Observed 1:55 PM CDT at KBRD

Lake Shore, MN weather

Rainy and 52°11°, 15°8° warmer than a typical Oct 24, jacket by 5 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Rain

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the west. 58–10 mph16 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable · down to 38°3° by 5 PM
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 53Moderate; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure: 30.16 inHg1021 hPa; Rising · +0.09 inHg+3.0 hPa in 3 h

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Drizzle until 4 PM (60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)
High 59°15° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM
Rain Monday from 1 PM (50%)

This afternoonNear 57°14° · Rain 2–4 PM (60%)
TonightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 47°8° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 50°10° · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 35°2° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 40°4° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · freezing, low 32°0° · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Drizzle	58°14° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	69%	100%	1
Sat 3p	Drizzle	59°15° (likely 49°9° to 59°15°)	59°15°	40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	57%	99%	2
Sat 4p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	56°13°	10%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	57%	97%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	53%	90%	0
Sat 6p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	51%	85%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	54%	82%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	56%	82%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	58%	82%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	56%	81%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	80%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	79%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	55%	79%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	80%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	59%	70%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	40%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	61%	38%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	61%	36%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	61%	72%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly cloudy	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	66%	69%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	78%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	53%	75%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	81%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	39%	83%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	36%	84%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	33%	83%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	33%	90%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	34%	93%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	36%	91%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	37%	75%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	42%	91%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	45%	96%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	49%	100%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	51%	100%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	51%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	55%	99%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	57%	98%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	62%	97%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	64%	99%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	31°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	67%	97%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	69%	97%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	28°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	72%	91%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	28°−2°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	72%	97%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	26°−3°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	78%	98%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	28°−2°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	75%	92%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	32°0°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	70%	93%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	35°2°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	64%	95%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	59%	98%	2
Mon 1p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	57%	97%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 66°19°, low 35°2°. Typical 51°11° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  60% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Rain showers likely before 4pm. Mostly cloudy. High near 66, with temperatures falling to around 55 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 35, with temperatures rising to around 37 overnight. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
35°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 31°−1°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 32°0°. Typical 50°10° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. North wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–53°12°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 30°−1°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Showers. High 44°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 50°10° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 41°5°
  90% chance · 0.18 in4.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 40°4°
  90% chance · 0.27 in6.8 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 31. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Low, likely
31°−1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 30°−1°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 51°11°, low 41°5°. Typical 49°9° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.44 in11 mm, 100% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  90% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  80% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–58°14°
Low, likely
38°3°–41°5°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 29°−2°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
1
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 58°14°, low 37°3°. Typical 49°9° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
37°3°–50°10°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 29°−2°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 57°14°, low 39°4°. Typical 48°9° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. North wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
35°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 29°−2°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 40 mph65 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 59°15°, low 43°6°. Typical 48°9° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–66°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 28°−2°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 50°10°. Typical 47°8° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–63°17°
Low, likely
47°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 28°−2°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
1
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 44°7°. Typical 46°8° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  20% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–59°15°
Low, likely
38°3°–54°12°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 27°−3°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 41°5°. Typical 46°8° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Low, likely
31°−1°–54°12°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 27°−3°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
58% chance of rain, high 66°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 52°, low 32°, cooling off.
Monday
51% chance of rain, high 44°, low 31°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 51–59°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DLH) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Mississippi River at Brainerd

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.7 ft
Flow: 646 cfs

Forecast peak 4.6 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Gull Lake Dam

6.5 mi

Level: 1190 ft

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Pine River near Jenkins

13 mi

Level: 7.7 ft
Flow: 30 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Crow Wing River near Pillager

14 mi

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 556 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 77% less heating than a typical week.

This week 42Typical 180

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 32
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

BRAINERD · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1899–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 11°6° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+5°+3°SunOct 18
+6°+3°MonOct 19
+7°+4°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+13°+7°ThuOct 22
+15°+8°FriOct 23
+23°+13°SatOct 24

Lake Shore weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 27 min; Losing 3 min 8 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 53 min less
Golden hour: 5:32–6:33 PM; Morning 7:28–8:30 AM
Blue hour: 6:33–6:45 PM; Morning 7:16–7:28 AM; first light 7:16 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 70% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:58 AM · rises 5:14 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Lake Shore. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,500 ft, 11 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.