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Observed 12:41 PM CDT at KEVM

Aurora, MN weather

Rainy and 63°17°, 22°12° warmer than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (77%).

Today: low 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 43°6°), high 69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°).

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Rain

Wind
11 mph18 km/h
From the west-southwest. Gusts to 22 mph35 km/h around 2 PM
Dew point
54°12°
Comfortable · down to 45°7° by 6 PM
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure
30.08 inHg1019 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Rain until 6 PM (80%, 0.45 in11 mm)
  • Gusts to 25 mph40 km/h until 2 PM
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
  • Below freezing tomorrow 7–9 AM (low 32°0°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night 2–10 AM (low 27°−3°)
  1. This afternoonDown to 58°14° by 5 PM · Rain all afternoon (80%) · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h
  2. TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 46°8° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow afternoonNear 50°10° · Mostly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 28°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy
  6. Monday morningUp to 39°4° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 1pCloudy66°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)66°19°40%, 0.09 in2.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 25 mph41 km/h68%100%2
Sat 2pShowers65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)65°18°70%, 0.09 in2.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 22 mph35 km/h70%100%2
Sat 3pShowers63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)63°17°80%, 0.09 in2.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h75%100%1
Sat 4pRain60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph29 km/h78%100%0
Sat 5pRain58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)58°14°30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 21 mph34 km/h72%99%0
Sat 6pShowers55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)55°13°20%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph29 km/h69%98%0
Sat 7pCloudy51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)51°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h74%90%0
Sat 8pCloudy48°9° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph23 km/h74%77%0
Sat 9pCloudy46°8° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph25 km/h71%81%0
Sat 10pCloudy44°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)42°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h70%77%0
Sat 11pCloudy43°6° (likely 42°6° to 43°6°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h67%78%0
Sun 12aCloudy41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h65%79%0
Sun 1aCloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h62%77%0
Sun 2aCloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h64%79%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy37°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h61%59%0
Sun 4aClear35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h64%40%0
Sun 5aPartly cloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h66%53%0
Sun 6aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h66%12%0
Sun 7aPartly cloudy32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)32°0°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h69%49%0
Sun 8aMostly cloudy32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)32°0°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h69%48%0
Sun 9aPartly sunny36°2° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h67%57%0
Sun 10aCloudy43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h51%65%1
Sun 11aCloudy46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h43%65%2
Sun 12pCloudy49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h39%73%2
Sun 1pCloudy50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph30 km/h34%63%3
Sun 2pCloudy51°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)51°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph31 km/h33%81%3
Sun 3pCloudy51°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)51°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 21 mph33 km/h32%84%2
Sun 4pCloudy52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)52°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h31%84%2
Sun 5pCloudy50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)48°9°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h33%84%1
Sun 6pCloudy48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)46°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h39%84%0
Sun 7pCloudy45°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h45%82%0
Sun 8pCloudy41°5° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)39°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h53%83%0
Sun 9pCloudy39°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)39°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h57%82%0
Sun 10pCloudy37°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h64%73%0
Sun 11pCloudy36°2° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h64%81%0
Mon 12aCloudy34°1° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h69%83%0
Mon 1aCloudy33°1° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h72%85%0
Mon 2aCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h78%83%0
Mon 3aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)30°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h78%81%0
Mon 4aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)29°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h78%80%0
Mon 5aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h81%82%0
Mon 6aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h81%81%0
Mon 7aPartly cloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h81%69%0
Mon 8aCloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)27°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h85%75%0
Mon 9aCloudy30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h81%76%0
Mon 10aCloudy36°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)33°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h69%78%1
Mon 11aCloudy39°4° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h62%79%2
Mon 12pCloudy42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)40°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h53%80%2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Showers. High 69°21°, low 32°0°. Typical 47°8° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 66°19°

      80% chance · 0.45 in11 mm

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Rain showers. Mostly cloudy. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 58 in the afternoon. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 32, with temperatures rising to around 34 overnight. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    65°18°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 27°−3°. Typical 46°8° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy. High near 52, with temperatures falling to around 50 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 28°−2°. Typical 46°8° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 36°2°

      80% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers between 7pm and 1am, then snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28. East wind 0 to 5 mph. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    43°6°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 47°8°, low 39°4°. Typical 45°7° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.28 in7.1 mm, 90% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 40°4°

      80% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      80% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 49°10°

      50% chance · 0.15 in3.7 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Snow showers likely before 7am, then rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 47. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    45°7° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 58°14°, low 35°2°. Typical 44°7° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 57°14°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain showers likely before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind 0 to 5 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    52°11°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    44°7° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    15 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 54°12°, low 34°1°. Typical 44°7° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 42°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. West wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. North wind around 0 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    44°7° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 56°13°, low 38°3°. Typical 43°6° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      20% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 47°8°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. East wind 0 to 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southeast wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    43°6° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 46°8°. Typical 43°6° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°10°

      40% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      50% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 49°10°

      50% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    54°12°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    43°6° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 35 mph57 km/h
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 50°10°, low 43°6°. Typical 42°6° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.38 in9.7 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 49°9°

      40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 51°11°

      30% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 42°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    42°6° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 41°5°. Typical 42°6° / 26°−3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    43°6°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    42°6° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    77% chance of rain, high 69°, low 32°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 52°, low 27°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 45°, low 28°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 47–58°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DLH) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Embarrass River near Embarrass, MN135

6.5 mi
Below flood stage
Level
14.5 ft
Flow
62 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

Embarrass River at Embarrass, Waisanen Rd

8.9 mi
Level
13.1 ft

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

St. Louis River near Skibo

10 mi
Level
17.0 ft
Flow
2 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Embarrass River near Embarrass, Kaunonen Lake Rd

12 mi
Below flood stage
Level
11.1 ft

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 76% less heating than a typical week.

This week 46Typical 197

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
33
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 54°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Eveleth Waste Water Plant · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1986–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 22°12° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
47°8° / 30°−1°
Forecast high / low
69°21° / 32°0°
Record high
74°23° in 1992
Record low
16°−9° in 2002

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Aurora weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:41 AM, sunset 6:04 PM.

Daylight
10 h 23 min
Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 57 min less
Golden hour
5:21–6:23 PM
Morning 7:21–8:24 AM
Blue hour
6:23–6:36 PM
Morning 7:09–7:21 AM; first light 7:09 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 68% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:04 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Aurora.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.