Orwell Lake at Orwell Dam near Fergus Falls
13 mi- Level
- 1064 ft
Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 4:55 PM CDT at KY63
Sunny and 50°10°, 10°6° warmer than a typical Oct 24.
Today: low 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°), high 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°).
Now 50°10°
Sunny · Feels like 45°7°
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 68% | 82% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 73% | 82% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 76% | 83% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 65% | 81% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 49% | 81% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 41°5° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 51% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 51% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 49% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 40°4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 51% | 35% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°) | 39°4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 53% | 26% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°) | 39°4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 53% | 24% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°) | 37°3° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 57% | 27% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Partly cloudy | 39°4° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 57% | 33% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 59% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°) | 38°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 62% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°) | 40°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 59% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 45°7° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 49% | 84% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 44% | 81% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 40% | 82% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 5% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 39% | 84% | 3 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 48°9° | 5% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 36% | 87% | 3 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 10% | 7 mph11 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 36% | 99% | 2 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 10% | 7 mph11 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 34% | 100% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 10% | 7 mph11 km/h from WNW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 34% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 10% | 6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 39% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Rain | 48°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 20% | 6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 44% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Drizzle | 47°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 20% | 6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 45% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 51% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 51% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 39°4° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 53% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 39°4° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 53% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 53% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 37°3° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 53% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 35°2° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 55% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°) | 34°1° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 57% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 64% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°) | 31°−1° | 30% | 10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 64% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 64% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Cloudy | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°) | 29°−2° | 50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 69% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 67% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 33°1° | 50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 64% | 99% | 1 |
| Mon 11a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°) | 33°1° | 50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 64% | 99% | 1 |
| Mon 12p | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°) | 34°1° | 50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 62% | 98% | 1 |
| Mon 1p | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 34°1° | 70%, 0.2 in5.1 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 62% | 100% | 1 |
| Mon 2p | Rain | 42°6° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°) | 35°2° | 70%, 0.2 in5.1 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 60% | 99% | 1 |
| Mon 3p | Rain | 43°6° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 70%, 0.2 in5.1 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 57% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 4p | Rain | 43°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 70%, 0.2 in5.1 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 57% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 5p | Rain | 42°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°) | 35°2° | 70%, 0.2 in5.1 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 62% | 100% | 0 |
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 37, with temperatures rising to around 39 overnight. North northwest wind 3 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. North wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain between 7pm and 9pm. Cloudy. Low around 35, with temperatures rising to around 38 overnight. North wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 1.1 in27 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
100% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
90% chance · 0.23 in5.9 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 44. East northeast wind around 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 34. East wind 13 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
90% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. South southeast wind 12 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of rain after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South southeast wind 8 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 12 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. West northwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: A chance of rain after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. East southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East southeast wind around 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. South southeast wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
64% chance of rain, high 63°, low 37°.
Dry, high 51°, low 35°, cooling off.
74% chance of rain, high 44°, low 34°, cooling off.
Highs 51–60°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGF) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 74% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.
Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 10°6° warmer than typical.
Fergus Falls station, 1893–2018: records and averages
This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 52°11°, over its full 1893–2018 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.
Dalton weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:53 AM, sunset 6:21 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 62% cover).
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing