Observed 8:35 PM EDT at KMOP

Shepherd, MI weather

Clear and 55°13°, 14°8° warmer than a typical Oct 25.

Forecasts agree

Now 55°13°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 9 AM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 2–4 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 63Moderate; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure: 30.33 inHg1027 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

7°4° warmer than this time yesterday (46°8° then, 54°12° now)

Good hours for

Low 48°9° tomorrow at 8 AM
High 60°16° tomorrow at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 9 PM

TonightDown to 49°9° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 58°14° · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tuesday morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Cloudy
Tuesday afternoonUp to 60°16° by 4 PM · Cloudy
Tuesday nightDown to 53°12° by 8 PM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	27%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	37%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	83%	56%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	80%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	69%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	75%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	50°10°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	79%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	49°9°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	79%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	49°9°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	67%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	82%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	48°9°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	94%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	93%	98%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	89%	99%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	80%	91%	0
Mon 11a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	69%	87%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	57%	88%	2
Mon 1p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	51%	94%	2
Mon 2p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	49%	95%	3
Mon 3p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	44%	94%	3
Mon 4p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	44%	96%	2
Mon 5p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	42%	94%	1
Mon 6p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	90%	1
Mon 7p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	52%	86%	0
Mon 8p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	61%	81%	0
Mon 9p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	68%	78%	0
Mon 10p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	71%	93%	0
Mon 11p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	73%	91%	0
Tue 12a	Partly cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	76%	51%	0
Tue 1a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	76%	49%	0
Tue 2a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	73%	85%	0
Tue 3a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	76%	85%	0
Tue 4a	Partly cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	76%	84%	0
Tue 5a	Partly cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	76%	86%	0
Tue 6a	Partly cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	79%	83%	0
Tue 7a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	82%	89%	0
Tue 8a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	82%	93%	0
Tue 9a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	86%	96%	0
Tue 10a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	79%	98%	1
Tue 11a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	71%	96%	2
Tue 12p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	64%	89%	2
Tue 1p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	57%	88%	2
Tue 2p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	51%	92%	2
Tue 3p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	47%	92%	3
Tue 4p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	46%	94%	2
Tue 5p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	46%	91%	1
Tue 6p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	49%	82%	1
Tue 7p	Mostly cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	57%	83%	0
Tue 8p	Mostly cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	61%	80%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 56°13° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 47, with temperatures rising to around 49 overnight. West northwest wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–71°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 37°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 39°4°. Typical 55°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. North northeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy. Low around 39, with temperatures rising to around 41 overnight. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
57°14°–60°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 55°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60. East wind 3 to 9 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 53°12°. Typical 54°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Drizzle. High 73°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 54°12° / 35°2°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 68°20°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 35°2°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 69°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 54°12° / 35°2°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–51°11°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 35°2°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 53°12° / 35°2°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–69°21°
Low, likely
38°3°–51°11°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 35°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 66°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 53°12° / 34°1°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 34°1°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 53°12°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.3 in7.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 34°1°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Nov 3. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 49°9°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°10°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–57°14°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 34°1°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 70°, low 47°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 60°, low 39°, cooling off.
Tuesday
Dry, high 60°, low 44°.
Rest of week
Highs 58–73°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GRR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chippewa River below Mt. Pleasant

7.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 223 cfs

Reading from Sun 7:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Pine River near Midland

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 164 cfs

Reading from Sun 7:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Salt River near North Bradley

17 mi

Level: 6.7 ft
Flow: 33 cfs

Reading from Sun 7:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Tittabawassee River at Sanford

19 mi

Level: 10.1 ft
Flow: 269 cfs

Reading from Sun 7 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 80% less heating than a typical week.

This week 28Typical 140

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 13
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 3 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Tue, 4:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Alma · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1887–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 14°8° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+6°+3°TueOct 20
+4°+2°WedOct 21
+6°+3°ThuOct 22
+9°+5°FriOct 23
+6°+3°SatOct 24
+7°+4°SunOct 25
—MonOct 26

Shepherd weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 34 min; Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 38 min less
Golden hour: 5:59–6:57 PM; Morning 7:47–8:45 AM
Blue hour: 6:57–7:08 PM; Morning 7:36–7:47 AM; first light 7:36 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 68% cover).

Moon

Full moon

100% lit · growing

Today: sets 7:30 AM · rises 6:03 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Shepherd. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.