Observed 1:55 PM CDT at KCOQ

Carlton, MN weather

Mostly cloudy and 68°20°, 23°13° warmer than a typical Oct 24, rain ~3–6 PM (78%).

Forecasts agree

Now 68°20°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the west-southwest. Gusts to 23 mph36 km/h around 6 PM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable · down to 39°4° by 10 PM
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–2 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 56Moderate; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure: 30.1 inHg1019 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

None rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

16°9° warmer than this time yesterday (52°11° then, 68°20° now)

Good hours for

Rain until 7 PM (80%, 0.6 in15 mm)
Low 39°4° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by noon
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 6 PM

This afternoonDown to 59°15° by 5 PM · Rain all afternoon (80%)
TonightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Rain 6–7 PM (50%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 47°8° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 54°12° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 42°6° by 11 AM · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	66°19°	40%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	63%	94%	3
Sat 3p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)	65°18°	70%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	68%	98%	0
Sat 4p	Drizzle	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	80%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	81%	100%	0
Sat 5p	Drizzle	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	70%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	78%	100%	0
Sat 6p	Showers	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	50%, 0.12 in3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	75%	100%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly cloudy	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	74%	99%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	71%	99%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	68%	99%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	66%	83%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	63%	96%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	63%	85%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	60%	81%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	60%	79%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	60%	78%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	76%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	59%	35%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	59%	36%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	59%	79%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	59%	75%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	59%	0
Sun 10a	Mostly cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	53%	54%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	45%	68%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	39%	75%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	33%	79%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	32%	90%	2
Sun 3p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	30%	84%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	32%	90%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	34%	92%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	39%	88%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	42%	85%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	44%	82%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	49%	91%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	49%	94%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	51%	93%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	51%	94%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	55%	94%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	57%	91%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	59%	89%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	59%	92%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	61%	91%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	64%	94%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	64%	92%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	35°2° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	31°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	66%	91%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	64%	93%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	62%	95%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	57%	86%	2
Mon 12p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	55%	88%	2
Mon 1p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	53%	94%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 39°4°. Typical 47°8° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  80% chance · 0.48 in12 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 53°12°
  50% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Rain showers. Mostly cloudy. High near 70, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 39, with temperatures rising to around 41 overnight. Northwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–71°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 31°−1°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 35°2°. Typical 47°8° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 51 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. North wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–55°13°
Low, likely
33°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 31°−1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Drizzle. High 45°7°, low 33°1°. Typical 46°8° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 40°4°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 39°4°
  80% chance · 0.19 in4.7 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
43°6°–45°7°
Low, likely
33°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 31°−1°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 49°9°, low 43°6°. Typical 46°8° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.31 in7.9 mm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  80% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  80% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  50% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 30°−1°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
1
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 60°16°, low 40°4°. Typical 45°7° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–64°18°
Low, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 30°−1°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 57°14°, low 40°4°. Typical 44°7° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. West wind around 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–61°16°
Low, likely
36°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 30°−1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 56°13°, low 42°6°. Typical 44°7° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.34 in8.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 42°6°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–61°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 29°−2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 48°9°. Typical 43°6° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–65°18°
Low, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 29°−2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 52°11°, low 43°6°. Typical 43°6° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 53°12°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–58°14°
Low, likely
38°3°–49°9°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 28°−2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 51°11°, low 42°6°. Typical 42°6° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–56°13°
Low, likely
36°2°–48°9°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 28°−2°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 39 mph62 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
78% chance of rain, high 70°, low 39°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 55°, low 35°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 45°, low 33°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 49–60°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DLH) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

St. Louis River at Scanlon

3.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.7 ft
Flow: 474 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Nemadji River near Pleasant Valley

9.7 mi

Level: 6.0 ft
Flow: 19 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Stoney Brook near Brookston

13 mi

Level: 3.7 ft
Flow: 48 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

Nemadji River near Superior

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.8 ft
Flow: 42 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 80% less heating than a typical week.

This week 38Typical 190

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 30
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

CLOQUET · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1911–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 23°13° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+3°+1°SunOct 18
+4°+2°MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
+13°+7°ThuOct 22
+12°+6°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Carlton weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 27 min; Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 53 min less
Golden hour: 5:24–6:25 PM; Morning 7:21–8:22 AM
Blue hour: 6:25–6:37 PM; Morning 7:09–7:21 AM; first light 7:09 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 80% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:06 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Carlton. The highest point on the skyline is about 6,900 ft, 72 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.