°
Low, likely
40°4°–59°15°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 33°1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 60°16°, low 54°12°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 59°15°
  40% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°11°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
49°9°–59°15°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 33°1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 47°8°. Typical 50°10° / 32°0°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  20% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–61°16°
Low, likely
42°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 32°0°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 35 mph57 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 64°, low 45°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 68°, low 43°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 52°, low 36°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 50–65°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (APX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Thunder Bay River near Bolton

10 mi

Level: 12.3 ft
Flow: 535 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 82% less heating than a typical week.

This week 27Typical 152

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 17
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Alpena County Regional Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1916–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 10°6° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+3°+1°SunOct 18
+7°+4°MonOct 19
±0°TueOct 20
+6°+3°WedOct 21
+4°+2°ThuOct 22
+4°+2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Posen weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 31 min; Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 47 min less
Golden hour: 5:53–6:52 PM; Morning 7:44–8:44 AM
Blue hour: 6:52–7:04 PM; Morning 7:32–7:44 AM; first light 7:32 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 11 PM–3 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:12 AM · rises 5:33 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Posen. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.